Part of: Hamburg European Open: Katarzyna Kawa vs Paula Badosa

Hamburg European Open: Katarzyna Kawa vs Paula Badosa

11 smart money signals detected, totaling $157,132.

Categories: Tennis, Sports, Games

Notable Trades

12-wallet linked Kawa cluster

A 12-wallet, four-funder-linked cluster made a concentrated $40,055 Kawa bet, although the signal has since failed as Kawa fell to 0%.

  • Twelve wallets bought Kawa for $40,055, including four wallets linked to the same funder.
  • This new wallet had repeated large-bet alerts and was 2-for-2 on resolved positions, with $11,296 profit.
  • The trade was entered at 42%, but Kawa is now priced at 0%, so this is more valuable as a failed coordinated thesis than a live copy opportunity.

$7,707 on Katarzyna Kawa | Wallet win rate: 96%

89% win-rate bettor adds to Kawa

A highly profitable serial cross-market bettor with an 89% win rate is adding to an existing Katarzyna Kawa position at 37¢.

  • This bettor has won 89% of 142 resolved trades and is up $119,819 lifetime.
  • They are scaling into Katarzyna Kawa at 37¢ despite the market pricing her at only 36%.
  • The wallet has traded across 40 markets in 34 events, indicating a repeatable cross-market strategy rather than a one-off bet.

$1,119 on Katarzyna Kawa | Wallet win rate: 78%

15-wallet linked Badosa cluster

A 15-wallet, four-funder-linked cluster deployed $118,000 behind Paula Badosa, although a smaller linked group took the opposite side.

  • 15 linked wallets bought Paula Badosa for roughly $118,000, showing unusually coordinated conviction.
  • The position was entered around 57–78¢ and Paula Badosa ultimately resolved at 100%.
  • A smaller 12-wallet cluster backed Kawa with $40,000, so the signal was strong but not unanimous.

$118,406 on Paula Badosa

95% win-rate tennis specialist

A highly profitable serial trader with a 95% win rate is adding to an existing Kawa position at 42 cents.

  • This bettor has won 121 of 128 resolved positions, earning $154,107 in profit.
  • The wallet has traded across 89 events and is adding another $1,970 to its existing Kawa position.
  • Kawa is priced near 41%, while the bettor entered at 42%, implying substantial upside if the pick is correct.

$2,357 on Katarzyna Kawa | Wallet win rate: 96%

Three-wallet Badosa buying cluster

Three wallets bought Paula Badosa amid an 18x volume spike, creating a meaningful coordinated signal despite the trader's only moderate historical win rate.

  • Three wallets are aligned on Paula Badosa, committing $14,438 in total.
  • Trading volume surged to 18 times its historical average, suggesting unusually strong pre-match interest.
  • The featured wallet bought Paula at 61¢, while the market has since risen to 66¢; its lifetime profit exceeds $6 million despite a 55% win rate.

$7,564 on Paula Badosa | Wallet win rate: 56%

89% win-rate bettor adds to Kawa

A highly profitable serial cross-market bettor with an 89% win rate is adding to an existing Katarzyna Kawa position at 37¢.

  • This bettor has won 89% of 142 resolved trades and is up $119,819 lifetime.
  • They are scaling into Katarzyna Kawa at 37¢ despite the market pricing her at only 36%.
  • The wallet has traded across 40 markets in 34 events, indicating a repeatable cross-market strategy rather than a one-off bet.

$1,200 on Katarzyna Kawa | Wallet win rate: 78%

Sharp bettor scaling into Badosa

A proven tennis-market bettor with an 85% win rate and substantial edge is adding to an existing Paula Badosa position at 64%.

  • This bettor has won 85% of 121 resolved trades and is up $51,848.
  • Their results beat the average entry odds by 24 percentage points, indicating a meaningful edge.
  • The additional $1,900 reinforces conviction in Paula Badosa at a 64¢ entry.

$1,900 on Paula Badosa | Wallet win rate: 62%

89% win-rate bettor adds to Kawa

A highly profitable serial cross-market bettor with an 89% win rate is adding to an existing Katarzyna Kawa position at 37¢.

  • This bettor has won 89% of 142 resolved trades and is up $119,819 lifetime.
  • They are scaling into Katarzyna Kawa at 37¢ despite the market pricing her at only 36%.
  • The wallet has traded across 40 markets in 34 events, indicating a repeatable cross-market strategy rather than a one-off bet.

$2,000 on Katarzyna Kawa | Wallet win rate: 78%

95% win-rate tennis specialist

A highly profitable serial trader with a 95% win rate is adding to an existing Kawa position at 42 cents.

  • This bettor has won 121 of 128 resolved positions, earning $154,107 in profit.
  • The wallet has traded across 89 events and is adding another $1,970 to its existing Kawa position.
  • Kawa is priced near 41%, while the bettor entered at 42%, implying substantial upside if the pick is correct.

$1,736 on Katarzyna Kawa | Wallet win rate: 96%

95% win-rate tennis specialist

A highly profitable serial trader with a 95% win rate is adding to an existing Kawa position at 42 cents.

  • This bettor has won 121 of 128 resolved positions, earning $154,107 in profit.
  • The wallet has traded across 89 events and is adding another $1,970 to its existing Kawa position.
  • Kawa is priced near 41%, while the bettor entered at 42%, implying substantial upside if the pick is correct.

$1,970 on Katarzyna Kawa | Wallet win rate: 96%

Top Holders

  1. 0x44a1...bd21 Outcome 17568992, $37,000 (62% win rate)
  2. 0xe816...1b93 Outcome 17568992, $18,140 (96% win rate)
  3. 0x336b...1233 Outcome 17568992, $9,551 (51% win rate)
  4. 0x7300...e52c Outcome 17568992, $9,325
  5. 0x85bb...9ada Outcome 17568992, $8,692 (88% win rate)
  6. 0x54ba...04e4 Outcome 17568992, $8,214 (79% win rate)
  7. 0xa06a...d284 Outcome 17568992, $7,790 (96% win rate)
  8. 0xe98c...8792 Outcome 17568992, $5,547 (96% win rate)
  9. 0x8859...89d6 Outcome 17568992, $3,919
  10. 0x9f03...766d Outcome 17568992, $3,808 (81% win rate)

Related Theses

Spirit win series 3-1

Covers 4 related markets

PARIVISION wins a close five-game series

Covers 5 related markets

Safiullin beats Fonseca

Covers 1 related market

France will win on July 18

Covers 1 related market

Heidenheim will beat Köln

Covers 3 related markets

Manchester City beats Chelsea

Covers 3 related markets

Falcons win a long series

Covers 7 related markets

Series will split 1-1

Covers 2 related markets

Algeria Austria stays low-scoring

Covers 6 related markets

Noskova beats Muchova

Covers 1 related market

Hamburg European Open: Katarzyna Kawa vs Paula Badosa

ResolvedHamburg European Open: Katarzyna Kawa vs Paula Badosa$157,132 tracked11 signalsTennisSportsGames

This market refers to the tennis match between Katarzyna Kawa and Paula Badosa in the Hamburg European Open, originally scheduled for July 21, 2026 at 4:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Katarzyna Kawa' if Katarzyna Kawa advances against Paula Badosa. This market will resolve to 'Paula Badosa' if Paula Badosa advances against Katarzyna Kawa. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a winner determined, this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the WTA Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Price History — “Paula Badosa
102¢
78¢
53¢
Alert entriesHigh-conviction

Notable Trades

Hamburg European Open: Katarzyna Kawa vs Paula Badosa

16d ago

$7,707 on Katarzyna Kawa at 42¢

Hamburg European Open: Katarzyna Kawa vs Paula Badosa

17d ago

$1,119 on Katarzyna Kawa at 37¢

Hamburg European Open: Katarzyna Kawa vs Paula Badosa

16d ago

$118,406 on Paula Badosa at 62¢

Hamburg European Open: Katarzyna Kawa vs Paula Badosa

17d ago

$2,357 on Katarzyna Kawa at 42¢

Hamburg European Open: Katarzyna Kawa vs Paula Badosa

17d ago

$7,564 on Paula Badosa at 61¢

Hamburg European Open: Katarzyna Kawa vs Paula Badosa

17d ago

$1,200 on Katarzyna Kawa at 37¢

Hamburg European Open: Katarzyna Kawa vs Paula Badosa

17d ago

$1,900 on Paula Badosa at 64¢

Hamburg European Open: Katarzyna Kawa vs Paula Badosa

17d ago

$2,000 on Katarzyna Kawa at 37¢

Hamburg European Open: Katarzyna Kawa vs Paula Badosa

18d ago

$1,736 on Katarzyna Kawa at 42¢

Hamburg European Open: Katarzyna Kawa vs Paula Badosa

19d ago

$1,970 on Katarzyna Kawa at 42¢

Hamburg European Open: Katarzyna Kawa vs Paula Badosa

17d ago

$11,171 on Katarzyna Kawa at 42¢

Related Theses