Part of: Hamburg European Open: Tommy Paul vs Tomas Etcheverry
Hamburg European Open: Tommy Paul vs Tomas Etcheverry
This market refers to the tennis match between Tommy Paul and Tomas Etcheverry in the Hamburg European Open, originally scheduled for May 20, 2026 at 4:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Tommy Paul' if Tommy Paul advances against Tomas Etcheverry. This market will resolve to 'Tomas Etcheverry' if Tomas Etcheverry advances against Tommy Paul. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a winner determined, this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the ATP Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
17 smart money signals detected, totaling $91,872.
Categories: Tennis, Sports, Games
Notable Trades
92% winner buying dip
Sharp tennis bettor with a 92% resolved win rate bought Tommy Paul after a sharp price drop and major volume spike.
- This bettor has won 12 of 13 resolved trades and is up $2.7K lifetime.
- They bought Tommy Paul at 44¢ after a rapid 24-point price drop, with the market already rebounding near 50¢.
- Volume is running 25.7x above normal, suggesting this match is drawing unusual pre-event money.
$1,935 on Tommy Paul | Wallet win rate: 97%
Profitable sports whale re-entry
Despite a weak standalone price-impact signal, this is a very profitable high-volume sports bettor re-entering Tommy Paul, though the market has moved against the entry.
- This bettor is up $10.8M lifetime across more than 7,000 resolved trades.
- They previously put $41.8K into this side and are now buying Tommy Paul again.
- The entry was 60¢, but the market is now around 50¢ after a fast drop.
$4,874 on Tommy Paul | Wallet win rate: 64%
Sharp-led Paul rebound
A profitable sharp bettor with an 82% record and $1.3M lifetime profit led a $16.5K one-sided move into Tommy Paul at much lower prices before the market rebounded to 52%.
- A bettor who wins 82% of resolved trades and is up $1.3M bought nearly $11K of Tommy Paul at 19¢.
- Three wallets put $16.5K on the same side, including a sell of Etcheverry equivalent to buying Paul around 35¢.
- The market has already repriced sharply to 52%, so the edge was strongest near the original 19–35¢ entries.
$16,504 on Tommy Paul
Profitable serial sports sharp
Highly profitable serial sports trader with an 80% win rate bought Tomas Etcheverry before a large move and volume spike.
- This bettor wins 80% of resolved trades and is up about $464K lifetime.
- They bought $5,000 of Tomas Etcheverry at 73¢, and the market has already moved to 78¢.
- This came alongside a 12x volume spike and a 34-point move toward Etcheverry.
$5,000 on Tomas Etcheverry | Wallet win rate: 85%
Profitable serial sports trader
Profitable serial cross-market sports trader with 71% wins and $359k lifetime P&L is effectively buying Tommy Paul.
- This bettor wins 71% of resolved trades and is up $359,550 lifetime.
- They have traded 249 markets across 202 events, suggesting a repeatable sports edge.
- Selling Etcheverry at 42¢ is equivalent to buying Tommy Paul at 58¢.
$1,879 on Tommy Paul | Wallet win rate: 47%
88% winner buying Paul
A highly profitable sharp wallet with an 88% historical win rate sold Etcheverry, equivalent to buying Tommy Paul at 56¢.
- This bettor wins 88% of resolved trades and is up about $1.07M lifetime.
- They are effectively buying Tommy Paul at 56¢ in a very liquid match market.
- Paul has drifted down 9 points today, so this looks like a sharp bettor buying the dip.
$2,139 on Tommy Paul | Wallet win rate: 88%
88% win-rate sports sharp
Sharp profitable sports bettor with an 88% historical win rate is buying Tomas Etcheverry at 45¢ in a liquid tennis market.
- This bettor wins 88% of their resolved trades and is up about $1.07M lifetime.
- They bought Tomas Etcheverry at 45¢ despite the market pricing him as the slight underdog.
- Their track record is the main signal: 61 wins from 69 resolved positions at average 54¢ odds.
$2,187 on Tomas Etcheverry | Wallet win rate: 88%
Profitable serial tennis bettor
A highly profitable serial sports trader with a 70% win rate and $357k lifetime profit bought Tomas Etcheverry at 45¢.
- This bettor has won 70% of 199 resolved markets and is up $357k lifetime.
- They have traded across 199 events with over $2.1M invested, suggesting a repeatable sports edge.
- Buying Etcheverry at 45¢ backs the slight underdog despite Paul being favored.
$2,000 on Tomas Etcheverry | Wallet win rate: 47%
Profitable serial sports trader
A highly active profitable sports trader with a 70% record over 24k resolved bets is fading Tommy Paul, effectively backing Tomas Etcheverry at 44¢.
- This bettor has won 70% of 24,202 resolved bets and is up $164k lifetime.
- They are a serial cross-market trader across 308 events with over $1.16M flagged in similar activity.
- Selling Tommy Paul at 56¢ is equivalent to backing Tomas Etcheverry at 44¢.
$1,333 on Tomas Etcheverry | Wallet win rate: 71%
90% sharp backs underdog
A highly profitable 90% win-rate sports bettor bought Tommy Paul, with linked-wallet activity and a broader pre-event volume spike supporting the move.
- This bettor wins 90% of resolved bets and is up $2.2M lifetime.
- They bought Tommy Paul at 37¢ despite the market now pricing him near 34¢.
- Three linked wallets share a funder and have put $14.5K behind this market.
$6,544 on Tommy Paul | Wallet win rate: 95%
Top Holders
- 0xfe78...0319 — Tomas Etcheverry, $17,754 (64% win rate)
- 0x1258...0c15 — Tomas Etcheverry, $10,000
- 0x479e...91c3 — Tomas Etcheverry, $6,849 (85% win rate)
- 0x26e7...cc6c — Tomas Etcheverry, $3,482 (73% win rate)
- 0x0a26...1851 — Tomas Etcheverry, $3,239 (79% win rate)
- 0xff90...fb46 — Tomas Etcheverry, $3,000
- 0x76cf...599d — Tomas Etcheverry, $2,444 (75% win rate)
- 0x99d7...6435 — Tomas Etcheverry, $2,421 (90% win rate)
- 0x9215...1f7e — Tomas Etcheverry, $2,000
- 0x7cb2...f12f — Tomas Etcheverry, $1,800 (80% win rate)
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