Part of: Hamburg: Jan Kumstat vs Marvin Moeller
Hamburg: Jan Kumstat vs Marvin Moeller
This Polymarket tennis market covers the Hamburg match between Jan Kumstat and Marvin Moeller, scheduled for August 16, 2026. It resolves to the player who advances, with final resolution by August 23, 2026; the market currently shows $7,079 in tracked smart money and one signal.
8 smart money signals detected, totaling $73,281.
Categories: Tennis, Sports, Games
Notable Trades
92% win-rate tennis bettor
A highly profitable serial bettor with a 92% win rate and $7.3M lifetime P&L made a fresh $10,000 bet on Marvin Moeller at 44%.
- This bettor wins 92% of 226 resolved positions and is up $7.34M lifetime.
- They placed a fresh $10,000 bet on Marvin Moeller at 44%, despite the market now pricing him at 39%.
- The wallet has traded across 726 events and 769 markets, indicating an unusually experienced and consistent record.
$7,079 on Marvin Moeller | Wallet win rate: 91%
92% win-rate tennis bettor
A highly profitable serial bettor with a 92% win rate and $7.3M lifetime P&L made a fresh $10,000 bet on Marvin Moeller at 44%.
- This bettor wins 92% of 226 resolved positions and is up $7.34M lifetime.
- They placed a fresh $10,000 bet on Marvin Moeller at 44%, despite the market now pricing him at 39%.
- The wallet has traded across 726 events and 769 markets, indicating an unusually experienced and consistent record.
$22,663 on Marvin Moeller | Wallet win rate: 91%
Serial sharp adding to Marvin
A proven 84% winner and serial cross-market trader added $1,342 to an existing Marvin Moeller position at 61¢.
- This bettor has won 84% of 56 resolved trades and is up $39,201.
- They have traded across 26 events, suggesting a repeatable cross-market process rather than a one-off wager.
- The $1,342 purchase adds to an existing Marvin Moeller position, signaling increased conviction despite the market’s 60% implied probability.
$1,342 on Marvin Moeller | Wallet win rate: 84%
92% win-rate tennis bettor
A highly profitable serial bettor with a 92% win rate and $7.3M lifetime P&L made a fresh $10,000 bet on Marvin Moeller at 44%.
- This bettor wins 92% of 226 resolved positions and is up $7.34M lifetime.
- They placed a fresh $10,000 bet on Marvin Moeller at 44%, despite the market now pricing him at 39%.
- The wallet has traded across 726 events and 769 markets, indicating an unusually experienced and consistent record.
$10,000 on Marvin Moeller | Wallet win rate: 91%
Elite bettor backs Marvin Moeller
An exceptionally profitable tennis bettor with a 92% win rate and 226 resolved positions made a fresh $8,800 bet on Marvin Moeller despite the market moving against the position.
- This bettor wins 92% of trades across 226 resolved positions and is up $7.34M.
- They made a concentrated $8,800 bet on Marvin Moeller at an average entry near 48¢.
- The position spans a serial cross-market record covering 725 events and more than $25.8M traded.
$18,800 on Marvin Moeller | Wallet win rate: 91%
Elite bettor backs Marvin Moeller
An exceptionally profitable tennis bettor with a 92% win rate and 226 resolved positions made a fresh $8,800 bet on Marvin Moeller despite the market moving against the position.
- This bettor wins 92% of trades across 226 resolved positions and is up $7.34M.
- They made a concentrated $8,800 bet on Marvin Moeller at an average entry near 48¢.
- The position spans a serial cross-market record covering 725 events and more than $25.8M traded.
$8,800 on Marvin Moeller | Wallet win rate: 91%
Serial 80% winner backs Kumstat
A highly profitable serial bettor with an 80% win rate is adding to a Jan Kumstat position at 61%, making this a credible sharp sports trade.
- This bettor has won 80% of 87 resolved trades and earned $71,316 in profit.
- The wallet has traded 66 events for $251,024 and is adding to an existing Jan Kumstat position at 61%.
- The 61% entry is near market odds, but the bettor's record implies meaningful repeatable edge at this price.
$3,362 on Jan Kumstat | Wallet win rate: 79%
Proven sharp adding to underdog
A highly proven sports trader with 586 resolved bets and a substantial edge is adding to an existing underdog position on Marvin Moeller.
- This bettor wins 78% of 586 resolved trades and is up $151,153 lifetime.
- The trader has a documented 25-point edge over implied odds and is adding $1,235 to Marvin Moeller at 40¢.
- Marvin is priced as a 40% outcome, offering meaningful upside if this sharp bettor’s read is correct.
$1,235 on Marvin Moeller | Wallet win rate: 46%
Top Holders
- 0xfe78...0319 — Outcome 49164102, $15,289 (65% win rate)
- 0x1dbf...1a6b — Outcome 49164102, $7,000 (62% win rate)
- 0x1fe8...72bc — Outcome 49164102, $3,000 (79% win rate)
- 0xec98...afcd — Outcome 49164102, $2,640 (54% win rate)
- 0x75e1...a8a1 — Outcome 49164102, $2,585 (84% win rate)
- 0x61a8...1ad4 — Outcome 49164102, $2,500 (71% win rate)
- 0xef29...2f1e — Outcome 49164102, $2,213 (59% win rate)
- 0x0ee5...e798 — Outcome 49164102, $2,000 (88% win rate)
- 0x5b63...11a4 — Outcome 49164102, $1,761 (70% win rate)
- 0xaa8f...14d1 — Outcome 49164102, $1,401
Related Theses
Iraq Norway goal fest
Covers 4 related markets
Belgium dominates Iran early
Covers 4 related markets
Czechia wins big early
Covers 3 related markets
Canada Qatar first-half shootout
Covers 5 related markets
Germany wins high-scoring rout
Covers 4 related markets
France Northern Ireland goals galore
Covers 3 related markets
Norway advances in goalfest
Covers 3 related markets
USA Australia goalfest starts early
Covers 3 related markets
Ann Li beats Alexandrova
Covers 1 related market
Hussey beats Arnaldi
Covers 1 related market
