Part of: Hamburg: Marvin Moeller vs Niels McDonald

Hamburg: Marvin Moeller vs Niels McDonald

5 smart money signals detected, totaling $27,724.

Categories: Tennis, Sports, Games

Notable Trades

Serial sharp scaling into Marvin Moeller

A proven 80% bettor with a substantial positive edge added to an existing Marvin Moeller position before a 23-point price surge.

  • This bettor wins 80% of 70 resolved trades and is up $52,729 lifetime.
  • They added $2,800 to an existing Marvin Moeller position at 55%, showing increased conviction.
  • Marvin Moeller has since risen to 78% after a rapid 23-point move, reinforcing the trade timing.

$2,800 on Marvin Moeller | Wallet win rate: 79%

Four-wallet sharp-money Moeller cluster

Four wallets, including three highly profitable bettors, collectively bought $10.2K of Marvin Moeller despite the price slipping to 55%.

  • Four wallets committed $10,206 to Marvin Moeller, creating a concentrated one-sided signal.
  • The group includes bettors with 80%, 96%, and 99% win rates across hundreds of resolved positions.
  • The trades came during a 22.5x volume spike, although the price has since eased from entries as high as 60¢.

$8,714 on Marvin Moeller

99% win-rate serial bettor

A highly proven serial bettor with a 99% win rate and substantial positive edge bought Marvin Moeller at a favorable 56% entry.

  • This bettor has won 1,171 of 1,187 resolved trades and earned over $1.0M in P&L.
  • The $3,718 position was opened on Marvin Moeller at 56%, below the current 60% market price.
  • The wallet has traded across 526 events and $1.89M in volume, making this more than an isolated bet.

$2,492 on Marvin Moeller | Wallet win rate: 99%

99% win-rate serial bettor

A highly proven serial bettor with a 99% win rate and substantial positive edge bought Marvin Moeller at a favorable 56% entry.

  • This bettor has won 1,171 of 1,187 resolved trades and earned over $1.0M in P&L.
  • The $3,718 position was opened on Marvin Moeller at 56%, below the current 60% market price.
  • The wallet has traded across 526 events and $1.89M in volume, making this more than an isolated bet.

$3,718 on Marvin Moeller | Wallet win rate: 99%

94% win-rate serial bettor

A highly profitable serial bettor with a 94% win rate and $7.16M lifetime profit placed a fresh $10,000 bet on Niels McDonald at 42%.

  • This bettor has won 94% of 208 resolved positions and is up $7.16M lifetime.
  • They placed a fresh $10,000 bet on Niels McDonald at 42%, signaling strong conviction in the underdog.
  • The wallet has traded 740 markets across 697 events, providing an unusually large track record to follow.

$10,000 on Niels McDonald | Wallet win rate: 90%

Top Holders

  1. 0x5f65...2036 Outcome 17256732, $23,675 (90% win rate)
  2. 0xfe78...0319 Outcome 17256732, $21,829 (65% win rate)
  3. 0xf12f...b30f Outcome 17256732, $2,262 (95% win rate)
  4. 0x2005...75ea Outcome 17256732, $1,446 (56% win rate)
  5. 0x5505...aa44 Outcome 17256732, $1,131
  6. 0x7547...d158 Outcome 17256732, $600
  7. 0xf88a...4f75 Outcome 17256732, $586
  8. 0x86b1...c094 Outcome 17256732, $519 (32% win rate)
  9. 0xd4cf...0e95 Outcome 17256732, $500
  10. 0x5818...5269 Outcome 17256732, $480 (59% win rate)

Related Theses

Iraq Norway goal fest

Covers 4 related markets

Belgium dominates Iran early

Covers 4 related markets

Czechia wins big early

Covers 3 related markets

Canada Qatar first-half shootout

Covers 5 related markets

Germany wins high-scoring rout

Covers 4 related markets

France Northern Ireland goals galore

Covers 3 related markets

Norway advances in goalfest

Covers 3 related markets

USA Australia goalfest starts early

Covers 3 related markets

Ann Li beats Alexandrova

Covers 1 related market

Alexandrova beats Ann Li

Covers 1 related market

Hamburg: Marvin Moeller vs Niels McDonald

ResolvedHamburg: Marvin Moeller vs Niels McDonald$27,724 tracked5 signalsTennisSportsGames

This market refers to the tennis match between Marvin Moeller and Niels McDonald in the Hamburg, originally scheduled for August 13, 2026 at 6:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Marvin Moeller' if Marvin Moeller advances against Niels McDonald. This market will resolve to 'Niels McDonald' if Niels McDonald advances against Marvin Moeller. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a winner determined, this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the ATP Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Notable Trades

Hamburg: Marvin Moeller vs Niels McDonald

9d ago

$2,800 on Marvin Moeller at 55¢

Hamburg: Marvin Moeller vs Niels McDonald

9d ago

$8,714 on Marvin Moeller at 57¢

Hamburg: Marvin Moeller vs Niels McDonald

9d ago

$2,492 on Marvin Moeller at 56¢

Hamburg: Marvin Moeller vs Niels McDonald

9d ago

$3,718 on Marvin Moeller at 56¢

Hamburg: Marvin Moeller vs Niels McDonald

9d ago

$10,000 on Niels McDonald at 42¢

Related Theses