Part of: Michigan Democratic Senate Primary: Washtenaw County (Ann Arbor) Winner

Will Abdul El-Sayed win Washtenaw County in the Michigan Senate Democratic primary?

1 smart money signal detected, totaling $1,735.

Categories: Politics, Elections, Primaries, USA Election, Senate Primary, Michigan Primary, primary elections, August 4 Primaries, Democratic Primary, US Election

Notable Trades

Profitable serial trader adding to Yes

A profitable serial cross-market trader is adding to an existing Yes position in a thin market after a 20.5% daily move, though the historical win rate does not clearly exceed the trader's typical entry odds.

  • This trader has 1,159 resolved bets, a 71% win rate, and roughly $41,000 in lifetime profit.
  • A $1,735 purchase represented 52% of the market's 24-hour volume and added to an existing Yes position.
  • The market has risen 20.5% in one day, reinforcing the trader's direction, but the 90% current price leaves limited upside.

$1,735 on Yes | Wallet win rate: 72%

Top Holders

  1. 0x38c7...806e Outcome 16374937, $440
  2. 0xa5ef...2966 Outcome 16374937, $288
  3. 0xc602...7fc1 Outcome 16374937, $220 (43% win rate)
  4. 0x3a30...99ec Outcome 16374937, $50
  5. 0x0640...5ea2 Outcome 16374937, $50
  6. 0x9a94...d5f9 Outcome 16374937, $50
  7. 0x1491...fd70 Outcome 16374937, $40
  8. 0xdc15...cca6 Outcome 16374937, $28
  9. 0x3329...43a6 Outcome 16374937, $20
  10. 0x1cfc...2111 Outcome 16374937, $20

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Will Abdul El-Sayed win Washtenaw County in the Michigan Senate Democratic primary?

ResolvedMichigan Democratic Senate Primary: Washtenaw County (Ann Arbor) Winner$1,735 tracked1 signalPoliticsElectionsPrimariesUSA ElectionSenate PrimaryMichigan Primaryprimary electionsAugust 4 PrimariesDemocratic PrimaryUS Election

This market will resolve according to the candidate who receives the most valid votes from Washtenaw County in the Democratic Primary for United States Senator from Michigan, which is scheduled to be held on August 4, 2026. The named candidates will be primarily ranked by the number of valid votes received in the specified election. If two or more candidates are tied on valid votes, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates' last names. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking. If the Washtenaw County results of this election are not definitively known by December 31, 2026, this market will resolve to “Other.” This market will resolve based on a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the government of Michigan, including the Office of the Secretary of State and the government of Washtenaw County.

Price History — “Yes
101¢
98¢
95¢
Alert entriesHigh-conviction

Notable Trades

Will Abdul El-Sayed win Washtenaw County in the Michigan Senate Democratic primary?

31d ago

$1,735 on Yes at 88¢

Related Theses