Heracles Almelo vs. AFC Ajax: O/U 3.5

2 smart money signals detected, totaling $9,434.

Categories: Sports, Games, Soccer, Eredivisie

Notable Trades

87% win-rate sports sharp

A highly proven sports bettor with an 87% win rate and nearly $490k profit is taking a fresh Over position at 45¢, making this a strong copy-trade signal despite the modest size.

  • This bettor wins 87% of resolved trades and is up about $489k across 293 bets.
  • They have repeated this pattern across 119 events and 161 markets, suggesting a real edge rather than a one-off hit.
  • Bought Over at 45¢, a price that leaves room if their read is right and the market is underestimating goals.

$1,921 on Over | Wallet win rate: 20%

Proven sharp in thin market

A highly profitable serial cross-market bettor with a 72% win rate made a $7.5k buy on Under in a thin soccer totals market, representing nearly 3x the market’s 24h volume.

  • This bettor wins 72% of resolved trades and is up $3.39M lifetime across 1,780 bets.
  • They bought $7.5k of Under, almost 3x this market’s entire 24-hour volume.
  • The market is still pricing Under around 56¢, suggesting they see value before kickoff.

$7,514 on Under | Wallet win rate: 73%

Top Holders

  1. 0x4844...32c9 Outcome 27738094, $771
  2. 0xd0e7...3335 Outcome 27738094, $312
  3. 0xe550...4ebb Outcome 27738094, $252
  4. 0x4cc7...b90d Outcome 27738094, $112
  5. 0xdc3f...f038 Outcome 27738094, $50
  6. 0x6474...7ab8 Outcome 27738094, $44
  7. 0x9bd9...084f Outcome 27738094, $30
  8. 0xf4c6...db95 Outcome 27738094, $10
  9. 0xab35...118d Outcome 27738094, $8
  10. 0xb5af...2b6d Outcome 18135832, $6

Related Theses

Covers 3 related markets

Covers 3 related markets

Covers 3 related markets

Covers 3 related markets

Covers 3 related markets

Covers 3 related markets

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Covers 3 related markets

Covers 3 related markets

Covers 1 related market

Heracles Almelo vs. AFC Ajax: O/U 3.5

Resolved$9,434 tracked2 signalsSportsGamesSoccerEredivisie

In the upcoming Eredivisie game between Heracles Almelo and AFC Ajax, scheduled for April 11 at 3:00 PM ET: This market will resolve to "Over" if Heracles Almelo and AFC Ajax combine to score 4 or more goals in this game. If the combined total is less than 4, this market will resolve to "Under". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50–50. If the game is started but not completed, this market will resolve according to the official final score published on eredivisie.nl. This market refers only to the outcome within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead.

Notable Trades

Heracles Almelo vs. AFC Ajax: O/U 3.5

8d ago

$1,921 on Over at 45¢

Heracles Almelo vs. AFC Ajax: O/U 3.5

8d ago

$7,514 on Under at 56¢

Related Theses