Part of: Hornets vs. Magic
Hornets vs. Magic: O/U 218.5
13 smart money signals detected, totaling $120,735.
Categories: Sports, NBA, Games, Basketball
Notable Trades
Sharp bettor, huge track record
Surface this because a proven high-volume sports bettor with a 72% win rate and $2.1M in profit is buying Over at 55¢, even though the signal is only from a strong long-run cross-market track record.
- This bettor wins 72% of 3,371 resolved trades and is up $2.1M overall
- They have placed $3.27M across 874 related markets, so this looks like a repeatable edge rather than a random bet
- Bought Over at 55¢ in a liquid market, suggesting they still see value even after a 7-point move up today
$1,749 on Over | Wallet win rate: 68%
95% win-rate sports bettor
A bettor with an exceptional 95% win rate and $158.8k profit just bought Under at 61¢ in a liquid NBA total market, making this a credible copy-trade despite only one signal.
- This bettor wins 95% of resolved trades and is up $158.8k across 181 bets
- They bought Under at 61¢ and the market has already moved to 64¢ after their entry
- The bet came in a liquid market, so this looks more like sharp pricing skill than a random thin-market punt
$2,460 on Under | Wallet win rate: 94%
94% winner in linked cluster
A proven sharp wallet with a 94% win rate placed a large late live-sports bet, and the same wallet is also part of a 12-wallet one-sided linked cluster piling into Magic.
- This bettor wins 94% of resolved trades and is up about $589k on $1.65M invested.
- They bought nearly $22.1k of Magic around 42-43¢, alongside 12 wallets betting the same side for $113.9k total.
- The bet came about 2.5 minutes before resolution, a timing pattern that can matter in live sports markets.
$26,720 on Magic | Wallet win rate: 94%
87% win-rate sports bettor
A highly profitable sports bettor with an 87% win rate and $606k in realized profit sold Under, which converts to a buy on Over at 48¢ in a liquid NBA totals market.
- This bettor wins 87% of resolved trades and is up $606k across 113 settled positions
- They trade heavily across 207 markets and 185 events, suggesting a repeatable edge rather than a one-off bet
- Selling Under at 52¢ is equivalent to buying Over at 48¢, near the current 46-47¢ market
$10,883 on Over | Wallet win rate: 86%
83% win-rate sports bettor
A highly profitable sports trader with an 83% win rate and $660k P&L is buying Over at 47¢, and their long history across 500+ markets makes this a strong copy-trade signal despite the market being liquid.
- This bettor wins 83% of their resolved trades and is up about $660k lifetime.
- They have done this across 514 markets and 465 events, which points to repeatable skill rather than a one-off hit.
- They bought Over at 47¢, a price that suggests they see the true odds above a near coin flip.
$4,372 on Over | Wallet win rate: 87%
87% win-rate sports bettor
A highly profitable serial sports trader with an 87% win rate just put $11.1k on Under in a liquid NBA totals market during a sharp pregame volume surge.
- This bettor wins 87% of their resolved trades and is up about $606k overall.
- They've traded 206 markets across 185 events, so this looks like a repeatable edge rather than a one-off bet.
- They just bought Under at 53¢ for $11.1k as volume jumped nearly 65x versus normal activity.
$11,092 on Under | Wallet win rate: 86%
83% win-rate sports sharp
A highly profitable 83% win-rate sports bettor with broad cross-market success bought Over at 47¢ during a strong pregame volume spike, making this a credible copy-trade signal despite the market's deep liquidity.
- This bettor wins 83% of their resolved trades and is up about $660k across 326 bets.
- They have placed more than $2.3M across 514 markets, so this looks like a repeatable edge rather than a one-off gamble.
- They bought Over at 47¢ as volume ran nearly 65x above normal, suggesting real conviction before tipoff.
$4,327 on Over | Wallet win rate: 87%
Sharp 4-wallet Over cluster
Four wallets with strong overall records piled into Over around 47-49¢, led by a bettor winning 83% of 326 resolved markets, making this coordinated sports flow worth surfacing despite opposing Under money in the same market.
- Four wallets bought Over for $15.4k, led by a bettor who wins 83% of their bets and is up $659.9k.
- Two other wallets in the group are also proven winners, including one up $824.7k lifetime.
- They entered at 47-49¢ while Over now trades at 46¢, so the price is still close to their level.
$15,396 on Over
Profitable 3-wallet sports cluster
Surface this because a profitable high-volume sports trader from a 3-wallet funded cluster is buying Under alongside a market-wide volume surge, even though the single fill itself is modest.
- This bettor has a long record: 3,387 resolved bets, 55% win rate, and about $142k profit.
- Three wallets funded by the same source have put about $16k behind this market, pointing to shared conviction.
- The market saw a 171x volume spike, and this wallet bought Under at 53¢ while the market still sits near 52¢.
$1,272 on Under | Wallet win rate: 54%
New whale buying Under
A 6-day-old wallet has repeatedly placed large bets and just sold Over at 48¢, which translates to a sizable fresh buy on Under around 52¢.
- This 6-day-old wallet has already triggered 6 large-bet alerts with $52.7k flagged total
- This trade effectively buys Under at about 52¢ with $11.2k of size
- The bettor is adding notable size in a liquid NBA market rather than making a one-off punt
$11,175 on Under | Wallet win rate: 100%
Top Holders
- 0xc974...b33b — Outcome 97186659, $46,408 (87% win rate)
- 0x6204...0b06 — Outcome 97186659, $12,300 (64% win rate)
- 0x4df3...788f — Outcome 97186659, $11,178 (70% win rate)
- 0x16b1...968a — Outcome 97186659, $9,841 (94% win rate)
- 0x32ed...f960 — Outcome 97186659, $6,914 (68% win rate)
- 0x5e30...acbf — Outcome 97186659, $3,677 (75% win rate)
- 0x006a...14ed — Outcome 97186659, $2,659 (94% win rate)
- 0x4b49...0397 — Outcome 97186659, $2,000 (77% win rate)
- 0xea48...c596 — Outcome 97186659, $1,977 (95% win rate)
- 0x01c7...e995 — Outcome 97186659, $1,911 (63% win rate)
Related Theses
Thunder win by seven
Covers 9 related markets
