Part of: Houston Astros vs. Los Angeles Angels
Houston Astros vs. Los Angeles Angels
This Polymarket market asks whether the Houston Astros or Los Angeles Angels will win their MLB game scheduled for July 27 at 9:38 PM ET. The market has tracked $63,529 in smart money across one signal; live team odds were not included in the supplied data. It resolves after the game is completed, or 50-50 if the game is canceled without a makeup game or ends in a tie.
6 smart money signals detected, totaling $146,583.
Categories: Sports, Games, MLB, baseball
Notable Trades
Six-wallet Astros buying cluster
Six linked wallets deployed $60,383 on Houston while the market surged 37%, creating a notable coordinated directional signal despite opposing linked exposure and substantial preexisting positions.
- Six linked wallets bought $60,383 of Houston Astros, including a $21,145 purchase at 88¢.
- The coordinated flow coincided with a 37% one-day price jump and a 36.4x volume spike.
- Several wallets already held large Astros positions, so this is stronger as confirmation than as entirely new conviction; a smaller linked group also backed the Angels.
$63,529 on Houston Astros
94% winner adds to Astros
A highly profitable serial trader with a 94% win rate and substantial edge is adding $17,500 to an existing Astros position despite the market moving against them.
- This bettor has won 94% of 68 resolved positions while buying at average odds of 53%, producing $172,973 in profit.
- They added $17,500 to an existing Astros position, bringing total investment to $52,500 despite the price falling to 44%.
- The trade is unusually large for a market with $187,000 in liquidity, signaling strong conviction from a serial cross-market trader active in 106 events.
$17,500 on Houston Astros | Wallet win rate: 94%
83% win-rate serial bettor
A highly experienced serial bettor with an 83% win rate and $896K profit is taking the Angels at 50¢.
- This bettor has won 83% of 574 resolved positions and is up $896,041 lifetime.
- The trader has placed bets across 81 events and 83 markets, showing a sustained, broad track record rather than a one-off wager.
- The Angels were bought at 50¢, with a suggested entry ceiling of 60¢.
$3,000 on Los Angeles Angels | Wallet win rate: 83%
Elite serial bettor backs Angels
A highly experienced bettor with an exceptional 82% win rate and 31-point edge is taking the Angels at near-even odds.
- This bettor has won 82% of 1,329 resolved positions and is up $1.92 million.
- The entry at 49¢ implies the Angels are viewed as meaningfully undervalued near a 50-50 market.
- The wallet has traded across 109 events and $426,000 in cross-market activity, providing a strong sample of repeat performance.
$1,470 on Los Angeles Angels | Wallet win rate: 82%
Sharp bettors scale into Angels
A $75.8K, 12-wallet one-sided Angels position combines an extreme volume spike with several highly profitable, high-win-rate bettors adding near 49%.
- Twelve wallets committed $75,847 to the Angels, including bettors with 90–95% win rates across hundreds of resolved positions.
- The group bought around 49¢ while the market is near 48%, and most participants were adding to existing Angels positions.
- Trading volume surged to $214,652 in 24 hours—more than 1,600 times the historical average—making the coordinated move unusually notable.
$53,553 on Los Angeles Angels
97% winner adds to Angels
A highly proven bettor with a 97% win rate and substantial positive edge is adding $7,531 to an Angels position despite the market pricing them near 48%.
- This bettor has won 97% of 109 resolved trades and is up $797,250 lifetime.
- The $7,531 purchase adds to an existing $15,370 Angels position, signaling increased conviction rather than routine profit-taking.
- The Angels were bought at 49¢ while the market is near 48%, implying the bettor sees meaningful value at near-even odds.
$7,531 on Los Angeles Angels | Wallet win rate: 97%
Top Holders
- 0xc807...c12b — Outcome 17937726, $94,265 (64% win rate)
- 0xfe78...0319 — Outcome 17937726, $65,627 (63% win rate)
- 0x9f15...bdb3 — Outcome 17937726, $24,766 (66% win rate)
- 0x558f...1a56 — Outcome 17937726, $21,949 (69% win rate)
- 0xf3a6...71bd — Outcome 17937726, $20,200 (61% win rate)
- 0xf8f3...7e0b — Outcome 17937726, $20,000
- 0xe558...dcd2 — Outcome 17937726, $17,003 (75% win rate)
- 0xa084...bb99 — Outcome 17937726, $15,370 (97% win rate)
- 0x41b4...10da — Outcome 17937726, $15,000 (57% win rate)
- 0x01e6...e7e0 — Outcome 17937726, $12,983 (51% win rate)
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