Part of: HSBC Championships: Alex de Minaur vs Brandon Nakashima

HSBC Championships: Alex de Minaur vs Brandon Nakashima

4 smart money signals detected, totaling $27,236.

Categories: Tennis, Games, Sports

Notable Trades

97% winner buying underdog

A highly proven 97% win-rate cross-market bettor put $10k on Alex de Minaur, but the market has since moved sharply against the entry.

  • This bettor wins 97% of resolved bets and is up $1.83M lifetime.
  • They placed $10k on Alex de Minaur at 36¢ after trading across 162 events.
  • The price has since fallen to 4¢, making this a high-risk follow despite the track record.

$10,000 on Alex de Minaur | Wallet win rate: 96%

97% winner leads buy cluster

A highly profitable 97% winner led a $12.9k three-wallet buy cluster on Alex de Minaur amid a major pre-event volume spike and sharp price volatility.

  • A bettor who has won 60 of 62 resolved positions and is up $1.83M placed the largest trade here.
  • Three wallets bought the same side for $12.9k, with the lead wallet putting in $10k at 36¢.
  • Market volume spiked 59x while Alex de Minaur fell sharply, suggesting these buyers are stepping into a big dip.

$12,922 on Alex de Minaur

Profitable serial sports bettor

Profitable high-volume serial cross-market trader bought Alex de Minaur amid a major pre-event volume spike, suggesting a copy-worthy sports position despite modest size.

  • This bettor is up $857K lifetime across more than 1,000 resolved markets.
  • They have traded 230 events and $2.6M in cross-market volume, showing a long sports-betting track record.
  • Market activity spiked 222x before the match, adding momentum behind the Alex de Minaur buy.

$3,197 on Alex de Minaur | Wallet win rate: 64%

84% winner backs favorite

Sharp, highly profitable serial cross-market bettor bought Alex de Minaur at 71¢ with an 84% historical win rate and $427k lifetime profit.

  • This bettor wins 84% of resolved trades and is up $427,742 lifetime.
  • They are a serial cross-market trader across 202 events, with $584,630 tracked in similar event bets.
  • Entry at 71¢ shows they are willing to back de Minaur even as the clear favorite.

$1,118 on Alex de Minaur | Wallet win rate: 79%

Top Holders

  1. 0x7670...4595 Outcome 11325476, $28,019
  2. 0x462d...ce9b Outcome 11325476, $14,767 (64% win rate)
  3. 0x13b8...d1af Outcome 11325476, $5,000 (71% win rate)
  4. 0x58e4...73f9 Outcome 11325476, $2,742 (48% win rate)
  5. 0xaa40...526d Outcome 11325476, $2,500
  6. 0x54a3...9b39 Outcome 11325476, $2,419 (90% win rate)
  7. 0x00c8...9ccd Outcome 11325476, $2,154 (75% win rate)
  8. 0xc3df...9945 Outcome 11325476, $2,088 (86% win rate)
  9. 0x15e4...7ba4 Outcome 11325476, $1,946 (81% win rate)
  10. 0x807a...8bdb Outcome 11325476, $1,907 (89% win rate)

Related Theses

Belgium won't beat Egypt

Covers 3 related markets

Germany dominates Curaçao shutout

Covers 6 related markets

Iraq Norway goal fest

Covers 4 related markets

Belgium dominates Iran early

Covers 4 related markets

Czechia wins big early

Covers 3 related markets

Canada Qatar first-half shootout

Covers 5 related markets

Germany wins high-scoring rout

Covers 4 related markets

France Northern Ireland goals galore

Covers 3 related markets

Norway advances in goalfest

Covers 3 related markets

USA Australia goalfest starts early

Covers 3 related markets

HSBC Championships: Alex de Minaur vs Brandon Nakashima

ResolvedHSBC Championships: Alex de Minaur vs Brandon Nakashima$27,236 tracked4 signalsTennisGamesSports

This market refers to the tennis match between Alex de Minaur and Brandon Nakashima in the HSBC Championships, originally scheduled for June 19, 2026 at 4:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Alex de Minaur' if Alex de Minaur advances against Brandon Nakashima. This market will resolve to 'Brandon Nakashima' if Brandon Nakashima advances against Alex de Minaur. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a winner determined, this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the ATP Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Notable Trades

HSBC Championships: Alex de Minaur vs Brandon Nakashima

33d ago

$10,000 on Alex de Minaur at 36¢

HSBC Championships: Alex de Minaur vs Brandon Nakashima

33d ago

$12,922 on Alex de Minaur at 36¢

HSBC Championships: Alex de Minaur vs Brandon Nakashima

33d ago

$3,197 on Alex de Minaur at 71¢

HSBC Championships: Alex de Minaur vs Brandon Nakashima

33d ago

$1,118 on Alex de Minaur at 71¢

Related Theses

Belgium won't beat Egypt
Wallet_0x076da trades 3 related markets
Will Egypt win on 2026-06-15?Will Belgium win on 2026-06-15…Will Belgium vs. Egypt end in …
Germany dominates Curaçao shutout
Wallet_0x076da trades 6 related markets
Spread: Germany (-2.5)Spread: Germany (-3.5)Germany vs. Curaçao: O/U 4.5
Iraq Norway goal fest
Wallet_0x5f659 trades 4 related markets
Iraq vs. Norway: O/U 4.5Iraq vs. Norway: 1st Half O/U …Iraq vs. Norway: 1st Half O/U …
Belgium dominates Iran early
Wallet_0x5f659 trades 4 related markets
Belgium vs. IR Iran: O/U 0.5Belgium vs. IR Iran: 1st Half …Belgium vs. IR Iran: 1st Half …
Czechia wins big early
Wallet_0x5f659 trades 3 related markets
Czechia vs. South Africa: 1st …Spread: Czechia (-1.5)Czechia vs. South Africa: 1st …
Canada Qatar first-half shootout
Wallet_0x5f659 trades 5 related markets
Canada vs. Qatar: O/U 5.5Canada vs. Qatar: 1st Half O/U…Canada vs. Qatar: Both Teams t…
Germany wins high-scoring rout
Wallet_0x5f659 trades 4 related markets
Germany vs. Paraguay: Team to …Spread: Germany (-1.5)Germany vs. Paraguay: 1st Half…
France Northern Ireland goals galore
Wallet_0x5f659 trades 3 related markets
France vs. Northern Ireland: O…France vs. Northern Ireland: O…France vs. Northern Ireland: O…
Norway advances in goalfest
Wallet_0x5f659 trades 3 related markets
Norway vs. England: Team to Ad…Norway vs. England: 1st Half O…Norway vs. England: O/U 2.5
USA Australia goalfest starts early
Wallet_0x5f659 trades 3 related markets
United States vs. Australia: O…United States vs. Australia: 1…United States vs. Australia: 1…