Part of: HSBC Championships: Alex de Minaur vs Denis Shapovalov
HSBC Championships: Alex de Minaur vs Denis Shapovalov
This prediction market covers who will advance in the HSBC Championships tennis match between Alex de Minaur and Denis Shapovalov, originally scheduled for June 17, 2026 at 8:00 AM ET. It resolves to the player who advances, with final resolution expected by June 24, 2026; PolySpotter is tracking $10,765 in smart money across 2 signals, including recent alerts showing 82% winner backing the favorite.
This market refers to the tennis match between Alex de Minaur and Denis Shapovalov in the HSBC Championships, originally scheduled for June 17, 2026 at 8:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Alex de Minaur' if Alex de Minaur advances against Denis Shapovalov. This market will resolve to 'Denis Shapovalov' if Denis Shapovalov advances against Alex de Minaur. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a winner determined, this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the ATP Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
2 smart money signals detected, totaling $10,765.
Categories: Tennis, Sports, Games
Notable Trades
82% winner on tennis favorite
Sharp serial sports bettor with an 82% record across 97 resolved positions bought Alex de Minaur at 78¢.
- This bettor wins 82% of resolved trades, including 80 wins across 97 positions.
- They are a serial cross-market trader across 38 events with $168K in tracked activity.
- Entry at 78¢ suggests confidence in de Minaur despite already being the clear favorite.
$2,883 on Alex de Minaur | Wallet win rate: 82%
82% winner backing favorite
Proven 82% winner with extensive cross-market history bought $7.9k of Alex de Minaur on a relatively quiet tennis market.
- This bettor wins 82% of resolved trades across 97 positions and is profitable lifetime.
- They have a long cross-market track record, with 35 events and $153k in similar positioning.
- The $7.9k buy was large for this market, exceeding recent 24h volume at a 78¢ entry.
$7,883 on Alex de Minaur | Wallet win rate: 82%
Top Holders
- 0xa804...2a75 — Alex de Minaur, $10,106 (82% win rate)
- 0x5213...6a35 — Denis Shapovalov, $3,864 (83% win rate)
- 0xeaac...d71d — Denis Shapovalov, $2,727 (82% win rate)
- 0x67ce...100f — Alex de Minaur, $2,536 (44% win rate)
- 0x84cf...2f63 — Alex de Minaur, $1,980 (48% win rate)
- 0x4379...2e16 — Denis Shapovalov, $1,473 (55% win rate)
- 0x8a26...937e — Alex de Minaur, $1,441 (56% win rate)
- 0x01c7...e995 — Denis Shapovalov, $1,187 (62% win rate)
- 0xd034...eece — Denis Shapovalov, $1,000
- 0x5b62...d87f — Denis Shapovalov, $1,000 (81% win rate)
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