Part of: HSBC Championships: Arthur Rinderknech vs Hamad Medjedovic
HSBC Championships: Arthur Rinderknech vs Hamad Medjedovic
This prediction market covers who will advance in the HSBC Championships tennis match between Arthur Rinderknech and Hamad Medjedovic, originally scheduled for June 15, 2026 at 4:00 AM ET. It resolves to the player who advances, with final resolution expected by June 22, 2026 if the match is delayed within the allowed window. PolySpotter is tracking $1,810 in smart money and 1 signal, with recent sharp-wallet activity noted on both Arthur Rinderknech and Hamad Medjedovic clusters.
This market refers to the tennis match between Arthur Rinderknech and Hamad Medjedovic in the HSBC Championships, originally scheduled for June 15, 2026 at 4:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Arthur Rinderknech' if Arthur Rinderknech advances against Hamad Medjedovic. This market will resolve to 'Hamad Medjedovic' if Hamad Medjedovic advances against Arthur Rinderknech. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a winner determined, this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the ATP Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
12 smart money signals detected, totaling $79,916.
Categories: Tennis, Sports, Games
Notable Trades
94% win-rate tennis sharp
Elite 94% win-rate wallet with $440k lifetime profit made a $12.4k Hamad buy, supported by serial cross-market sharp activity and a major pre-event volume spike.
- This bettor wins 94% of resolved trades and is up $440k lifetime.
- They have traded 145 event markets with the same 94% win rate, suggesting a repeatable edge.
- They bought Hamad at 59¢ while the market is now around 46¢, offering a cheaper entry than the sharp paid.
$12,442 on Hamad Medjedovic | Wallet win rate: 94%
Profitable sports grinder
Profitable high-volume wallet bought Rinderknech before a major pre-event volume spike and the price has already moved 12 points in its favor.
- This bettor has a huge track record: 14,685 resolved bets and $1.4M in lifetime profit.
- They bought Arthur Rinderknech at 42¢, and the market has already moved to 54¢.
- Volume spiked 244x versus the historical average, suggesting fresh pre-match attention.
$1,324 on Arthur Rinderknech | Wallet win rate: 53%
Profitable serial sports trader
A highly profitable serial sports trader with $15.8M lifetime P&L is flipping into Arthur Rinderknech after a sharp price drop.
- This bettor has won 65% of over 15,000 resolved bets and is up $15.8M lifetime.
- They flipped from a prior Hamad Medjedovic position into Arthur Rinderknech at 34¢.
- Arthur’s price is down 21 points in the last day, so this looks like a contrarian buy from a proven trader.
$1,810 on Arthur Rinderknech | Wallet win rate: 65%
Profitable serial sports trader
A highly profitable serial sports trader with $15.8M lifetime P&L is flipping into Arthur Rinderknech after a sharp price drop.
- This bettor has won 65% of over 15,000 resolved bets and is up $15.8M lifetime.
- They flipped from a prior Hamad Medjedovic position into Arthur Rinderknech at 34¢.
- Arthur’s price is down 21 points in the last day, so this looks like a contrarian buy from a proven trader.
$2,867 on Arthur Rinderknech | Wallet win rate: 65%
Sharp wallets align
Surface: three wallets, including two proven winning bettors and a very profitable whale, bought $18.7k of Hamad amid a major pre-event volume spike.
- Two buyers have strong records: one wins 77% of resolved bets and is up $303k, another wins 75% and is up $21k.
- A third high-volume bettor is up $15.8M lifetime and joined the same side.
- The market saw a 308x volume spike, with $18.7k flowing into Hamad before the match.
$18,713 on Hamad Medjedovic
79% winner joins one-sided flow
Proven profitable wallet with a 79% long-run win rate bought Arthur Rinderknech amid a major pre-event volume spike and same-side wallet flow.
- This bettor has won 79% of 1,077 resolved trades and is up $36,546 lifetime.
- Three wallets are all buying Arthur Rinderknech, totaling $4,864 in same-side flow.
- Volume is 308x above the historical average, suggesting unusual pre-match interest.
$1,528 on Arthur Rinderknech | Wallet win rate: 79%
Sharp bettor in Arthur cluster
Surface because a proven 79% winner is part of a three-wallet Arthur cluster during a 75x pre-event volume spike, despite larger opposing flow on Medjedovic.
- One bettor in this cluster wins 79% of resolved trades and is up $36K lifetime.
- Three wallets bought Arthur around 50–53¢, and the price has already moved to 55¢.
- Volume is 75x above normal, though there is also larger opposing money on Medjedovic.
$12,377 on Arthur Rinderknech
Sharp bettor joins Hamad cluster
Sharp 75% lifetime winner joined coordinated one-sided Hamad buying amid a major pre-event volume spike.
- This bettor wins 75% of resolved bets and is up $20.5k lifetime.
- Three wallets bought the same Hamad side for $17.1k total, showing coordinated conviction.
- Market volume spiked 75x before the match, and this wallet has traded across 25 events with a 75% hit rate.
$1,135 on Hamad Medjedovic | Wallet win rate: 75%
Sharp serial sports bettor
Sharp serial sports bettor with a 77% long-run win rate and $302,944 profit made a $14.7k buy on Hamad Medjedovic amid a major pre-event volume spike.
- This bettor wins 77% of resolved trades and is up $302,944 lifetime.
- They have traded across 112 events with the same 77% win rate, suggesting a repeatable sports edge.
- The $14.7k Hamad buy was over half of the market’s 24h volume during a 115x volume spike.
$14,720 on Hamad Medjedovic | Wallet win rate: 77%
94% win-rate whale
Despite only a weak new-wallet signal, this is a sharp-wallet override: the bettor has a 94% win rate across 299 resolved bets and is up $3.78M lifetime.
- This bettor wins 94% of resolved trades and is up $3.78M lifetime.
- They bought Hamad Medjedovic at 48¢, taking a meaningful tennis position despite the market now pricing him lower.
- The wallet has been flagged 36 times historically, suggesting repeated large and notable activity.
$1,500 on Hamad Medjedovic | Wallet win rate: 94%
Top Holders
- 0xd703...71bf — Hamad Medjedovic, $32,100
- 0x8a67...e403 — Hamad Medjedovic, $21,088 (94% win rate)
- 0xfe78...0319 — Arthur Rinderknech, $20,808 (65% win rate)
- 0x0997...c9f6 — Hamad Medjedovic, $20,000
- 0x204f...5e14 — Arthur Rinderknech, $16,965 (54% win rate)
- 0x55a1...db28 — Arthur Rinderknech, $16,276 (79% win rate)
- 0xb7f5...c669 — Hamad Medjedovic, $11,352 (47% win rate)
- 0x076d...8d4c — Hamad Medjedovic, $11,051 (65% win rate)
- 0x5268...135d — Arthur Rinderknech, $8,193 (53% win rate)
- 0xa22b...3525 — Arthur Rinderknech, $5,631 (44% win rate)
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