Part of: Iasi Open: Alevtina Ibragimova vs Paula Badosa
Iasi Open: Alevtina Ibragimova vs Paula Badosa
This Polymarket tennis market tracks who will advance in the Iasi Open match between Alevtina Ibragimova and Paula Badosa, originally scheduled for July 16, 2026 at 3:00AM ET. The market resolves to the player who advances, with resolution expected by July 23, 2026 if the match is completed within the rules. PolySpotter is tracking $32,831 in smart money and 2 signals, including recent Badosa-linked contrarian and sharp-flow alerts.
9 smart money signals detected, totaling $191,666.
Categories: Tennis, Sports, Games
Notable Trades
Sharp joined 16-wallet Badosa flow
Strong copy-trade signal from a profitable tennis bettor joining a 16-wallet one-sided Badosa flow that later moved to 100%.
- This bettor wins 76% of resolved bets and is up $478k lifetime.
- 16 wallets all backed Paula Badosa in the same window for $166k, including 4 linked wallets.
- Effective entry was around 40¢ before Badosa moved to 100¢.
$17,094 on Paula Badosa | Wallet win rate: 77%
96% winner re-enters underdog
Elite 96% win-rate tennis trader with nearly $5M profit reopened Alevtina after earlier profit-taking, alongside a huge pre-match volume spike.
- This bettor wins 96% of resolved trades and is up nearly $5M lifetime.
- They have traded 431 events with the same strong record, suggesting a repeatable sports edge.
- After closing an earlier Alevtina position, they bought back in at 33¢ and the market has already moved to 38¢.
$15,737 on Alevtina Ibragimova | Wallet win rate: 96%
82% winner adding to underdog
Proven profitable tennis bettor with an 82% win rate is adding to a large Alevtina position amid a major pre-match volume spike and price move.
- This bettor wins 82% of resolved trades and is up $2.4M lifetime.
- They already have about $320K on Alevtina and are still adding at 31¢.
- The market has seen an 826x volume spike and Alevtina has moved up 21 points in the past day.
$3,611 on Alevtina Ibragimova | Wallet win rate: 44%
96% winner re-enters underdog
Elite 96% win-rate tennis trader with nearly $5M profit reopened Alevtina after earlier profit-taking, alongside a huge pre-match volume spike.
- This bettor wins 96% of resolved trades and is up nearly $5M lifetime.
- They have traded 431 events with the same strong record, suggesting a repeatable sports edge.
- After closing an earlier Alevtina position, they bought back in at 33¢ and the market has already moved to 38¢.
$11,733 on Alevtina Ibragimova | Wallet win rate: 96%
Whale adding into volume spike
A very large bettor is adding to an already sizable Badosa position during a major pre-event volume surge, though their long-term win rate does not show a clear pricing edge.
- This bettor added $51.5K to Badosa and already has about $171K invested on the same side.
- Market volume spiked 826x versus its historical average, with the favored side moving sharply over the past day.
- The whale entered at 69¢, while Badosa is now around 62¢, offering a lower price than their average entry.
$51,518 on Paula Badosa | Wallet win rate: 58%
Profitable serial sports bettor
Profitable serial sports trader with an 82% resolved win rate is adding to an existing Paula Badosa position, though the edge is moderate and the bet size is not huge.
- This bettor wins 82% of resolved trades and is up $56.6K lifetime.
- They have traded across 63 events, suggesting a repeat sports-betting strategy rather than a one-off punt.
- They are adding to an existing Badosa position at 78¢, increasing exposure on the same side.
$1,006 on Paula Badosa | Wallet win rate: 82%
Profitable serial sports bettor
A highly experienced, profitable cross-market trader with $4.3M lifetime profit is putting $9.4K on Paula Badosa at 86¢.
- This bettor has $4.3M lifetime profit across more than 9,700 resolved trades.
- They are a heavy cross-market player, active across 951 events and $19.2M in flagged volume.
- The $9.4K buy backs Paula Badosa at 86¢, showing confidence in the strong favorite.
$9,391 on Paula Badosa | Wallet win rate: 64%
88% winner adding again
Proven profitable wallet with an 88% record is adding to an existing Paula Badosa position despite the short price.
- This bettor wins 88% of resolved trades and is up $46.8K lifetime.
- They are a serial cross-market trader across 31 events with the same 88% hit rate.
- They are adding to an existing Paula Badosa position at 84¢, signaling continued conviction.
$1,437 on Paula Badosa | Wallet win rate: 89%
Linked Badosa contrarian cluster
A large linked cluster bought $80k of Paula Badosa, but the signal is high-risk because price has since collapsed and there is nearly equal opposite flow.
- 10 wallets bought $80k of Paula Badosa, including linked wallets moving together.
- Several wallets are major repeat traders, including one up $21.6M lifetime and another up $4.3M.
- This is a risky contrarian setup: Badosa was bought near 68¢ but now trades around 35¢ after heavy opposite momentum.
$80,138 on Paula Badosa
Top Holders
- 0x3719...2df0 — Outcome 22452754, $17,000 (72% win rate)
- 0x90b8...5b23 — Outcome 22452754, $16,100 (25% win rate)
- 0x5901...63a2 — Outcome 22452754, $13,744 (90% win rate)
- 0x8718...5040 — Outcome 22452754, $12,152 (78% win rate)
- 0x53a1...b1b0 — Outcome 22452754, $11,658 (75% win rate)
- 0xe6a9...e35a — Outcome 22452754, $10,118 (86% win rate)
- 0x9340...e829 — Outcome 22452754, $4,527 (87% win rate)
- 0xe4b1...a75e — Outcome 22452754, $4,261 (37% win rate)
- 0x6318...46b1 — Outcome 22452754, $3,224
- 0xeaf3...e802 — Outcome 22452754, $3,200 (82% win rate)
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