Part of: Ilkley: Kayla Day vs Mary Stoiana
Ilkley: Kayla Day vs Mary Stoiana
This Polymarket tennis market covers the Ilkley match between Kayla Day and Mary Stoiana, originally scheduled for June 8, 2026 at 4:00AM ET. It resolves to the player who advances, with resolution expected by June 15, 2026; if the match is canceled, tied, or delayed more than 7 days without a winner, it resolves 50-50. PolySpotter is tracking $1,286 in smart money across 1 signal, including activity from a profitable serial tennis bettor backing the underdog side.
This market refers to the tennis match between Kayla Day and Mary Stoiana in the Ilkley, originally scheduled for June 8, 2026 at 4:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Kayla Day' if Kayla Day advances against Mary Stoiana. This market will resolve to 'Mary Stoiana' if Mary Stoiana advances against Kayla Day. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a winner determined, this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the WTA Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
3 smart money signals detected, totaling $9,286.
Categories: Tennis, Sports, Games
Notable Trades
Profitable serial tennis bettor
Profitable serial sports trader with a 64% resolved win rate and +$45.6k lifetime P&L is buying Kayla Day at near-even odds.
- This bettor wins 64% of resolved trades and is up $45.6k lifetime.
- They have traded across 86 events, suggesting an experienced sports-market pattern rather than a one-off bet.
- Entry at 52¢ is close to even money, implying they see Kayla Day as better than a coin flip.
$1,286 on Kayla Day | Wallet win rate: 64%
Sharp serial sports bettor
Sharp serial sports bettor with a 76% resolved win rate and positive lifetime P&L bought Mary Stoiana at 48¢.
- This bettor wins 76% of resolved trades and is up $33k lifetime.
- They have traded across 36 events with the same 76% hit rate, suggesting a repeatable edge.
- Entry at 48¢ is below the current 47–53 market balance and gives roughly 2x upside if Stoiana wins.
$2,500 on Mary Stoiana | Wallet win rate: 76%
76% winner backs underdog
Sharp profitable bettor with a 76% resolved win rate and serial cross-market history bought $5.5k of Mary Stoiana at 48¢ in a relatively small tennis market.
- This bettor wins 76% of resolved trades and is up $33k lifetime.
- They have traded 35 event markets with the same 76% success rate, suggesting a repeatable sports edge.
- They put $5.5k on Mary Stoiana at 48¢, a meaningful position in a modest-volume match market.
$5,500 on Mary Stoiana | Wallet win rate: 76%
Top Holders
- 0x4f29...7a7e — Kayla Day, $24,120 (54% win rate)
- 0xfac7...78eb — Mary Stoiana, $17,292 (76% win rate)
- 0xfe78...0319 — Mary Stoiana, $5,082 (67% win rate)
- 0x5d1d...afd2 — Mary Stoiana, $4,944 (54% win rate)
- 0x86fb...03d4 — Mary Stoiana, $4,886 (56% win rate)
- 0x9dfe...a5d6 — Kayla Day, $2,474 (64% win rate)
- 0x2005...75ea — Kayla Day, $2,069 (55% win rate)
- 0x5268...135d — Kayla Day, $1,534 (53% win rate)
- 0x204f...5e14 — Kayla Day, $958 (54% win rate)
- 0x84ad...bfb7 — Kayla Day, $534 (55% win rate)
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