Part of: Ilkley: Kayla Day vs Mary Stoiana
Ilkley: Kayla Day vs Mary Stoiana
6 smart money signals detected, totaling $22,120.
Categories: Tennis, Sports, Games
Notable Trades
Profitable bettor on breakout
A highly profitable high-volume wallet bought Mary Stoiana at 90¢ after a dramatic repricing from near coin-flip levels, suggesting a strong informed sports move.
- This bettor is up $2.1M lifetime across a very large trading history.
- Mary Stoiana has surged from roughly 45–48¢ to 90¢, and this wallet still added $3.7K at the new price.
- Entry at 90¢ signals confidence despite already paying favorite odds.
$3,739 on Mary Stoiana | Wallet win rate: 54%
Profitable tennis whale follows steam
A massively profitable tennis bettor bought Kayla Day during a major pre-match volume surge and 18-point price move.
- This bettor has won 67% of over 12,900 resolved bets and is up $15.1M lifetime.
- Kayla Day has moved up 18 points in the past day, with volume surging far above this market’s normal activity.
- Entry at 67¢ is below the current 70¢ market price, suggesting the bettor caught early momentum.
$3,177 on Kayla Day | Wallet win rate: 63%
Linked profitable cluster buying underdog
A coordinated 3-wallet Mary Stoiana buy cluster includes linked wallets and highly profitable tennis/serial bettors, with activity occurring during a major pre-event volume spike despite the price moving against them afterward.
- Three wallets bought the same underdog side for $5.9K, with two wallets sharing a funder.
- The largest profile is up $15.1M lifetime across over 12,000 resolved bets.
- They paid around 46¢ for Mary Stoiana, while the market now offers roughly 30¢.
$5,918 on Mary Stoiana
Profitable serial tennis bettor
Profitable serial sports trader with a 64% resolved win rate and +$45.6k lifetime P&L is buying Kayla Day at near-even odds.
- This bettor wins 64% of resolved trades and is up $45.6k lifetime.
- They have traded across 86 events, suggesting an experienced sports-market pattern rather than a one-off bet.
- Entry at 52¢ is close to even money, implying they see Kayla Day as better than a coin flip.
$1,286 on Kayla Day | Wallet win rate: 65%
Sharp serial sports bettor
Sharp serial sports bettor with a 76% resolved win rate and positive lifetime P&L bought Mary Stoiana at 48¢.
- This bettor wins 76% of resolved trades and is up $33k lifetime.
- They have traded across 36 events with the same 76% hit rate, suggesting a repeatable edge.
- Entry at 48¢ is below the current 47–53 market balance and gives roughly 2x upside if Stoiana wins.
$2,500 on Mary Stoiana | Wallet win rate: 80%
76% winner backs underdog
Sharp profitable bettor with a 76% resolved win rate and serial cross-market history bought $5.5k of Mary Stoiana at 48¢ in a relatively small tennis market.
- This bettor wins 76% of resolved trades and is up $33k lifetime.
- They have traded 35 event markets with the same 76% success rate, suggesting a repeatable sports edge.
- They put $5.5k on Mary Stoiana at 48¢, a meaningful position in a modest-volume match market.
$5,500 on Mary Stoiana | Wallet win rate: 80%
Top Holders
- 0x9dfe...a5d6 — Outcome 10547942, $2,474 (65% win rate)
- 0x60ec...f7b0 — Outcome 10547942, $792 (70% win rate)
- 0x99d7...6435 — Outcome 10547942, $393 (89% win rate)
- 0x775d...6beb — Outcome 10547942, $220 (76% win rate)
- 0x87a6...eb84 — Outcome 10547942, $129
- 0xeb76...7ffe — Outcome 10547942, $114
- 0xc4fe...601f — Outcome 10547942, $114
- 0x3067...a44c — Outcome 10547942, $111
- 0x5213...6a35 — Outcome 10547942, $102 (74% win rate)
- 0xcec1...9c0c — Outcome 10547942, $102 (62% win rate)
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