Indian Premier League: Lucknow Super Giants vs Rajasthan Royals
This Polymarket tracks the winner of the Indian Premier League match between Lucknow Super Giants and Rajasthan Royals scheduled for April 22, 2026. The market resolves based on the official finalized result published by ESPNcricinfo, including outcomes decided by DLS, super overs, penalties, forfeits, or other match rules that declare a winner. Traders are watching this IPL prediction market for live odds, team sentiment, and smart money activity ahead of resolution by April 29, 2026.
This market refers to the cricket match between Lucknow Super Giants and Rajasthan Royals scheduled for April 22 2026 in Indian Premier League. This market resolves according to the finalized match result as published by https://www.espncricinfo.com/. DLS/DRS, over-rate penalties, forfeit/walkover, or any other on-field ruling that leads the competition to declare a winner are treated as ordinary wins. If the match ends tied and the playing conditions provide an on-field tiebreak (e.g., Super Over), the winner determined by that tiebreak will be used for resolution. If the match ends tied and no on-field tiebreak is used or available under the playing conditions (e.g., group-stage ODI with no Super Over), the market will resolve 50-50. If the match is postponed/rescheduled, the market remains open until the listed fixture is completed. If the match is permanently canceled or abandoned or otherwise is completed without a winner, the market resolves 50-50. The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead.
10 smart money signals detected, totaling $76,127.
Categories: Sports, Games, Cricket, Indian Premier League
Notable Trades
81% win-rate sports sharp
A highly profitable serial cross-market bettor with an 81% win rate bought into a fast-moving IPL side as volume and price surged, making this worth surfacing despite the modest ticket size.
- This bettor wins 81% of resolved trades and is up about $2.0M lifetime across 419 bets.
- They trade heavily across sports and event markets, with nearly $5.9M deployed over 396 events.
- They bought at 86¢ while this market was ripping higher on a 46x volume spike, backing the favorite with momentum.
$2,016 on Lucknow Super Giants | Wallet win rate: 81%
81% win-rate sports bettor
A highly profitable serial sports trader with an 81% win rate just put $31k on Lucknow in a fast-moving, high-volume IPL market, making this a strong copy-trade signal despite the already-high price.
- This bettor wins 81% of their resolved trades and is up about $2.0M lifetime.
- They trade heavily across hundreds of events and just placed a $31k bet here, which stands out as informed conviction.
- The market has surged with a 51x volume spike and Lucknow moved up 12 points fast, backing the direction of this trade.
$30,994 on Lucknow Super Giants | Wallet win rate: 81%
Proven sports bettor buying favorite
A high-volume serial sports trader with a 71% win rate and $87k profit made a sizable buy during a major pre-match volume surge, making this flow worth watching despite the price now being slightly better than their fill.
- This bettor has won 217 of 305 resolved trades and is up $87k overall.
- They have traded 27 related events for $305k total, which points to repeatable sports-market activity rather than a one-off punt.
- The buy landed during a 51x volume spike as Lucknow surged, and the market now offers a slightly better entry at 78¢ vs their 82¢ fill.
$6,494 on Lucknow Super Giants | Wallet win rate: 71%
Linked trio buying underdog
Three wallets, including two linked by funding, piled into the underdog Rajasthan side during a sharp volume spike and price move, suggesting coordinated conviction on a 20¢ outcome.
- Three wallets all took the Rajasthan side within minutes, and two of them share a funder.
- They bought around 20-22¢ while the market was surging on nearly $589k of 24-hour volume.
- One wallet has a huge sample with $343k lifetime profit, which adds some credibility to the cluster.
$4,673 on Rajasthan Royals
4-wallet Royals cluster
A repeat new wallet with nearly $20k of recent flagged action joined a 4-wallet one-sided cluster by effectively buying Rajasthan Royals during a major volume spike in this IPL market.
- Four wallets all piled into Rajasthan Royals for $5.2k total in the same window.
- This 18-day-old wallet has already triggered 15 large-bet alerts and is up $378 across 8 resolved bets.
- The trade came during a 74x volume surge, suggesting fast money was moving into this side.
$1,308 on Rajasthan Royals | Wallet win rate: 63%
7-wallet Lucknow pile-in
A repeat new-wallet bettor with early profits joined a 7-wallet one-sided push into Lucknow during an unusually large volume spike, making this coordinated sports flow worth watching despite the small individual ticket.
- Seven wallets all bought Lucknow together, putting in $11.8k on one side of this match
- This 18-day-old wallet has already triggered 14 large-bet alerts and is up $378 so far
- Market activity surged to 103x normal volume, backing the idea that bettors are pressing a shared view
$1,367 on Lucknow Super Giants | Wallet win rate: 63%
5-wallet one-sided cricket cluster
Five wallets piled into Lucknow Super Giants for $14.6k during a 21.7x volume spike and a fast 12-point price move, creating a strong coordinated-flow signal despite mixed individual wallet quality.
- Five wallets bought Lucknow together for $14.6k as market activity jumped 21.7x above normal.
- The market moved fast during the burst, with Lucknow up 12 points in about 4 minutes.
- One repeat new wallet has already been flagged 15 times and is modestly profitable, adding another sign of active conviction.
$14,573 on Lucknow Super Giants
81% win-rate sports sharp
A highly profitable serial sports trader with an 81% win rate bought alongside a 10-wallet one-sided cluster during a huge pre-match volume spike, making this a strong trade to study despite the market moving sharply against the entry.
- This bettor wins 81% of 419 resolved trades and is up $2.0M lifetime
- 10 wallets piled into Rajasthan Royals for $45.9k during a 295x volume spike
- The trader paid 61¢, well above the current 32¢ price, so this is stronger as a follow-worthy wallet than a same-price copy now
$2,396 on Rajasthan Royals | Wallet win rate: 81%
10-wallet Royals cluster
A 10-wallet one-sided cluster piled into Rajasthan Royals during a huge volume spike, and this repeat new wallet joined by selling Lucknow before the market moved hard against that side.
- 10 wallets all bet Rajasthan Royals in the same window, totaling $45.9k of one-way flow
- Market activity exploded to 295x normal volume while Lucknow moved 29 points, showing strong momentum behind the same thesis
- This wallet is only 18 days old but has already made 12 notable bets and put $15.4k to work
$1,594 on Rajasthan Royals | Wallet win rate: 63%
5-wallet contrarian cluster
Multiple wallets piled into Rajasthan Royals during a huge pre-match volume surge, including one profitable high-win bettor, creating a notable contrarian cluster against a market that has since moved sharply the other way.
- Five wallets all bet Rajasthan Royals for $10.7k during a 103x volume spike in this match market.
- One of the wallets wins 78% of 125 resolved bets, adding some evidence that at least part of this flow may be sharp.
- They bought Rajasthan as high as 43¢ and 32¢ while the market now sits near 32¢ after a 26-point one-day move, making this a clear line to track.
$10,711 on Rajasthan Royals
Top Holders
- 0xa4b7...6008 — Rajasthan Royals, $44,867 (50% win rate)
- 0x198f...c419 — Rajasthan Royals, $34,520 (49% win rate)
- 0xff27...94ff — Lucknow Super Giants, $22,849 (67% win rate)
- 0x8488...588c — Rajasthan Royals, $20,000 (37% win rate)
- 0x7d92...8676 — Lucknow Super Giants, $19,517 (81% win rate)
- 0x4310...cd60 — Lucknow Super Giants, $14,620 (26% win rate)
- 0x10ff...5088 — Lucknow Super Giants, $12,921 (53% win rate)
- 0x4ae4...b563 — Rajasthan Royals, $12,809 (58% win rate)
- 0x6d30...ce29 — Lucknow Super Giants, $11,965 (52% win rate)
- 0x65b9...ff15 — Lucknow Super Giants, $10,545 (69% win rate)
