Part of: Indian Premier League: Punjab Kings vs Mumbai Indians
Indian Premier League: Punjab Kings vs Mumbai Indians
This Polymarket market covers the Indian Premier League match between Punjab Kings and Mumbai Indians scheduled for May 14, 2026. It resolves based on the finalized match result published by ESPNcricinfo, including any official winner determined by DLS/DRS, penalties, forfeits, walkovers, or on-field tiebreaks such as a Super Over. PolySpotter is tracking $8,400 in smart money across 1 signal, including activity flagged from profitable cricket and sports bettors.
This market refers to the cricket match between Punjab Kings and Mumbai Indians scheduled for May 14 2026 in Indian Premier League. This market resolves according to the finalized match result as published by https://www.espncricinfo.com/. DLS/DRS, over-rate penalties, forfeit/walkover, or any other on-field ruling that leads the competition to declare a winner are treated as ordinary wins. If the match ends tied and the playing conditions provide an on-field tiebreak (e.g., Super Over), the winner determined by that tiebreak will be used for resolution. If the match ends tied and no on-field tiebreak is used or available under the playing conditions (e.g., group-stage ODI with no Super Over), the market will resolve 50-50. If the match is postponed/rescheduled, the market remains open until the listed fixture is completed. If the match is permanently canceled or abandoned or otherwise is completed without a winner, the market resolves 50-50. The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead.
6 smart money signals detected, totaling $21,728.
Categories: Sports, Games, Cricket, Indian Premier League
Notable Trades
Profitable serial sports bettor
A repeat cross-market sports bettor with positive P&L bought $8.4k of Mumbai amid a major pre-event volume spike, though the edge is moderate rather than elite.
- This bettor is up $13.8k lifetime across $575.6k traded and has been active across 27 events.
- They bought $8.4k of Mumbai at 70¢ while the market saw a 59x volume spike.
- Mumbai is already the favorite, but the 70¢ entry suggests continued conviction despite recent market movement.
$8,400 on Mumbai Indians | Wallet win rate: 60%
Sharp-led 5-wallet cluster
Five wallets bought Mumbai Indians together, led by a profitable 77% bettor with a strong edge, making this worth surfacing despite the market being liquid.
- A bettor who wins 77% of resolved trades is in this cluster and is up $22.9K lifetime.
- Five wallets bought the same side within minutes, totaling $5.9K in Mumbai Indians exposure.
- Entries averaged about 53¢ and the market is now near 60¢, suggesting this group caught a fast move.
$5,898 on Mumbai Indians
Profitable serial sports bettor
A highly experienced cross-market sports bettor with 70% wins and $138k profit bought Mumbai at 49¢ before the price moved to 57¢.
- This bettor has won 70% of 343 resolved bets and is up $138,641 lifetime.
- They are a serial cross-market trader across 49 events, with over $554,000 deployed in this pattern.
- They bought Mumbai at 49¢ and the market has already moved to 57¢, supporting the call.
$1,126 on Mumbai Indians | Wallet win rate: 70%
Three-wallet Punjab buy
Three wallets bought Punjab Kings in the same window, including two profitable high-volume bettors, but the size is modest relative to a very liquid IPL market.
- Three wallets all bought Punjab Kings around 49–50¢ in the same 12-minute window.
- Two of the bettors are profitable historically, including one up $192,793 across 409 resolved bets.
- One wallet appears to have switched away from Mumbai after previously holding that side.
$3,397 on Punjab Kings
Proven sports sharp
Serial cross-market sports bettor with a very large profitable track record bought Mumbai Indians at 44¢.
- This bettor wins 74% of resolved trades across 2,602 bets and is up $1.24M lifetime.
- They are a serial cross-market trader with $203K tracked across 41 events, suggesting a repeatable sports edge.
- Entry at 44¢ implies they see Mumbai Indians as underpriced versus the current market.
$1,366 on Mumbai Indians | Wallet win rate: 74%
Profitable new repeat whale
A 2-day-old wallet with early profits is making its third flagged large bet, adding a $1.5k buy on Punjab Kings after $5.8k total flagged activity.
- This 2-day-old bettor is already up $1,464 and has made 5 positions.
- This is their third flagged large bet, with $5,805 total flagged across recent trades.
- They bought Punjab Kings at 57¢ in a liquid market, showing fresh conviction despite modest price movement.
$1,540 on Punjab Kings | Wallet win rate: 67%
Top Holders
- 0x0325...01bc — Mumbai Indians, $62,562 (71% win rate)
- 0x5b6e...f544 — Punjab Kings, $60,000 (89% win rate)
- 0xa4b7...6008 — Punjab Kings, $45,671 (50% win rate)
- 0x10ff...5088 — Mumbai Indians, $20,252 (55% win rate)
- 0xda33...dacc — Punjab Kings, $16,528 (81% win rate)
- 0xff27...94ff — Mumbai Indians, $14,778 (60% win rate)
- 0xe16d...3159 — Punjab Kings, $14,002 (100% win rate)
- 0x6e02...d70a — Punjab Kings, $12,914 (50% win rate)
- 0x3020...bc04 — Mumbai Indians, $10,636 (69% win rate)
- 0x0389...847b — Mumbai Indians, $9,655 (70% win rate)
