Part of: Indian Premier League: Rajasthan Royals vs Lucknow Super Giants

Indian Premier League: Rajasthan Royals vs Lucknow Super Giants

This prediction market covers the Indian Premier League match between Rajasthan Royals and Lucknow Super Giants scheduled for May 19, 2026. PolySpotter tracks $11,464 in smart money activity across 2 signals, including recent wallet clusters showing momentum on both Rajasthan and Lucknow. The market resolves based on the finalized match result published by ESPNcricinfo, with ordinary on-field rulings such as DLS, penalties, forfeits, or tiebreaks counting toward the declared winner.

25 smart money signals detected, totaling $146,897.

Categories: Sports, Games, Cricket, Indian Premier League

Notable Trades

Profitable new IPL whale

Profitable 11-day-old wallet with repeat large bets bought Rajasthan at 73¢ before a major move to 94¢ amid a volume spike.

  • This 11-day-old bettor is 5-for-5 on resolved bets and up $4.8K so far.
  • They have now been flagged 5 times, with $21K in notable large bets already.
  • Rajasthan moved from their 73¢ entry to 94¢ as volume spiked nearly 15x.

$3,000 on Rajasthan Royals | Wallet win rate: 100%

Serial bettor riding momentum

High-volume IPL favorite buy from an experienced serial cross-market bettor coincided with a major price move and volume spike, though the wallet is not lifetime profitable.

  • An experienced sports bettor with 822 resolved markets bought $8.5k at 88¢ before the price moved to 94¢.
  • The market saw a 14.8x volume spike and Rajasthan moved sharply upward, suggesting broader money is piling into the same side.
  • This is already a heavy favorite, so the copy window is narrow above the trader’s 88¢ entry.

$8,464 on Rajasthan Royals | Wallet win rate: 78%

5-wallet Lucknow push

Surfacing because five wallets put one-sided money on Lucknow during a volume spike, though this wallet is not a proven high-win-rate sharp and the market has since moved against the entry.

  • Five wallets all bought Lucknow in the same window, totaling $17.5K on one side.
  • This wallet put $12.3K behind Lucknow, including sells of Rajasthan that convert to the same view.
  • The market has moved against them from about 49¢ to 30¢, so this is a higher-risk contrarian follow.

$12,315 on Lucknow Super Giants | Wallet win rate: 54%

Six-wallet Rajasthan push

Coordinated one-sided flow into Rajasthan from 6 wallets, backed by a 10x volume spike and rapid price move, makes this worth surfacing despite the lead wallet's modest win rate.

  • Six wallets bought Rajasthan the same way, totaling about $23K in coordinated flow.
  • Market volume spiked 10.3x and Rajasthan moved 12 points in about 5 minutes.
  • This wallet is only a 54% winner, but it is up $156K lifetime and added nearly $7.7K of Rajasthan exposure.

$7,689 on Rajasthan Royals | Wallet win rate: 54%

Profitable trader joins cluster

A profitable high-volume serial sports trader bought Rajasthan while six wallets pushed the same side amid a volume spike and fast price move.

  • This bettor has traded 2,438 resolved markets and is up about $442K lifetime.
  • Six wallets bought Rajasthan in the same window, totaling about $23K on one side.
  • Volume spiked 10x and Rajasthan moved up 12 points in under 5 minutes during the buying wave.

$2,092 on Rajasthan Royals | Wallet win rate: 58%

6-wallet Rajasthan flow

Six wallets bought Rajasthan in the same window with a volume spike and short-term price impact, though this specific wallet has only a mixed track record and the market has since retraced.

  • Six wallets bought Rajasthan the same way, totaling $23.2K in coordinated flow.
  • Market volume spiked 10.3x and Rajasthan jumped 12 points in under 5 minutes during the buying.
  • This wallet is up $40.2K lifetime, but the entry was 60¢ and the market has since fallen to 48¢.

$1,411 on Rajasthan Royals | Wallet win rate: 50%

New sharp backing Lucknow

A 10-day-old repeat large bettor with early profits sold Rajasthan at 56¢, effectively backing Lucknow at 44¢ before the market moved toward Lucknow.

  • This new bettor is already up $1,490 and has now made 3 flagged large positions in 10 days.
  • Selling Rajasthan at 56¢ is equivalent to backing Lucknow at 44¢, and Lucknow is now trading around 52¢.
  • The move came during a fast 12-point price swing, suggesting this wallet caught the market turn well.

$4,350 on Lucknow Super Giants | Wallet win rate: 100%

99% win-rate cricket bettor

A highly profitable 99% win-rate sports bettor bought Rajasthan Royals, with supporting one-sided flow from five wallets despite the price drifting below their entry.

  • This bettor has won 181 of 182 resolved bets and is up $143,958 lifetime.
  • They are a serial sports/event trader across 190 markets with a 99% win record.
  • Five wallets bought Rajasthan Royals in the same direction, totaling $10,204.

$1,239 on Rajasthan Royals | Wallet win rate: 99%

5-wallet one-sided sports flow

Surface due to coordinated one-sided buying by 5 wallets plus a 15.8x pre-event volume spike, though the lead wallet lacks a strong win-rate edge and price has moved against entry.

  • Five wallets all bought the same side, totaling $10.2k in coordinated Rajasthan Royals demand.
  • Market volume is running 15.8x above normal ahead of the match, suggesting unusual pre-game positioning.
  • This buyer entered at 56¢, while the market is now around 52¢, offering a cheaper entry than the flagged trade.

$3,547 on Rajasthan Royals | Wallet win rate: 50%

Profitable serial sports trader

Profitable serial sports bettor with a 69% resolved win rate is buying Lucknow at 55¢ despite a liquid market.

  • This bettor has won 69% of 48 resolved bets and is up $70K lifetime.
  • They have traded across 30 events with $130K total volume, suggesting a repeat sports edge.
  • Entry at 55¢ is slightly below the current 56% market price.

$2,491 on Lucknow Super Giants | Wallet win rate: 69%

Top Holders

  1. 0x5b6e...f544 Outcome 30774123, $175,000 (86% win rate)
  2. 0xb45d...a406 Outcome 30774123, $74,800
  3. 0x10ff...5088 Outcome 30774123, $21,241 (55% win rate)
  4. 0x169d...fb3d Outcome 30774123, $20,556 (60% win rate)
  5. 0x85a7...2072 Outcome 30774123, $12,328 (67% win rate)
  6. 0x7065...f73c Outcome 30774123, $12,000 (65% win rate)
  7. 0x160b...4296 Outcome 30774123, $10,765 (75% win rate)
  8. 0x6f8b...01aa Outcome 30774123, $10,245 (39% win rate)
  9. 0x143c...02c6 Outcome 30774123, $10,001
  10. 0x2fe7...0c14 Outcome 30774123, $10,000

Related Theses

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Indian Premier League: Rajasthan Royals vs Lucknow Super Giants

5dIndian Premier League: Rajasthan Royals vs Lucknow Super Giants$146,897 tracked25 signalsSportsGamesCricketIndian Premier League

This market refers to the cricket match between Rajasthan Royals and Lucknow Super Giants scheduled for May 19 2026 in Indian Premier League. This market resolves according to the finalized match result as published by https://www.espncricinfo.com/. DLS/DRS, over-rate penalties, forfeit/walkover, or any other on-field ruling that leads the competition to declare a winner are treated as ordinary wins. If the match ends tied and the playing conditions provide an on-field tiebreak (e.g., Super Over), the winner determined by that tiebreak will be used for resolution. If the match ends tied and no on-field tiebreak is used or available under the playing conditions (e.g., group-stage ODI with no Super Over), the market will resolve 50-50. If the match is postponed/rescheduled, the market remains open until the listed fixture is completed. If the match is permanently canceled or abandoned or otherwise is completed without a winner, the market resolves 50-50. The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead.

LSG
220/5
Final
Final
Sawai Mansingh Stadium, Jaipur, Jaipur
RR
225/3
(19.1/20 ov ov)
Toss: Rajasthan Royals, elected to field
Odds
Polymarket
Price History — “Lucknow Super Giants
68¢
55¢
42¢
Alert entriesHigh-conviction

Notable Trades

Indian Premier League: Rajasthan Royals vs Lucknow Super Giants

1d ago

$3,000 on Rajasthan Royals at 73¢

Indian Premier League: Rajasthan Royals vs Lucknow Super Giants

1d ago

$8,464 on Rajasthan Royals at 88¢

Indian Premier League: Rajasthan Royals vs Lucknow Super Giants

1d ago

$12,315 on Lucknow Super Giants at 49¢

Indian Premier League: Rajasthan Royals vs Lucknow Super Giants

1d ago

$7,689 on Rajasthan Royals at 51¢

Indian Premier League: Rajasthan Royals vs Lucknow Super Giants

1d ago

$2,092 on Rajasthan Royals at 60¢

Indian Premier League: Rajasthan Royals vs Lucknow Super Giants

1d ago

$1,411 on Rajasthan Royals at 60¢

Indian Premier League: Rajasthan Royals vs Lucknow Super Giants

1d ago

$4,350 on Lucknow Super Giants at 44¢

Indian Premier League: Rajasthan Royals vs Lucknow Super Giants

1d ago

$1,239 on Rajasthan Royals at 58¢

Indian Premier League: Rajasthan Royals vs Lucknow Super Giants

1d ago

$3,547 on Rajasthan Royals at 56¢

Indian Premier League: Rajasthan Royals vs Lucknow Super Giants

1d ago

$2,491 on Lucknow Super Giants at 55¢

Indian Premier League: Rajasthan Royals vs Lucknow Super Giants

1d ago

$1,682 on Rajasthan Royals at 45¢

Indian Premier League: Rajasthan Royals vs Lucknow Super Giants

1d ago

$5,000 on Lucknow Super Giants at 71¢

Indian Premier League: Rajasthan Royals vs Lucknow Super Giants

1d ago

$23,268 on Rajasthan Royals at 67¢

Indian Premier League: Rajasthan Royals vs Lucknow Super Giants

1d ago

$2,701 on Lucknow Super Giants at 67¢

Indian Premier League: Rajasthan Royals vs Lucknow Super Giants

1d ago

$2,344 on Lucknow Super Giants at 64¢

Indian Premier League: Rajasthan Royals vs Lucknow Super Giants

1d ago

$1,276 on Lucknow Super Giants at 70¢

Indian Premier League: Rajasthan Royals vs Lucknow Super Giants

1d ago

$2,924 on Rajasthan Royals at 34¢

Indian Premier League: Rajasthan Royals vs Lucknow Super Giants

1d ago

$2,898 on Rajasthan Royals at 36¢

Indian Premier League: Rajasthan Royals vs Lucknow Super Giants

1d ago

$8,321 on Lucknow Super Giants at 44¢

Indian Premier League: Rajasthan Royals vs Lucknow Super Giants

1d ago

$4,500 on Rajasthan Royals at 58¢

Indian Premier League: Rajasthan Royals vs Lucknow Super Giants

1d ago

$3,627 on Lucknow Super Giants at 41¢

Indian Premier League: Rajasthan Royals vs Lucknow Super Giants

1d ago

$35,941 on Lucknow Super Giants at 65¢

Indian Premier League: Rajasthan Royals vs Lucknow Super Giants

1d ago

$1,501 on Lucknow Super Giants at 42¢

Indian Premier League: Rajasthan Royals vs Lucknow Super Giants

1d ago

$1,486 on Lucknow Super Giants at 42¢

Indian Premier League: Rajasthan Royals vs Lucknow Super Giants

1d ago

$2,830 on Rajasthan Royals at 56¢

Related Theses