Part of: Indiana Fever vs. New York Liberty

Indiana Fever vs. New York Liberty

5 smart money signals detected, totaling $74,587.

Categories: Sports, Games, WNBA, Basketball

Notable Trades

Serial sharp adds to Liberty

A serial cross-market bettor with 89% historical accuracy added $8,000 to an existing Liberty position, though the high 90¢ entry and current 62% odds make copying costly.

  • This bettor wins 89% of 186 resolved trades across 93 events and has earned over $50,000.
  • They added $8,000 to an existing New York Liberty position at 90¢, signaling increased conviction rather than a casual new bet.
  • The 90¢ entry is far above the current 62% market price, so the trade is compelling to study but carries substantial execution risk.

$8,000 on New York Liberty | Wallet win rate: 89%

Linked wallets scaling into Liberty

Four linked wallets added $11.5K to New York Liberty amid a 393x pre-event volume spike, though their mixed track records and existing positions reduce the strength of the signal.

  • Four linked wallets bought $11,497 on New York Liberty, creating a concentrated one-sided position.
  • The trades coincided with a 392.9x surge over the historical volume baseline before the game.
  • All four wallets already held Liberty positions, so this is increased conviction rather than entirely new information.

$11,497 on New York Liberty

Five-wallet Liberty buying cluster

Five linked wallets bought New York Liberty during a 174.9x volume spike, creating a meaningful coordinated directional signal despite the individual bettor's modest win rate.

  • Five wallets, including two linked by funding, bought New York Liberty for a combined $14,594.
  • Trading volume was 174.9 times the historical average, suggesting unusually strong pre-event interest.
  • This bettor added $4,578 at 50¢ to an existing $29,492 Liberty position, with the price now around 55¢.

$4,579 on New York Liberty | Wallet win rate: 54%

Linked five-wallet Liberty cluster

A five-wallet, partially linked cluster made a coordinated $14.6K bet on New York Liberty amid a 174.9x volume surge, though the featured wallet was adding to an existing position.

  • Five wallets placed $14,594 on New York Liberty, with two wallets sharing a funder.
  • The market saw a 174.9x spike over its historical trading volume, supporting unusually strong coordinated conviction.
  • This wallet added to an existing $3,558 Liberty position; its 58% win rate is notable but not clearly superior to its 67¢ average winning entry price.

$1,914 on New York Liberty | Wallet win rate: 58%

Three-wallet Fever conviction cluster

Three wallets, including a highly profitable 98% winner, concentrated over $20,000 into Indiana Fever at 40–42%, supported by an extreme volume spike.

  • Three wallets bought over $20,000 of Indiana Fever at 40–42%, with the market now around 46%.
  • One bettor wins 98% of 106 resolved trades and is up $1.29 million lifetime.
  • Another profitable wallet is adding to an existing Fever position, while the market saw an extreme pre-event volume spike.

$48,597 on Indiana Fever

Top Holders

  1. 0x6820...1c19 Outcome 84989961, $88,696 (94% win rate)
  2. 0xb915...8da5 Outcome 84989961, $24,629 (98% win rate)
  3. 0x032e...2a9e Outcome 84989961, $16,499 (72% win rate)
  4. 0xfe78...0319 Outcome 84989961, $13,824 (65% win rate)
  5. 0xdd5e...9040 Outcome 84989961, $10,680 (83% win rate)
  6. 0xcd65...ee96 Outcome 84989961, $10,535 (94% win rate)
  7. 0xc308...7b09 Outcome 84989961, $3,100 (66% win rate)
  8. 0x5482...b6ee Outcome 84989961, $2,850
  9. 0xcb63...b3de Outcome 84989961, $2,433 (67% win rate)
  10. 0x1df2...89a0 Outcome 84989961, $1,192 (49% win rate)

Related Theses

Mirra Andreeva defeats Janice Tjen

Covers 1 related market

Brandon Nakashima will win

Covers 1 related market

Orioles edge Dodgers low-scoring

Covers 3 related markets

Shapovalov Will Beat Mannarino

Covers 1 related market

Red Sox win a low-scoring nail-biter

Covers 5 related markets

Yankees win a low-scoring game

Covers 7 related markets

Svitolina defeats Swiatek

Covers 1 related market

Dodgers will beat Royals

Covers 1 related market

Rybakina will defeat Gauff

Covers 1 related market

Team Falcons win the series

Covers 1 related market

Indiana Fever vs. New York Liberty

ResolvedIndiana Fever vs. New York Liberty$74,587 tracked5 signalsSportsGamesWNBABasketball

In the upcoming WNBA game, scheduled for August 22 at 7:00PM ET: If the Indiana Fever win, the market will resolve to "Indiana Fever". If the New York Liberty win, the market will resolve to "New York Liberty". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50-50. The result will be determined based on the final score including any overtime periods.

Price History — “New York Liberty
69¢
53¢
37¢
Alert entriesHigh-conviction

Notable Trades

Indiana Fever vs. New York Liberty

1d ago

$8,000 on New York Liberty at 90¢

Indiana Fever vs. New York Liberty

1d ago

$11,497 on New York Liberty at 50¢

Indiana Fever vs. New York Liberty

1d ago

$4,579 on New York Liberty at 50¢

Indiana Fever vs. New York Liberty

1d ago

$1,914 on New York Liberty at 55¢

Indiana Fever vs. New York Liberty

1d ago

$48,597 on Indiana Fever at 41¢

Related Theses