Part of: Internazionali BNL d'Italia: Andrea Pellegrino vs Luca Nardi

Internazionali BNL d'Italia: Andrea Pellegrino vs Luca Nardi

3 smart money signals detected, totaling $10,491.

Notable Trades

Perfect-record cluster backs underdog

High-conviction Luca Nardi buy from a 20-for-20 profitable bettor, reinforced by linked-wallet clustering, one-sided flow, volume spike, and price impact.

This bettor is 20-for-20 on resolved bets and up $91.6k lifetime.
Five wallets bought the same side for $12.3k, including 3 wallets sharing a funder.
They paid 45¢ for an outcome now around 36¢, offering a better entry than the sharp's price.

$2,450 on Luca Nardi | Wallet win rate: 100%

Four-wallet tennis steam

Coordinated one-sided tennis steam pushed Andrea Pellegrino sharply from the 40–60¢ range to 80¢, with a 28x volume spike and 31-point price move despite only modest wallet track records.

Four wallets all bought Andrea Pellegrino, helping drive the price up 31 points to 80¢.
Volume is 28x above normal, suggesting a major pre-match odds shift rather than routine trading.
The earliest entry was 37¢ and the cluster’s average entry was about 53¢, so the best value may already be gone.

$6,688 on Andrea Pellegrino

76% winner backs favorite

A highly profitable sports bettor with a 76% resolved-bet win rate and $405k P&L is backing Andrea Pellegrino at 59¢.

This bettor wins 76% of resolved bets and is up about $405k lifetime.
They have traded across 66 sports events with the same 76% win rate, suggesting a repeatable edge.
Entry at 59¢ implies they see Pellegrino as underpriced despite the market already favoring him.

$1,353 on Andrea Pellegrino | Wallet win rate: 78%

Top Holders

0xcf03...5b17 — Outcome 62193302, $36,000
0x27b0...fc67 — Outcome 62193302, $13,600 (72% win rate)
0xbe7e...6d00 — Outcome 62193302, $8,111 (69% win rate)
0xfe78...0319 — Outcome 62193302, $6,648 (63% win rate)
0x2a67...d370 — Outcome 62193302, $5,415 (100% win rate)
0xdd7c...3a6a — Outcome 62193302, $5,000
0xf02f...1ed8 — Outcome 62193302, $1,773 (82% win rate)
0x0cef...fa91 — Outcome 62193302, $1,229 (63% win rate)
0x5213...6a35 — Outcome 62193302, $976 (74% win rate)
0xeaac...d71d — Outcome 62193302, $732 (82% win rate)

Related Theses

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Covers 1 related market

Internazionali BNL d'Italia: Andrea Pellegrino vs Luca Nardi

ResolvedInternazionali BNL d'Italia: Andrea Pellegrino vs Luca Nardi$10,491 tracked3 signalsTennisSportsGames

This market refers to the tennis match between Andrea Pellegrino and Luca Nardi in the Internazionali BNL d'Italia, originally scheduled for May 7, 2026 at 5:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Andrea Pellegrino' if Andrea Pellegrino advances against Luca Nardi. This market will resolve to 'Luca Nardi' if Luca Nardi advances against Andrea Pellegrino. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a winner determined, this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the ATP Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.