Part of: Internazionali BNL d'Italia: Aryna Sabalenka vs Sorana Cirstea

Internazionali BNL d'Italia: Aryna Sabalenka vs Sorana Cirstea

This prediction market covers the Internazionali BNL d'Italia tennis match between Aryna Sabalenka and Sorana Cirstea, scheduled for May 9, 2026 at 5:00 AM ET. It resolves to the player who advances, with final resolution expected by May 16, 2026; PolySpotter is tracking $27,737 in smart money and 1 signal, including a recent alert noting a linked cluster caught an upset.

This market refers to the tennis match between Aryna Sabalenka and Sorana Cirstea in the Internazionali BNL d'Italia, originally scheduled for May 9, 2026 at 5:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Aryna Sabalenka' if Aryna Sabalenka advances against Sorana Cirstea. This market will resolve to 'Sorana Cirstea' if Sorana Cirstea advances against Aryna Sabalenka. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a winner determined, this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the WTA Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

1 smart money signal detected, totaling $27,737.

Categories: Tennis, Sports, Games

Notable Trades

Linked cluster caught upset

Strong coordinated one-sided Cirstea flow from linked wallets and serial sports traders correctly caught a huge in-play move to 100%, though it is no longer copyable at current odds.

  • An 11-wallet group put $27.7K on Cirstea as she surged from 6¢ to 100¢.
  • Three wallets share a funder, showing coordinated conviction behind $14.3K of the flow.
  • Two serial cross-market bettors in the group have 67% and 72% records across 183 events.

$27,737 on Sorana Cirstea

Top Holders

  1. 0x88d1...18da Aryna Sabalenka, $69,000 (69% win rate)
  2. 0x44a1...bd21 Sorana Cirstea, $50,573 (56% win rate)
  3. 0x42c9...9623 Sorana Cirstea, $45,789 (50% win rate)
  4. 0x5268...135d Sorana Cirstea, $33,586 (50% win rate)
  5. 0x7d4d...8525 Aryna Sabalenka, $22,349 (97% win rate)
  6. 0xde9f...d43c Sorana Cirstea, $22,058 (50% win rate)
  7. 0xfe78...0319 Sorana Cirstea, $14,391 (73% win rate)
  8. 0x2005...75ea Sorana Cirstea, $13,680 (55% win rate)
  9. 0x38c2...d3a7 Aryna Sabalenka, $13,117 (52% win rate)
  10. 0xafe6...8192 Sorana Cirstea, $13,000 (84% win rate)

Internazionali BNL d'Italia: Aryna Sabalenka vs Sorana Cirstea

Aryna Sabalenka
0¢
Sorana Cirstea
100¢

This market refers to the tennis match between Aryna Sabalenka and Sorana Cirstea in the Internazionali BNL d'Italia, originally scheduled for May 9, 2026 at 5:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Aryna Sabalenka' if Aryna Sabalenka advances against Sorana Cirstea. This market will resolve to 'Sorana Cirstea' if Sorana Cirstea advances against Aryna Sabalenka. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a winner determined, this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the WTA Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Price History — “Sorana Cirstea
102¢
56¢
Alert entriesHigh-conviction

Notable Trades

Internazionali BNL d'Italia: Aryna Sabalenka vs Sorana Cirstea

7h ago

$27,737 on Sorana Cirstea at 28¢

28¢100¢72¢