Part of: Internazionali BNL d'Italia: Brandon Nakashima vs Nikoloz Basilashvili

Internazionali BNL d'Italia: Brandon Nakashima vs Nikoloz Basilashvili

18 smart money signals detected, totaling $124,184.

Notable Trades

Profitable serial tennis mover

A highly profitable serial cross-market bettor bought Basilashvili amid a major pre-event volume surge and rapid 20-point price move.

This bettor is up $2.1M lifetime across a very large betting history.
The market saw a 111x volume spike before the match, with odds moving sharply toward Basilashvili.
They bought Basilashvili at 71¢ after a rapid 20-point move, suggesting continued confidence despite the price jump.

$3,990 on Nikoloz Basilashvili | Wallet win rate: 55%

Serial sports trader momentum

High-volume serial cross-market trader bought Basilashvili amid a major pre-event volume spike and sharp 20-point price move, suggesting strong market momentum despite only modest historical ROI.

This very active bettor is up $558k across more than 39k resolved trades.
Basilashvili jumped 20 points in under 4 minutes as pre-match volume spiked 112x above normal.
The $6.7k buy at 71¢ follows heavy one-way momentum in a liquid tennis market.

$6,665 on Nikoloz Basilashvili | Wallet win rate: 53%

Sharp sports bettor on underdog

Sharp profitable sports wallet bought Nakashima at 28¢ amid a major pre-match volume spike and rapid price move.

This bettor wins 82% of resolved bets and is up about $764k lifetime.
They put $9.5k on Nakashima at 28¢, backing a clear underdog for a potential 3.6x payout.
The market saw a 110x volume spike and Nakashima moved up 15 points in just over 3 minutes.

$9,462 on Brandon Nakashima | Wallet win rate: 80%

Sharp bettor joins one-sided flow

Sharp profitable tennis bettor with an 82% record bought Nakashima, backed by one-sided wallet flow, a major volume spike, and rapid price impact.

This bettor wins 82% of resolved bets and is up $763k lifetime.
Three wallets bought the same side for $17.9k total, suggesting coordinated conviction on Nakashima.
Volume spiked 32.5x and Nakashima jumped 15 points in about 3 minutes, though the market has since pulled back below this bettor’s entry.

$5,800 on Brandon Nakashima | Wallet win rate: 80%

Sharp cluster buying dip

Strong Nakashima buy flow from a cluster that includes two highly profitable sharp wallets, despite the price moving against their 57–58¢ entries.

A bettor who wins 94% of resolved trades is backing this side and is up $277K lifetime.
Another wallet in the cluster wins 82% of resolved trades and is up $764K.
Three wallets bought $17.9K of Nakashima around 57–58¢, while the market now sits near 40¢.

$17,910 on Brandon Nakashima

94% win-rate tennis sharp

A highly profitable 94% win-rate sports bettor bought Brandon Nakashima, backed by a strong serial cross-market track record and pre-event volume spike.

This bettor wins 94% of resolved trades and is up $277K lifetime.
They are a serial sports bettor across 29 events, with $286K in cross-market bets and the same 94% hit rate.
Their 58¢ entry came during a 66x pre-event volume spike, suggesting informed conviction despite the recent price dip.

$5,220 on Brandon Nakashima | Wallet win rate: 89%

93% winning tennis sharp

A highly profitable tennis bettor with a 93% track record is buying Nakashima amid a major pre-event volume spike.

This bettor wins 93% of resolved trades and is up $268,663 lifetime.
They have a strong cross-market record across 29 events with $285,628 in similar positioning.
Market volume is surging 100x above its historical average before the match.

$1,140 on Brandon Nakashima | Wallet win rate: 89%

93% win-rate tennis sharp

Sharp tennis bettor with a 93% win rate and strong cross-market history bought Brandon Nakashima before a volume spike and immediate move from 53% to 58%.

This bettor wins 93% of resolved trades and is up $268,663 lifetime.
They have a long cross-market record: 28 events, 33 markets, and $281,812 in similar activity.
They bought Brandon Nakashima at 53¢ before the market moved to 58¢, alongside an 82x pre-event volume spike.

$3,817 on Brandon Nakashima | Wallet win rate: 89%

Sharp tennis bettor buying Nakashima

Sharp profitable sports bettor with 82% resolved win rate bought Nakashima amid a major pre-match volume spike.

This bettor wins 82% of resolved trades and is up $766k lifetime.
They bought nearly $6k of Nakashima at 59¢ in a liquid tennis market.
Market volume spiked 82x above normal before the match, backing up the move.

$5,947 on Brandon Nakashima | Wallet win rate: 80%

8-wallet Basilashvili surge

Eight wallets put $37.8k on Basilashvili amid a 110x volume spike and rapid price move, with several high-volume profitable sports traders participating.

Eight wallets all bought Basilashvili, totaling $37.8k on the same side.
Volume is 110x above normal and Basilashvili jumped about 20 points in under 4 minutes.
Two major serial traders in the flow have handled over $267M combined, with one up $2.1M lifetime.

$37,809 on Nikoloz Basilashvili

Top Holders

0x9ac2...be3d — Outcome 11347386, $160,798 (80% win rate)
0xc771...aae2 — Outcome 11347386, $29,845
0xd123...d341 — Outcome 11347386, $17,417 (72% win rate)
0xd7c9...1ec6 — Outcome 11347386, $9,646
0xd27c...c081 — Outcome 11347386, $7,000 (80% win rate)
0x6a32...0086 — Outcome 11347386, $5,500 (82% win rate)
0x6eb7...a0f1 — Outcome 11347386, $5,007 (60% win rate)
0x7760...21f0 — Outcome 11347386, $4,337 (75% win rate)
0xc519...c2d9 — Outcome 11347386, $3,000 (65% win rate)
0x3b6a...4fa9 — Outcome 11347386, $2,361

Related Theses

Internazionali BNL d'Italia: Brandon Nakashima vs Nikoloz Basilashvili

ResolvedInternazionali BNL d'Italia: Brandon Nakashima vs Nikoloz Basilashvili$124,184 tracked18 signalsTennisSportsGames

This market refers to the tennis match between Brandon Nakashima and Nikoloz Basilashvili in the Internazionali BNL d'Italia, originally scheduled for May 11, 2026 at 5:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Brandon Nakashima' if Brandon Nakashima advances against Nikoloz Basilashvili. This market will resolve to 'Nikoloz Basilashvili' if Nikoloz Basilashvili advances against Brandon Nakashima. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a winner determined, this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the ATP Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.