Part of: Internazionali BNL d'Italia: Denis Shapovalov vs Mariano Navone

Internazionali BNL d'Italia: Denis Shapovalov vs Mariano Navone

This prediction market covers the Internazionali BNL d'Italia tennis match between Denis Shapovalov and Mariano Navone, originally scheduled for May 6, 2026 at 5:00 AM ET. It resolves to the player who advances, with final resolution expected by May 13, 2026; PolySpotter is tracking $2,700 in smart money and 1 signal, including early sharp buying activity.

2 smart money signals detected, totaling $4,613.

Categories: Tennis, Sports, Games

Notable Trades

84% sharp caught 30¢ move

Proven 84% winner bought Navone at 66¢ before a sharp move to 96¢, supported by a long serial cross-market track record.

  • This bettor wins 84% of resolved bets and is up $17,962 lifetime.
  • They bought Mariano Navone at 66¢ before the market jumped to 96¢.
  • This wallet has traded across 56 events with the same 84% win rate, suggesting a repeatable sports edge.

$2,700 on Mariano Navone | Wallet win rate: 84%

92% sports sharp bought early

Proven 92% win-rate sports bettor bought Mariano Navone at 65¢ before the market moved to 80¢, backed by a long serial cross-market track record.

  • This bettor wins 92% of resolved bets and is up $77K lifetime.
  • They are a serial sports trader across 492 events with $835K in total betting volume.
  • They bought at 65¢ before the market moved to 80¢, showing the trade already caught a major price move.

$1,913 on Mariano Navone | Wallet win rate: 92%

Top Holders

  1. 0x625d...c6a1 Outcome 33116734, $29,119 (100% win rate)
  2. 0xb0da...f3f0 Outcome 33116734, $24,921 (88% win rate)
  3. 0x44a1...bd21 Outcome 45059348, $17,654 (56% win rate)
  4. 0xfe78...0319 Outcome 33116734, $9,580 (72% win rate)
  5. 0x8f3c...2f57 Outcome 33116734, $7,000 (43% win rate)
  6. 0x507e...beae Outcome 33116734, $6,665 (50% win rate)
  7. 0x01fa...cea7 Outcome 33116734, $5,800 (39% win rate)
  8. 0x5ba6...0f07 Outcome 33116734, $5,000 (38% win rate)
  9. 0x336b...1233 Outcome 33116734, $4,685 (45% win rate)
  10. 0xf152...64aa Outcome 45059348, $4,150 (67% win rate)

Related Theses

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Internazionali BNL d'Italia: Denis Shapovalov vs Mariano Navone

This market refers to the tennis match between Denis Shapovalov and Mariano Navone in the Internazionali BNL d'Italia, originally scheduled for May 6, 2026 at 5:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Denis Shapovalov' if Denis Shapovalov advances against Mariano Navone. This market will resolve to 'Mariano Navone' if Mariano Navone advances against Denis Shapovalov. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a winner determined, this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the ATP Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Notable Trades

Internazionali BNL d'Italia: Denis Shapovalov vs Mariano Navone

3h ago

$2,700 on Mariano Navone at 66¢

Internazionali BNL d'Italia: Denis Shapovalov vs Mariano Navone

3h ago

$1,913 on Mariano Navone at 65¢

Related Theses