Part of: Internazionali BNL d'Italia: Iga Swiatek vs Elina Svitolina

Internazionali BNL d'Italia: Iga Swiatek vs Elina Svitolina

This Polymarket covers the Internazionali BNL d'Italia tennis match between Iga Swiatek and Elina Svitolina, resolving to the player who advances. The match was originally scheduled for May 14, 2026 at 2:30 PM ET, with market resolution expected by May 21, 2026 if a winner is determined within the rules. PolySpotter is tracking $22,820 in smart money across 3 signals, including sharp bettors on the underdog and whale activity around Swiatek.

This market refers to the tennis match between Iga Swiatek and Elina Svitolina in the Internazionali BNL d'Italia, originally scheduled for May 14, 2026 at 2:30PM ET. This market will resolve to 'Iga Swiatek' if Iga Swiatek advances against Elina Svitolina. This market will resolve to 'Elina Svitolina' if Elina Svitolina advances against Iga Swiatek. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a winner determined, this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the WTA Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

24 smart money signals detected, totaling $161,018.

Categories: Tennis, Sports, Games

Notable Trades

94% winner backing underdog

Surfacing because a highly profitable 94% win-rate wallet with a long serial cross-market history bought Elina Svitolina, alongside same-direction flow and a volume spike.

  • This bettor wins 94% of resolved trades and is up $39,061 lifetime.
  • They are a serial cross-market trader across 32 events with a strong record.
  • Three wallets bought Elina Svitolina the same way, with volume spiking 20.8x.

$1,480 on Elina Svitolina | Wallet win rate: 94%

98% win-rate tennis bettor

Sharp tennis bettor with a 98% resolved win record bought Elina Svitolina amid a volume spike and upward price move.

  • This bettor has won 58 of 59 resolved positions and is up $19,888 lifetime.
  • They bought Elina at 52¢ as her price moved up 17 percentage points.
  • Market volume spiked 28.6x before the match, adding momentum behind the bet.

$1,040 on Elina Svitolina | Wallet win rate: 98%

New profitable whale buying Iga

A brand-new, already-profitable wallet deployed $20.3k into Iga Swiatek while other wallets joined the same side and the price quickly moved from ~50% to 66%.

  • A 5-hour-old wallet has already placed $141k+ in flagged bets and is up $26.8k early.
  • This bettor bought $20.3k of Iga Swiatek around 50¢ before the market moved to 66¢.
  • Three wallets are all buying the same side, with $25.7k total one-way flow.

$20,300 on Iga Swiatek | Wallet win rate: 50%

Sharp serial sports bettor

Sharp serial cross-market sports bettor with an 80% resolved win rate and $130k profit is buying Iga Swiatek despite recent downward price pressure.

  • This bettor wins 80% of resolved trades and is up $130,930 lifetime.
  • They are a very active cross-market trader, with $1.36M placed across 102 events.
  • Buying at 66¢ after a fast 13-point price drop suggests they see the dip as mispriced.

$4,300 on Iga Swiatek | Wallet win rate: 80%

New whale with early profit

Very new wallet with repeated large bets and early profit bought Iga Swiatek before the price moved from 58¢ to 66¢ amid a volume spike.

  • This wallet is only 6 hours old but has already had $139k in flagged large bets and is up $26.8k.
  • It bought Iga Swiatek at 58¢, and the market has already moved to 66¢.
  • Volume is running 18.6x above normal, suggesting broader pre-match positioning.

$5,000 on Iga Swiatek | Wallet win rate: 50%

85% winner buying underdog

Sharp wallet with an 85% historical win rate bought Svitolina at 35¢ and the market has already moved to 40¢ amid a pre-event volume spike.

  • This bettor wins 85% of resolved trades and is up about $38k lifetime.
  • They bought Svitolina at 35¢, and the market has already moved to 40¢.
  • Volume is running 41x above the historical average, suggesting fresh attention before the match.

$1,551 on Elina Svitolina | Wallet win rate: 85%

Profitable trio on favorite

Three profitable sports bettors are clustered on Swiatek, including a serial cross-market trader pattern and entries that caught a rebound from the high-50s/low-60s to 68%.

  • Three wallets bought the same side for $7.1K, with all three showing positive lifetime profit.
  • Two entries hit Swiatek at 57–60¢ before the market moved back to 68¢.
  • One wallet is up $37K lifetime, and another has traded across 27 events.

$3,714 on Iga Swiatek

91% winner backing underdog

Sharp tennis bettor with a 91% resolved win rate bought Elina Svitolina at 36¢, ahead of a volume spike and a move to 40¢.

  • This bettor has won 10 of 11 resolved bets and is up $11.8K lifetime.
  • They bought Elina Svitolina at 36¢, and the market has already moved to 40¢.
  • Market volume is surging at 41x the historical average before the match.

$2,906 on Elina Svitolina | Wallet win rate: 91%

New profitable whale on Iga

Very new wallet with repeated large flagged bets and strong early P&L bought $10k of Iga amid a major pre-event volume spike, though the price has moved sharply against the entry.

  • This 5-hour-old wallet has already placed 15 large flagged bets totaling $134k and is up $26.8k early.
  • They put $10k on Iga at 71¢, showing strong conviction despite the market now pricing her near 54¢.
  • Market activity surged 94x above normal, suggesting this match is drawing unusual pre-event money.

$10,000 on Iga Swiatek | Wallet win rate: 50%

83% winner backs favorite

Proven profitable tennis/sports bettor with 83% win rate is buying Swiatek amid a large pre-event volume spike.

  • This bettor wins 83% of resolved trades and is up $23.9K lifetime.
  • They have traded 88 related sports events with the same 83% hit rate, suggesting a repeatable edge.
  • The market saw an 18.7x volume spike, and this wallet put $6K on Swiatek at 70¢.

$6,003 on Iga Swiatek | Wallet win rate: 83%

Top Holders

  1. 0xe4ea...7f3b Iga Swiatek, $97,001 (50% win rate)
  2. 0x4f75...af7e Iga Swiatek, $52,960 (80% win rate)
  3. 0xfe78...0319 Elina Svitolina, $37,672 (73% win rate)
  4. 0x88d1...18da Iga Swiatek, $34,000 (69% win rate)
  5. 0x8f3c...2f57 Elina Svitolina, $30,000 (49% win rate)
  6. 0x5268...135d Elina Svitolina, $29,158 (52% win rate)
  7. 0x187a...a22b Elina Svitolina, $23,585
  8. 0x4f29...7a7e Elina Svitolina, $21,568 (53% win rate)
  9. 0xf284...b9f9 Elina Svitolina, $21,032 (92% win rate)
  10. 0xf519...906b Iga Swiatek, $20,776 (54% win rate)

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Internazionali BNL d'Italia: Iga Swiatek vs Elina Svitolina

6dInternazionali BNL d'Italia: Iga Swiatek vs Elina Svitolina$161,018 tracked24 signalsTennisSportsGames
Iga Swiatek
52¢
Elina Svitolina
49¢

This market refers to the tennis match between Iga Swiatek and Elina Svitolina in the Internazionali BNL d'Italia, originally scheduled for May 14, 2026 at 2:30PM ET. This market will resolve to 'Iga Swiatek' if Iga Swiatek advances against Elina Svitolina. This market will resolve to 'Elina Svitolina' if Elina Svitolina advances against Iga Swiatek. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a winner determined, this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the WTA Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Price History — “Iga Swiatek
80¢
56¢
32¢
Alert entriesHigh-conviction

Notable Trades

Internazionali BNL d'Italia: Iga Swiatek vs Elina Svitolina

1h ago

$1,480 on Elina Svitolina at 52¢

52¢49¢3¢

Internazionali BNL d'Italia: Iga Swiatek vs Elina Svitolina

1h ago

$1,040 on Elina Svitolina at 52¢

52¢49¢3¢

Internazionali BNL d'Italia: Iga Swiatek vs Elina Svitolina

1h ago

$20,300 on Iga Swiatek at 50¢

50¢52¢2¢

Internazionali BNL d'Italia: Iga Swiatek vs Elina Svitolina

1h ago

$4,300 on Iga Swiatek at 66¢

66¢52¢14¢

Internazionali BNL d'Italia: Iga Swiatek vs Elina Svitolina

1h ago

$5,000 on Iga Swiatek at 58¢

58¢52¢6¢

Internazionali BNL d'Italia: Iga Swiatek vs Elina Svitolina

1h ago

$1,551 on Elina Svitolina at 35¢

35¢49¢14¢

Internazionali BNL d'Italia: Iga Swiatek vs Elina Svitolina

54m ago

$3,714 on Iga Swiatek at 60¢

60¢52¢8¢

Internazionali BNL d'Italia: Iga Swiatek vs Elina Svitolina

1h ago

$2,906 on Elina Svitolina at 36¢

36¢49¢13¢

Internazionali BNL d'Italia: Iga Swiatek vs Elina Svitolina

1h ago

$10,000 on Iga Swiatek at 71¢

71¢52¢19¢

Internazionali BNL d'Italia: Iga Swiatek vs Elina Svitolina

1h ago

$6,003 on Iga Swiatek at 70¢

70¢52¢18¢

Internazionali BNL d'Italia: Iga Swiatek vs Elina Svitolina

1h ago

$3,639 on Elina Svitolina at 45¢

45¢49¢4¢

Internazionali BNL d'Italia: Iga Swiatek vs Elina Svitolina

1h ago

$29,990 on Iga Swiatek at 73¢

73¢52¢21¢

Internazionali BNL d'Italia: Iga Swiatek vs Elina Svitolina

2h ago

$12,823 on Elina Svitolina at 27¢

27¢49¢22¢

Internazionali BNL d'Italia: Iga Swiatek vs Elina Svitolina

2h ago

$5,507 on Elina Svitolina at 23¢

23¢49¢26¢

Internazionali BNL d'Italia: Iga Swiatek vs Elina Svitolina

2h ago

$2,500 on Iga Swiatek at 74¢

74¢52¢22¢

Internazionali BNL d'Italia: Iga Swiatek vs Elina Svitolina

1h ago

$5,497 on Elina Svitolina at 36¢

36¢49¢13¢

Internazionali BNL d'Italia: Iga Swiatek vs Elina Svitolina

2h ago

$1,344 on Iga Swiatek at 79¢

79¢52¢27¢

Internazionali BNL d'Italia: Iga Swiatek vs Elina Svitolina

2h ago

$8,628 on Iga Swiatek at 77¢

77¢52¢25¢

Internazionali BNL d'Italia: Iga Swiatek vs Elina Svitolina

2h ago

$6,371 on Iga Swiatek at 79¢

79¢52¢27¢

Internazionali BNL d'Italia: Iga Swiatek vs Elina Svitolina

2h ago

$1,339 on Iga Swiatek at 79¢

79¢52¢27¢

Internazionali BNL d'Italia: Iga Swiatek vs Elina Svitolina

2h ago

$1,950 on Elina Svitolina at 26¢

26¢49¢23¢

Internazionali BNL d'Italia: Iga Swiatek vs Elina Svitolina

2h ago

$6,767 on Iga Swiatek at 78¢

78¢52¢26¢

Internazionali BNL d'Italia: Iga Swiatek vs Elina Svitolina

2h ago

$6,091 on Iga Swiatek at 75¢

75¢52¢23¢

Internazionali BNL d'Italia: Iga Swiatek vs Elina Svitolina

2h ago

$12,278 on Iga Swiatek at 79¢

79¢52¢27¢

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