Part of: Internazionali BNL d'Italia: Karen Khachanov vs Botic van de Zandschulp

Internazionali BNL d'Italia: Karen Khachanov vs Botic van de Zandschulp

This Polymarket market covers whether Karen Khachanov or Botic van de Zandschulp will advance in their Internazionali BNL d'Italia tennis match, originally scheduled for May 10, 2026 at 5:00 AM ET. It resolves based on the official match result, with resolution expected by May 17, 2026; PolySpotter is tracking $21,817 in smart money across 3 signals, including recent Botic-side sharp movement.

This market refers to the tennis match between Karen Khachanov and Botic van de Zandschulp in the Internazionali BNL d'Italia, originally scheduled for May 10, 2026 at 5:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Karen Khachanov' if Karen Khachanov advances against Botic van de Zandschulp. This market will resolve to 'Botic van de Zandschulp' if Botic van de Zandschulp advances against Karen Khachanov. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a winner determined, this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the ATP Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

8 smart money signals detected, totaling $56,771.

Categories: Tennis, Sports, Games

Notable Trades

New whale caught move

Brand-new wallet put $14.7K on Khachanov at 51-53¢ just before a major market move to 82¢, with a strong volume spike and price impact supporting the signal.

  • A brand-new wallet put $14.7K on Khachanov at 51–53¢ before the market jumped to 82¢.
  • The market saw a 40.9x volume spike, suggesting this was part of a broader pre-match repricing.
  • Entry around 52¢ implies the bettor found a major mispricing before odds moved 30 points.

$14,729 on Karen Khachanov

New whale joins one-sided flow

Three wallets put nearly $19.3K on Khachanov amid a major pre-event volume spike, with one brand-new wallet responsible for a large repeat-sized position.

  • Three wallets all bought Khachanov, totaling $19.3K in the same direction.
  • A brand-new wallet placed the largest bet, buying $14.7K within minutes of appearing.
  • Volume spiked 30x above normal, suggesting this match is drawing sudden concentrated attention.

$19,294 on Karen Khachanov

Sharp flipped to Botic

Sharp tennis bettor with a 92% resolved win rate bought Botic at 50¢ after closing the opposite side, despite the market moving against Botic.

  • This bettor has won 11 of 12 resolved bets and is up $9.3K on $33.9K invested.
  • They flipped sides, closing a Karen position before buying $1.2K of Botic at 50¢.
  • Entry at 50¢ is now below market at 46¢, so this is a cheaper follow than the trader’s entry.

$1,200 on Botic van de Zandschulp | Wallet win rate: 92%

73% winner fading move

A proven serial cross-market sports trader with a 73% resolved win rate faded Botic after a sharp move, effectively backing Khachanov at 33¢.

  • This bettor wins 73% of resolved trades and is up about $13K over 173 resolved bets.
  • They are a serial cross-market trader across 47 events, suggesting a repeatable sports betting process.
  • Selling Botic at 67¢ effectively backs Khachanov at 33¢ after a rapid 20-point Botic price move.

$1,324 on Karen Khachanov | Wallet win rate: 73%

Proven sharp fading move

Despite a low alert score, this is a proven profitable tennis bettor fading the recent Botic move by effectively buying Khachanov at 21¢.

  • This bettor has won 83% of 1,330 resolved trades and is up about $420K lifetime.
  • They are fading Botic after a fast 20-point move, effectively buying Khachanov at 21¢.
  • Entry at 21¢ offers roughly a 4.8x payout if Khachanov advances.

$1,844 on Karen Khachanov | Wallet win rate: 83%

Profitable sharp fading favorite

A highly profitable 83% win-rate wallet joined a small cluster buying Khachanov after a sharp market move, though the price has moved against them since entry.

  • The strongest wallet in this cluster wins 83% of resolved bets and is up about $420K lifetime.
  • Three wallets put $5.2K on Khachanov, including a sell of Botic that converts to the same side.
  • They entered around 21–25¢ while Khachanov is now 16¢, so this is a cheaper follow than their entry but still against current momentum.

$5,169 on Karen Khachanov

Coordinated Botic move

Three wallets pushed the same Botic side for $7.1k during a sharp pre-match move, with two large bettors showing substantial lifetime profits despite neutral win rates.

  • Three wallets all bought the same side, putting $7.1k behind Botic in one burst.
  • The move came with a 20.5-point price swing in under 3 minutes, suggesting strong short-term conviction.
  • Two participating wallets are up about $430k combined lifetime across heavy trading volume.

$7,144 on Botic van de Zandschulp

Sharp bettor into volume spike

A pre-match tennis market saw a massive volume spike, and a high-stakes bettor with a strong 78% record bought Khachanov before the price moved from 48% to 52%.

  • This bettor has won 78% of resolved bets and is up about $680K lifetime.
  • They bought $6.1K of Khachanov at 48¢, and the market has already moved to 52¢.
  • Market volume spiked over 1,300x ahead of the match, suggesting unusually strong pre-event interest.

$6,069 on Karen Khachanov | Wallet win rate: 78%

Top Holders

  1. 0x9ac2...be3d Karen Khachanov, $62,098 (78% win rate)
  2. 0xfe78...0319 Botic van de Zandschulp, $48,054 (73% win rate)
  3. 0x5268...135d Botic van de Zandschulp, $46,380 (51% win rate)
  4. 0x38c2...d3a7 Karen Khachanov, $45,918 (52% win rate)
  5. 0x2005...75ea Botic van de Zandschulp, $36,309 (55% win rate)
  6. 0x3936...366d Karen Khachanov, $28,670
  7. 0x10ff...5088 Botic van de Zandschulp, $20,854 (55% win rate)
  8. 0x42c9...9623 Botic van de Zandschulp, $13,266 (50% win rate)
  9. 0x56c9...0d9e Karen Khachanov, $11,110 (92% win rate)
  10. 0xb0da...f3f0 Karen Khachanov, $9,298 (53% win rate)

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Internazionali BNL d'Italia: Karen Khachanov vs Botic van de Zandschulp

Karen Khachanov
82¢
Botic van de Zandschulp
19¢

This market refers to the tennis match between Karen Khachanov and Botic van de Zandschulp in the Internazionali BNL d'Italia, originally scheduled for May 10, 2026 at 5:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Karen Khachanov' if Karen Khachanov advances against Botic van de Zandschulp. This market will resolve to 'Botic van de Zandschulp' if Botic van de Zandschulp advances against Karen Khachanov. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a winner determined, this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the ATP Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Price History — “Karen Khachanov
95¢
74¢
52¢
Alert entriesHigh-conviction

Notable Trades

Internazionali BNL d'Italia: Karen Khachanov vs Botic van de Zandschulp

13m ago

$14,729 on Karen Khachanov at 52¢

52¢82¢30¢

Internazionali BNL d'Italia: Karen Khachanov vs Botic van de Zandschulp

16m ago

$19,294 on Karen Khachanov at 51¢

51¢82¢31¢

Internazionali BNL d'Italia: Karen Khachanov vs Botic van de Zandschulp

33m ago

$1,200 on Botic van de Zandschulp at 50¢

50¢19¢31¢

Internazionali BNL d'Italia: Karen Khachanov vs Botic van de Zandschulp

43m ago

$1,324 on Karen Khachanov at 33¢

33¢82¢49¢

Internazionali BNL d'Italia: Karen Khachanov vs Botic van de Zandschulp

56m ago

$1,844 on Karen Khachanov at 21¢

21¢82¢61¢

Internazionali BNL d'Italia: Karen Khachanov vs Botic van de Zandschulp

1h ago

$5,169 on Karen Khachanov at 25¢

25¢82¢57¢

Internazionali BNL d'Italia: Karen Khachanov vs Botic van de Zandschulp

24m ago

$7,144 on Botic van de Zandschulp at 51¢

51¢19¢32¢

Internazionali BNL d'Italia: Karen Khachanov vs Botic van de Zandschulp

1h ago

$6,069 on Karen Khachanov at 48¢

48¢82¢34¢

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