Part of: Internazionali BNL d'Italia: Mariano Navone vs Hamad Medjedovic

Internazionali BNL d'Italia: Mariano Navone vs Hamad Medjedovic

This prediction market covers the Internazionali BNL d'Italia tennis match between Mariano Navone and Hamad Medjedovic, scheduled for May 11, 2026 at 5:00 AM ET. It resolves to the player who advances, with resolution expected by May 18, 2026 if the match is completed within the rules. PolySpotter is tracking $4,310 in smart money across 2 signals, including recent sharp activity backing Navone.

This market refers to the tennis match between Mariano Navone and Hamad Medjedovic in the Internazionali BNL d'Italia, originally scheduled for May 11, 2026 at 5:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Mariano Navone' if Mariano Navone advances against Hamad Medjedovic. This market will resolve to 'Hamad Medjedovic' if Hamad Medjedovic advances against Mariano Navone. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a winner determined, this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the ATP Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

18 smart money signals detected, totaling $68,978.

Categories: Tennis, Sports, Games

Notable Trades

Sharp bettor backs Navone

Sharp profitable tennis bettor bought Mariano Navone, with supporting one-sided flow and a pre-event volume spike despite the price drifting below their entry.

  • This bettor wins 84% of resolved bets and is up $27.7K lifetime.
  • Three wallets bought the same side, totaling $6.0K on Mariano Navone.
  • Market volume spiked 20.6x and Navone’s price jumped 19 points in under 5 minutes.

$1,401 on Mariano Navone | Wallet win rate: 84%

Proven sports sharp buying

Sharp high-volume sports bettor with an 80% resolved win rate and nearly $96k profit bought Navone amid a fast 19-point move.

  • This bettor wins 80% of resolved trades and is up about $95.9k lifetime.
  • They are a serial cross-market trader across 107 events with the same 80% win rate.
  • Navone moved up 19 points in under 5 minutes, and this buy came into that momentum.

$2,909 on Mariano Navone | Wallet win rate: 80%

Profitable serial sports bettor

Profitable high-volume sports wallet bought Hamad at 45¢ alongside one-sided cluster flow and a 16x pre-event volume spike.

  • This bettor has a long record: 598 resolved bets, 64% wins, and $20K lifetime profit.
  • Four wallets are all buying Hamad Medjedovic, totaling about $6K on the same side.
  • Market activity is heating up with a 16x volume spike before the match.

$1,580 on Hamad Medjedovic | Wallet win rate: 64%

Profitable regular joins Hamad cluster

High-score tennis alert with a profitable high-volume sports wallet buying Hamad alongside one-sided cluster flow, a volume spike, and favorable price movement from 38¢ to 44¢.

  • This bettor is a major Polymarket regular, up $2.1M across $173M in lifetime volume.
  • Four wallets bought Hamad the same way, totaling about $6K in one-sided flow.
  • Entry at 38¢ has already moved to 44¢, suggesting the market is confirming the trade.

$1,208 on Hamad Medjedovic | Wallet win rate: 55%

Sharp tennis bettor joins flow

Sharp tennis bettor with an 84% win rate and strong lifetime profit bought Hamad Medjedovic alongside one-sided flow from four wallets and a pre-event volume spike.

  • This bettor wins 84% of resolved bets and is up $44,357 lifetime.
  • Four wallets bought the same side, totaling $6,020 on Hamad Medjedovic.
  • Entry at 47¢ implies they see this as a roughly 2.1x opportunity.

$1,500 on Hamad Medjedovic | Wallet win rate: 84%

Sharp tennis bettor flips sides

Sharp bettor with an 86% record and positive P&L bought Navone as the market surged on heavy pre-match volume.

  • This bettor wins 86% of resolved trades and is up $10.8K lifetime.
  • They bought Navone at 56¢ after previously closing a Hamad position, suggesting a clear change in view.
  • Navone’s price jumped 19 points in under 5 minutes alongside a 22x volume spike.

$2,159 on Mariano Navone | Wallet win rate: 86%

Sharp bettor exits Medjedovic

Sharp wallet with an 86% record is exiting Hamad Medjedovic during a sharp move, effectively backing Mariano Navone amid heavy pre-match flow.

  • This bettor wins 86% of resolved trades and is up $10.8K lifetime.
  • They sold Hamad at 41¢ after previously entering at 56¢, effectively shifting toward Navone.
  • The market has seen an 11x volume spike and a 19-point move against Hamad in under 5 minutes.

$1,201 on Mariano Navone | Wallet win rate: 86%

Profitable serial sports bettor

Profitable serial sports bettor with a 143-bet history is buying Hamad amid a major pre-match volume spike and rapid price move.

  • This bettor has won 68% of 143 resolved bets and is up $262k lifetime.
  • They are a serial cross-market trader with $1.5M deployed across 211 events.
  • Market volume spiked 69x while Hamad’s price moved 19 points in under 5 minutes.

$5,500 on Hamad Medjedovic | Wallet win rate: 68%

Sharp tennis bettor buying underdog

A profitable tennis bettor with a 79% record bought Hamad Medjedovic at 28¢ amid a major pre-match volume spike and the price has already moved to 34¢.

  • This bettor wins 79% of resolved trades and is up $41.8K lifetime.
  • They bought Hamad Medjedovic at 28¢, below the current 34¢ market price.
  • Volume is 35x above normal, suggesting the market is repricing quickly before the match.

$2,999 on Hamad Medjedovic | Wallet win rate: 79%

95% winner in Hamad cluster

Strong one-sided Hamad Medjedovic cluster backed by a 95% winning bettor, large profitable sports wallets, volume spike, and a sharp price move from the high-50s to 72%.

  • A bettor who wins 95% of resolved bets and is up $42k joined this Hamad side.
  • Six wallets bought the same outcome for $17.9k, with several experienced sports traders involved.
  • The buying pushed Hamad from around 59¢ to 72¢ during a 23x volume spike.

$17,850 on Hamad Medjedovic

Top Holders

  1. 0x38c2...d3a7 Hamad Medjedovic, $16,427 (52% win rate)
  2. 0xf519...906b Mariano Navone, $15,011 (54% win rate)
  3. 0x0ebb...cb1a Hamad Medjedovic, $12,224 (68% win rate)
  4. 0x8b52...568e Hamad Medjedovic, $12,000 (67% win rate)
  5. 0x7ce9...61e5 Mariano Navone, $11,986 (84% win rate)
  6. 0xe8d7...1252 Hamad Medjedovic, $11,531 (87% win rate)
  7. 0xe733...8ed4 Hamad Medjedovic, $10,836 (79% win rate)
  8. 0x8f76...aea6 Mariano Navone, $9,929 (80% win rate)
  9. 0x507e...beae Mariano Navone, $9,908 (50% win rate)
  10. 0xf284...b9f9 Hamad Medjedovic, $9,766 (94% win rate)

Related Theses

Covers 3 related markets

Covers 1 related market

Covers 1 related market

Covers 1 related market

Covers 1 related market

Covers 1 related market

Covers 1 related market

Covers 1 related market

Covers 1 related market

Covers 1 related market

Internazionali BNL d'Italia: Mariano Navone vs Hamad Medjedovic

6dInternazionali BNL d'Italia: Mariano Navone vs Hamad Medjedovic$68,978 tracked18 signalsTennisSportsGames
Mariano Navone
19¢
Hamad Medjedovic
82¢

This market refers to the tennis match between Mariano Navone and Hamad Medjedovic in the Internazionali BNL d'Italia, originally scheduled for May 11, 2026 at 5:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Mariano Navone' if Mariano Navone advances against Hamad Medjedovic. This market will resolve to 'Hamad Medjedovic' if Hamad Medjedovic advances against Mariano Navone. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a winner determined, this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the ATP Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Price History — “Hamad Medjedovic
89¢
64¢
39¢
Alert entriesHigh-conviction

Notable Trades

Internazionali BNL d'Italia: Mariano Navone vs Hamad Medjedovic

9m ago

$1,401 on Mariano Navone at 52¢

52¢19¢33¢

Internazionali BNL d'Italia: Mariano Navone vs Hamad Medjedovic

9m ago

$2,909 on Mariano Navone at 53¢

53¢19¢34¢

Internazionali BNL d'Italia: Mariano Navone vs Hamad Medjedovic

24m ago

$1,580 on Hamad Medjedovic at 45¢

45¢82¢37¢

Internazionali BNL d'Italia: Mariano Navone vs Hamad Medjedovic

24m ago

$1,208 on Hamad Medjedovic at 38¢

38¢82¢44¢

Internazionali BNL d'Italia: Mariano Navone vs Hamad Medjedovic

20m ago

$1,500 on Hamad Medjedovic at 47¢

47¢82¢35¢

Internazionali BNL d'Italia: Mariano Navone vs Hamad Medjedovic

29m ago

$2,159 on Mariano Navone at 56¢

56¢19¢37¢

Internazionali BNL d'Italia: Mariano Navone vs Hamad Medjedovic

35m ago

$1,201 on Mariano Navone at 59¢

59¢19¢40¢

Internazionali BNL d'Italia: Mariano Navone vs Hamad Medjedovic

41m ago

$5,500 on Hamad Medjedovic at 45¢

45¢82¢37¢

Internazionali BNL d'Italia: Mariano Navone vs Hamad Medjedovic

1h ago

$2,999 on Hamad Medjedovic at 28¢

28¢82¢54¢

Internazionali BNL d'Italia: Mariano Navone vs Hamad Medjedovic

2m ago

$17,850 on Hamad Medjedovic at 64¢

64¢82¢18¢

Internazionali BNL d'Italia: Mariano Navone vs Hamad Medjedovic

1h ago

$2,834 on Mariano Navone at 76¢

76¢19¢57¢

Internazionali BNL d'Italia: Mariano Navone vs Hamad Medjedovic

29m ago

$6,020 on Hamad Medjedovic at 44¢

44¢82¢38¢

Internazionali BNL d'Italia: Mariano Navone vs Hamad Medjedovic

1h ago

$1,291 on Hamad Medjedovic at 47¢

47¢82¢35¢

Internazionali BNL d'Italia: Mariano Navone vs Hamad Medjedovic

1h ago

$2,326 on Mariano Navone at 65¢

65¢19¢46¢

Internazionali BNL d'Italia: Mariano Navone vs Hamad Medjedovic

1h ago

$3,179 on Hamad Medjedovic at 53¢

53¢82¢29¢

Internazionali BNL d'Italia: Mariano Navone vs Hamad Medjedovic

24m ago

$10,236 on Mariano Navone at 56¢

56¢19¢37¢

Internazionali BNL d'Italia: Mariano Navone vs Hamad Medjedovic

2h ago

$3,142 on Hamad Medjedovic at 54¢

54¢82¢28¢

Internazionali BNL d'Italia: Mariano Navone vs Hamad Medjedovic

2h ago

$1,641 on Hamad Medjedovic at 56¢

56¢82¢26¢

Related Theses