Part of: Internazionali BNL d'Italia: Matteo Arnaldi vs Jaume Munar
Internazionali BNL d'Italia: Matteo Arnaldi vs Jaume Munar
10 smart money signals detected, totaling $83,497.
Categories: Tennis, Sports, Games
Notable Trades
7-wallet Arnaldi steam
Seven wallets, including multiple profitable sports-heavy bettors, piled into Arnaldi before a major price move from roughly coin-flip levels to 92%.
- Seven wallets bought Arnaldi in the same window, pushing $25.5K in one direction.
- Two standout bettors joined early: one is up $6.9M lifetime, and another has won 25 of 26 resolved bets.
- The move caught Arnaldi between 44¢ and 83¢ before the market jumped to 92¢, so the edge was likely in the early steam.
$25,549 on Matteo Arnaldi
Four-wallet one-sided tennis push
High composite from coordinated one-sided Munar buying, a 20x volume spike, and a serial cross-market trader, though the lead wallet's lifetime P&L is negative.
- Four wallets bought the same side, totaling $11.3K on Jaume Munar.
- Market volume spiked nearly 20x, and Munar has already moved from 53¢ to 57¢.
- The lead wallet has a 66% record across 47 resolved bets and trades across many sports events.
$1,349 on Jaume Munar | Wallet win rate: 75%
Linked wallets backing Munar
Surface: coordinated Munar buying includes linked wallets and a highly profitable serial sports trader, though opposing Arnaldi flow and a pullback from 53¢ add caution.
- Five wallets put $14.6K on Munar, including three wallets funded by the same source.
- One buyer has a strong track record: 72% winners and $6.9M profit across nearly 4,000 resolved bets.
- Munar moved sharply from 33¢ to 50¢, but there is also heavy opposing Arnaldi buying in the same window.
$14,552 on Jaume Munar
Perfect-record cluster buying Arnaldi
High-conviction Arnaldi buy from a perfect-record serial sports trader, reinforced by linked-wallet clustering, one-sided flow, and a major volume spike.
- This bettor is 15-for-15 on resolved trades and up about $78K lifetime.
- Six wallets bought the same side for $26K total, including three linked wallets sharing a funder.
- Arnaldi is being bought at 49¢ after a sharp price drop, implying the group sees value on the dip.
$2,450 on Matteo Arnaldi | Wallet win rate: 100%
New whale joins 6-wallet push
High-score tennis alert with a repeat new large bettor joining 6-wallet one-sided Arnaldi buying during a major pre-match volume spike.
- Six wallets are buying the same side, totaling $26.2K on Arnaldi.
- This new wallet bought $4.7K at 48¢ and is already up $12.5K across its first 2 resolved bets.
- Market volume spiked 71x before the match, suggesting strong pre-event positioning.
$4,704 on Matteo Arnaldi | Wallet win rate: 100%
6-wallet one-sided sports flow
Surfacing due to a 6-wallet one-sided Arnaldi buying cluster during a 70x volume spike, despite the individual wallet having only a modest track record.
- Six wallets bought the same side, totaling $26.2K on Matteo Arnaldi.
- Volume is running 70x above normal before the match, suggesting a real wave of positioning.
- This $5K buyer entered at 48¢ after Arnaldi’s price fell sharply, making it a dip-buying signal.
$5,000 on Matteo Arnaldi | Wallet win rate: 64%
Sharp cluster buying underdog
Five wallets, including highly profitable serial sports traders, bought Jaume Munar against a sharp market move toward Arnaldi, making this a notable contrarian sharp-flow setup despite adverse price action.
- A profitable sports whale with a 72% record and $6.9M in gains bought Jaume Munar around 50¢.
- 5 wallets put $22.5K on the Munar side, including several serial cross-market bettors with strong histories.
- The market has moved against them to 30¢, so the same side is now available far cheaper than their average entry.
$22,507 on Jaume Munar
99% serial sports sharp
High-confidence sports alert: a 99% lifetime winner with broad cross-market history bought Arnaldi, alongside one-sided wallet flow, a major volume spike, and price impact.
- This bettor has won 108 of 109 resolved bets and is up about $94.7K lifetime.
- Four wallets bought the same side for $13.1K during a 71x volume spike.
- The sharp paid 73¢ for Arnaldi, while the market is now around 46¢.
$4,833 on Matteo Arnaldi | Wallet win rate: 100%
Profitable serial sports bettor
Profitable high-volume bettor with a 63% resolved win rate is buying Arnaldi during a major pre-match volume spike.
- This bettor has won 63% of 596 resolved trades and is up $473k lifetime.
- They have traded across 33 events with $226k in similar cross-market activity.
- Market volume spiked 237x before the match, and they entered Arnaldi at 56¢.
$1,420 on Matteo Arnaldi | Wallet win rate: 63%
Perfect-record tennis sharp
Elite sports bettor with a perfect 101-0 resolved record and $1.69M profit bought Matteo Arnaldi at 58¢.
- This bettor has won 101 of 101 resolved bets and is up $1.69M lifetime.
- They are a serial sports trader across 138 events with a perfect resolved track record.
- Entry at 58¢ implies they see Arnaldi as underpriced despite the market already favoring him.
$1,132 on Matteo Arnaldi | Wallet win rate: 100%
Top Holders
- 0x02d8...0c91 — Outcome 49569071, $35,363 (85% win rate)
- 0xfe78...0319 — Outcome 49569071, $27,144 (64% win rate)
- 0x0ebb...cb1a — Outcome 49569071, $20,369 (72% win rate)
- 0xbcb9...4734 — Outcome 49569071, $17,836 (65% win rate)
- 0x84cb...28ad — Outcome 49569071, $10,292 (99% win rate)
- 0xe7fd...89de — Outcome 49569071, $4,993 (75% win rate)
- 0x7ce9...61e5 — Outcome 49569071, $2,957 (84% win rate)
- 0x160b...4296 — Outcome 49569071, $2,686 (76% win rate)
- 0x9b90...5fb9 — Outcome 49569071, $2,357 (100% win rate)
- 0xdda3...b20c — Outcome 49569071, $2,201 (81% win rate)
Related Theses
Brazil Spain or England wins
Covers 3 related markets
Portugal or England, not Spain
Covers 3 related markets
