Part of: IR Iran vs. New Zealand - More Markets
IR Iran vs. New Zealand: O/U 4.5
In the upcoming FIFA World Cup game between IR Iran and New Zealand, scheduled for June 15 at 9:00 PM ET: This market will resolve to "Over" if IR Iran and New Zealand combine to score 5 or more goals in this game. If the combined total is less than 5, this market will resolve to "Under". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50–50. If the game is started but not completed, this market will resolve according to the official final score published on fifa.com. This market refers only to the outcome within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead. All markets will settle based on the official final result as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. Revisions to officially declared final scores made after market resolution will not be accounted for in determining the outcome.
6 smart money signals detected, totaling $133,644.
Categories: Soccer, FIFA World Cup, Sports, Games
Notable Trades
New whale plus 7-wallet flow
High-conviction Over buy from a brand-new repeat whale, backed by 7-wallet one-sided flow, a massive pre-event volume spike, and sharp price momentum.
- A 2-hour-old wallet has already placed $41K in flagged bets and is adding $5.5K more here.
- Seven wallets are all buying Over, totaling $17.1K in the same direction.
- Market activity is surging at 89x normal volume, while Over has jumped about 42 percentage points in a day.
$5,543 on Over | Wallet win rate: 100%
Sharp 10-wallet Under cluster
High-conviction Under cluster backed by multiple highly profitable wallets with strong win records, despite recent market momentum toward Over.
- Multiple proven bettors are buying Under, including wallets that win 98%, 93%, and 89% of resolved trades.
- Ten wallets put $51.7k on the same Under side as volume spiked 52x above normal.
- Entry around 39¢ implies a contrarian bet against the recent move toward Over.
$51,703 on Under
Sharp bettor buying Over
Sharp profitable sports bettor with a 75% long-run win rate bought Over amid coordinated one-sided flow, volume spike, and major price movement.
- This bettor wins 75% of resolved trades and is up about $370k lifetime.
- Six wallets bought the same Over side, totaling $11.6k in coordinated flow.
- Market volume spiked 52x while Over moved sharply from a much lower historical range.
$1,500 on Over | Wallet win rate: 75%
New profitable wallet joins Over flow
High composite alert driven by a 1-day-old profitable repeat bettor, a 6-wallet Over cluster, major volume spike, and sharp upward price movement despite this wallet briefly trading both sides.
- This new wallet is already up $21,110 and has triggered 18 large-bet alerts in its first day.
- Six wallets bought Over in the same window, totaling $11,584 of one-sided flow.
- Over has surged from a prior 9¢ range to around 50¢ amid a 50x+ volume spike.
$2,777 on Over | Wallet win rate: 100%
91% winner joins Over surge
High-score alert combining a 91% lifetime winning serial sports trader, one-sided Over flow from 6 wallets, a 52x volume spike, and major upward price impact.
- This bettor has won 91% of 1,370 resolved bets, with over $13M deployed lifetime.
- Six wallets bought the same side, adding $11.6k to Over during a 52x volume spike.
- Over has jumped far above its prior 9¢ range, suggesting the market is rapidly repricing.
$1,160 on Over | Wallet win rate: 91%
Sharp cluster buying Under
A 10-wallet cluster put about $71k on Under, including several highly profitable sharp sports wallets with 87–98% historical win rates and a major pre-event volume spike.
- Several proven bettors are on the same side, including wallets with 89%, 93%, and 98% win records.
- 10 wallets bought Under for about $71k, far outweighing the smaller $17k Over cluster.
- Market volume spiked 89x and Under has already moved up to 50%, suggesting strong pre-game momentum.
$70,962 on Under
Top Holders
- 0x204f...5e14 — Under, $193,426 (54% win rate)
- 0x3535...a775 — Over, $148,224 (43% win rate)
- 0xe549...2d54 — Over, $107,076 (100% win rate)
- 0x3da4...367e — Under, $96,430 (100% win rate)
- 0x96a5...b4fa — Over, $69,398 (100% win rate)
- 0x2005...75ea — Over, $60,001 (55% win rate)
- 0xfe78...0319 — Under, $45,468 (65% win rate)
- 0x0346...52a5 — Under, $20,782 (53% win rate)
- 0xac47...d234 — Over, $16,000 (45% win rate)
- 0xd408...e85c — Under, $12,711 (67% win rate)
Related Theses
Iran leadership change unlikely
Covers 4 related markets
