Part of: Iraq vs. Norway - More Markets

Iraq vs. Norway: O/U 4.5

In the upcoming FIFA World Cup game between Iraq and Norway, scheduled for June 16 at 6:00 PM ET: This market will resolve to "Over" if Iraq and Norway combine to score 5 or more goals in this game. If the combined total is less than 5, this market will resolve to "Under". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50–50. If the game is started but not completed, this market will resolve according to the official final score published on fifa.com. This market refers only to the outcome within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead. All markets will settle based on the official final result as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. Revisions to officially declared final scores made after market resolution will not be accounted for in determining the outcome.

6 smart money signals detected, totaling $192,358.

Categories: Sports, Games, Soccer, FIFA World Cup

Notable Trades

Sharp soccer whale on Over

Sharp profitable sports wallet made a $57k Over buy alongside one-sided flow and a major pre-event volume spike.

  • This bettor wins 87% of resolved bets and is up about $360k lifetime.
  • They put $57k on Over, leading a 5-wallet same-side move totaling about $66k.
  • Volume is 183x normal, and Over has already moved up 20 points in the past day.

$57,000 on Over | Wallet win rate: 87%

Undefeated sharp joining Over cluster

Sharp 12-0 bettor with $101k profit bought Over amid coordinated one-sided flow, a major volume spike, and a 32-point price move.

  • This bettor is 12-for-12 on resolved trades and is up $101k lifetime.
  • Six wallets bought the same side for $19k, including linked wallets sharing a funder.
  • Market volume spiked 67x and Over has moved up 32 points, suggesting strong momentum behind this side.

$9,482 on Over | Wallet win rate: 100%

$105k one-sided Under push

A $105k three-wallet push into Under caused a 24-point price move and a 44x volume spike, though the largest wallet lacks a strong historical edge.

  • Three wallets put $105k on the same side, with nearly all of it buying Under.
  • The move coincided with a 44x volume spike and pushed Under up 24 percentage points.
  • Current price is below the cluster’s average entry, offering a cheaper entry than most of the flow.

$104,870 on Under

Sharp cluster on Over

High-scoring Over is backed by a five-wallet cluster, sharp profitable bettors, a 201x volume spike, and a major price move from the low 30s to mid-50s.

  • Five wallets bought $17.9K of Over, helping push the price from the low 30s to 56¢.
  • One bettor is 12-for-12 with $101K profit, and another wins 79% of resolved bets with $47.6K profit.
  • Volume is up 201x versus normal, with several serial sports traders also active across related markets.

$17,887 on Over

Profitable cross-market bettor

A highly profitable serial cross-market sports trader bought Under after a major volume spike and sharp repricing in the market.

  • This bettor wins 65% of resolved trades and is up $429k lifetime.
  • They have traded 158 events and put $34k across 7 markets in this same game.
  • The market saw a 201x volume spike and a 37-point move, suggesting this trade is part of a major repricing.

$2,095 on Under | Wallet win rate: 65%

87% winner buying long-shot Over

Surface because a highly profitable 87% sports bettor with a long cross-market track record is buying Over 4.5 at 20¢.

  • This bettor wins 87% of resolved trades and is up $116k lifetime.
  • They have a deep cross-market track record: 109 events and $185k traded with the same 87% win rate.
  • Buying Over at 20¢ implies they see meaningful upside on a long-shot total.

$1,025 on Over | Wallet win rate: 87%

Top Holders

  1. 0x204f...5e14 Under, $354,211 (54% win rate)
  2. 0xe549...2d54 Over, $200,000 (100% win rate)
  3. 0x3f3a...e8fd Under, $132,032 (64% win rate)
  4. 0x224a...a3d5 Over, $124,262 (63% win rate)
  5. 0x3535...a775 Over, $112,500 (45% win rate)
  6. 0x2d7b...e2ce Under, $107,932 (77% win rate)
  7. 0x34f6...4535 Over, $100,000 (87% win rate)
  8. 0xa38a...821d Over, $83,649 (55% win rate)
  9. 0xfe78...0319 Under, $62,507 (65% win rate)
  10. 0x94e4...87e0 Under, $39,212 (20% win rate)

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Iraq vs. Norway: O/U 4.5

ResolvedIraq vs. Norway - More Markets$192,358 tracked6 signalsSportsGamesSoccerFIFA World Cup
Over
18¢
Under
83¢

In the upcoming FIFA World Cup game between Iraq and Norway, scheduled for June 16 at 6:00 PM ET: This market will resolve to "Over" if Iraq and Norway combine to score 5 or more goals in this game. If the combined total is less than 5, this market will resolve to "Under". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50–50. If the game is started but not completed, this market will resolve according to the official final score published on fifa.com. This market refers only to the outcome within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead. All markets will settle based on the official final result as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. Revisions to officially declared final scores made after market resolution will not be accounted for in determining the outcome.

Norway
NOR
3
World Cup
Live
90'+7'
Iraq
IRQ
1
IRQ 400/1NOR 1/500Polymarket: 18¢
Venue
Gillette Stadium, Foxborough, Massachusetts
Price History — “Under
97¢
85¢
72¢
Alert entriesHigh-conviction

Notable Trades

Iraq vs. Norway: O/U 4.5

1h ago

$57,000 on Over at 57¢

57¢18¢39¢

Iraq vs. Norway: O/U 4.5

2h ago

$9,482 on Over at 59¢

59¢18¢41¢

Iraq vs. Norway: O/U 4.5

1h ago

$104,870 on Under at 65¢

65¢83¢18¢

Iraq vs. Norway: O/U 4.5

2h ago

$17,887 on Over at 52¢

52¢18¢34¢

Iraq vs. Norway: O/U 4.5

2h ago

$2,095 on Under at 42¢

42¢83¢41¢

Iraq vs. Norway: O/U 4.5

3h ago

$1,025 on Over at 20¢

20¢18¢2¢

Related Theses