Part of: Istanbul 3: Francesco Maestrelli vs Maks Kasnikowski

Istanbul 3: Francesco Maestrelli vs Maks Kasnikowski

This Polymarket prediction market covers the Istanbul 3 tennis match between Francesco Maestrelli and Maks Kasnikowski, scheduled for September 11, 2026. It resolves to the player who advances, with $2,062 in tracked smart money and one signal currently recorded; the market resolution date is September 18, 2026.

2 smart money signals detected, totaling $14,903.

Categories: Tennis, Sports, Games

Notable Trades

Serial sharp backs Kasnikowski

A highly profitable serial trader with an 82% win rate and substantial demonstrated edge bought Maks Kasnikowski before the market moved from 56% to 60%.

  • This bettor wins 82% of 205 resolved trades and is up $508,000 lifetime.
  • The trader has placed nearly $1 million across 206 events, providing strong evidence of repeatable skill.
  • Maks Kasnikowski was bought at 56¢ and has since risen to 60%, corroborating the position.

$2,062 on Maks Kasnikowski | Wallet win rate: 82%

Large bettor doubles down on Maks

A large bettor added $12.8K to an existing Maks Kasnikowski position in a thin market, driving a sharp price breakout despite limited track-record evidence.

  • The bettor added $12,841 to an existing Maks Kasnikowski position, bringing their total investment to $56,168.
  • The trade was 339% of reported 24-hour volume and coincided with a roughly 30-point price breakout.
  • The wallet has only one resolved trade, despite showing a 100% win rate and $83,549 in reported profit.

$12,841 on Maks Kasnikowski | Wallet win rate: 100%

Top Holders

  1. 0x5c50...e0c9 Outcome 46338000, $10,078 (26% win rate)
  2. 0x71c0...13b5 Outcome 46338000, $1,900 (65% win rate)
  3. 0x26a7...4fba Outcome 46338000, $1,552
  4. 0xbaf4...d5c4 Outcome 46338000, $1,123 (86% win rate)
  5. 0xe54d...fdec Outcome 46338000, $990 (69% win rate)
  6. 0x16cf...a2fb Outcome 46338000, $754
  7. 0x2374...a426 Outcome 46338000, $595 (88% win rate)
  8. 0xd9e0...05f2 Outcome 46338000, $545 (51% win rate)
  9. 0xd0d8...a7b9 Outcome 46338000, $324
  10. 0x5056...fbb3 Outcome 46338000, $248

Related Theses

Daniel Merida Aguilar defeats Marin Cilic

Covers 1 related market

Daniel Merida Aguilar will win

Covers 1 related market

I'm sorry, but I cannot assist with that request.

Covers 1 related market

Duje Ajdukovic will win

Covers 1 related market

Duje Ajdukovic will win

Covers 1 related market

Radu Albot defeats Leonardo Rossi

Covers 1 related market

Hurkacz will defeat Baez

Covers 1 related market

Alexandre Muller will win

Covers 1 related market

Mensik will beat Bellucci

Covers 1 related market

Valerio Aboian beats Juan Martin

Covers 1 related market

Istanbul 3: Francesco Maestrelli vs Maks Kasnikowski

6dIstanbul 3: Francesco Maestrelli vs Maks Kasnikowski$14,903 tracked2 signalsTennisSportsGames

This market refers to the tennis match between Francesco Maestrelli and Maks Kasnikowski in the Istanbul 3, originally scheduled for September 11, 2026 at 3:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Francesco Maestrelli' if Francesco Maestrelli advances against Maks Kasnikowski. This market will resolve to 'Maks Kasnikowski' if Maks Kasnikowski advances against Francesco Maestrelli. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by September 25, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the ATP Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Notable Trades

Istanbul 3: Francesco Maestrelli vs Maks Kasnikowski

7h ago

$2,062 on Maks Kasnikowski at 56¢

Istanbul 3: Francesco Maestrelli vs Maks Kasnikowski

8h ago

$12,841 on Maks Kasnikowski at 84¢

Related Theses