Part of: Istanbul 3: Max Basing vs Edas Butvilas
Istanbul 3: Max Basing vs Edas Butvilas
This Polymarket tennis market covers the Istanbul 3 match between Max Basing and Edas Butvilas, scheduled for September 11, 2026. It resolves to the player who advances; a recent smart-money signal backed Edas Butvilas at 44¢, while another sharp bettor added to Max Basing. The market may resolve early based on the match result, with fallback rules applying if the match is canceled or remains undecided.
3 smart money signals detected, totaling $20,581.
Categories: Tennis, Sports, Games
Notable Trades
Sharp serial bettor scaling into Max Basing
A highly profitable serial trader with an 80% win rate and 20-point edge added $4,290 to an existing Max Basing position at 66 cents.
- This bettor wins 80% of 380 resolved trades and is up $200,028 lifetime.
- They added $4,290 to an existing Max Basing position at 66¢, showing increased conviction.
- The market has moved to 78%, above the suggested 76¢ copy ceiling, so the original entry is no longer available at the preferred price.
$4,290 on Max Basing | Wallet win rate: 80%
Four-wallet tennis conviction cluster
Four wallets, including highly profitable bettors, concentrated $13.4K on Max Basing amid a 93x volume spike and 17.5-point price rise.
- Four wallets committed $13,391 to Max Basing, with three adding to existing positions rather than merely taking profits.
- Two major participants win 80% and 75% of resolved bets, while another has earned $6.7M lifetime.
- The coordinated buying coincided with a 93x volume spike and a 17.5-point move, taking Max Basing to 80%.
$13,391 on Max Basing
Sharp bettor backs Edas at 44¢
A highly profitable serial bettor with a 76% win rate and substantial edge placed a fresh $2,900 contrarian bet on Edas Butvilas at 44%.
- This bettor wins 76% of 399 resolved trades and is up $860,065 lifetime.
- They bought $2,900 of Edas Butvilas at 44¢ despite the market falling to 38%, signaling strong contrarian conviction.
- The entry price implies the bettor sees meaningful value against the current 38% market estimate.
$2,900 on Edas Butvilas | Wallet win rate: 76%
Top Holders
- 0x54ba...04e4 — Outcome 19425696, $6,549 (76% win rate)
- 0xfe78...0319 — Outcome 19425696, $2,807 (65% win rate)
- 0xf092...5749 — Outcome 19425696, $2,686 (64% win rate)
- 0xa283...61e5 — Outcome 19425696, $2,000 (77% win rate)
- 0xe8d3...acf8 — Outcome 19425696, $771
- 0x13c4...4295 — Outcome 19425696, $568
- 0x28e0...2e6b — Outcome 19425696, $399 (57% win rate)
- 0xd9e0...05f2 — Outcome 10016911, $362 (51% win rate)
- 0x545d...c122 — Outcome 19425696, $307 (66% win rate)
- 0x5a97...7a1b — Outcome 19425696, $239
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