Part of: ITF M25 Idanha-a-Nova 2 Men: Pavel Lagutin vs Mathieu Scaglia

ITF M25 Idanha-a-Nova 2 Men: Pavel Lagutin vs Mathieu Scaglia

This prediction market covers the ITF M25 Idanha-a-Nova 2 match between Pavel Lagutin and Mathieu Scaglia, scheduled for August 21, 2026 at 6:00 AM ET. It resolves to the player who advances, with resolution scheduled by August 28, 2026; PolySpotter tracks $4,462 in smart-money activity for this market.

3 smart money signals detected, totaling $5,709.

Categories: Sports, Tennis, Games

Notable Trades

Proven serial bettor backs Lagutin

A highly experienced serial bettor with an 81% win rate and $5.67M lifetime P&L made a meaningful bet in a relatively quiet tennis market, though the market has since moved against the position.

  • This bettor wins 81% of 2,476 resolved bets and has earned $5.67M in lifetime P&L.
  • The wallet has traded 672 events and over $8.1M across markets, indicating a substantial, repeatable betting track record.
  • The $1,247 position is meaningful in a market with only $2,723 in 24-hour volume, although odds have fallen from the 70¢ entry to 64¢.

$1,485 on Pavel Lagutin | Wallet win rate: 81%

Proven sharp backs Lagutin

A highly profitable bettor with 2,476 resolved bets and an 81% win rate made a fresh $3,000 wager on Pavel Lagutin, supported by a substantial long-term edge.

  • This bettor has won 81% of 2,476 resolved bets and earned $5.67M in lifetime profit.
  • They placed nearly $3,000 on Pavel Lagutin across two buys, representing about 36% of the market’s 24-hour volume.
  • The wallet has traded across 673 events, suggesting a seasoned cross-market process rather than a one-off bet.

$2,977 on Pavel Lagutin | Wallet win rate: 81%

Proven serial bettor backs Lagutin

A highly experienced serial bettor with an 81% win rate and $5.67M lifetime P&L made a meaningful bet in a relatively quiet tennis market, though the market has since moved against the position.

  • This bettor wins 81% of 2,476 resolved bets and has earned $5.67M in lifetime P&L.
  • The wallet has traded 672 events and over $8.1M across markets, indicating a substantial, repeatable betting track record.
  • The $1,247 position is meaningful in a market with only $2,723 in 24-hour volume, although odds have fallen from the 70¢ entry to 64¢.

$1,247 on Pavel Lagutin | Wallet win rate: 81%

Top Holders

  1. 0x4699...5051 Outcome 32233804, $2,061 (10% win rate)
  2. 0xdb83...1e50 Outcome 32233804, $1,468 (64% win rate)
  3. 0xaa11...650b Outcome 32233804, $56
  4. 0xac4b...dfa6 Outcome 32233804, $26
  5. 0x58a9...ed86 Outcome 32233804, $20
  6. 0x6318...46b1 Outcome 32233804, $17
  7. 0xc0c1...dc25 Outcome 32233804, $14
  8. 0x962e...1d75 Outcome 32233804, $13 (100% win rate)
  9. 0x84ab...1839 Outcome 32233804, $10
  10. 0x26c2...0cdf Outcome 32233804, $10

Related Theses

Covers 4 related markets

Covers 1 related market

Covers 1 related market

Covers 1 related market

Covers 1 related market

Covers 1 related market

Covers 1 related market

Covers 1 related market

Covers 1 related market

Covers 1 related market

ITF M25 Idanha-a-Nova 2 Men: Pavel Lagutin vs Mathieu Scaglia

This market refers to the tennis match between Pavel Lagutin and Mathieu Scaglia in the ITF M25 Idanha-a-Nova 2 Men, originally scheduled for August 21, 2026 at 6:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Pavel Lagutin' if Pavel Lagutin advances against Mathieu Scaglia. This market will resolve to 'Mathieu Scaglia' if Mathieu Scaglia advances against Pavel Lagutin. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a winner determined, this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Price History — “Pavel Lagutin
101¢
87¢
72¢
Alert entriesHigh-conviction

Notable Trades

ITF M25 Idanha-a-Nova 2 Men: Pavel Lagutin vs Mathieu Scaglia

2d ago

$1,485 on Pavel Lagutin at 70¢

ITF M25 Idanha-a-Nova 2 Men: Pavel Lagutin vs Mathieu Scaglia

2d ago

$2,977 on Pavel Lagutin at 82¢

ITF M25 Idanha-a-Nova 2 Men: Pavel Lagutin vs Mathieu Scaglia

2d ago

$1,247 on Pavel Lagutin at 70¢

Related Theses