Part of: Japan vs. Sweden - More Markets
Japan vs. Sweden: Both Teams to Score
8 smart money signals detected, totaling $94,412.
Categories: FIFA World Cup, Sports, Games, Soccer
Notable Trades
4-wallet No cluster
High-score cluster with four wallets pushing the same No side, including profitable long-term bettors, alongside a major volume spike and 16-point price move.
- Four wallets put $56K on No in the same window, pushing the price from around 60¢ to 78¢.
- The cluster includes bettors up $820K and $130K lifetime across thousands of resolved markets.
- Volume spiked 25x above normal, and the same wallets have been active across 19 related markets.
$56,346 on No
Elite sports sharp buying No
A highly profitable sports bettor with an 87% track record bought No, supported by coordinated one-sided flow and a large pre-event volume spike.
- This bettor wins 87% of resolved trades and is up about $2.1M lifetime.
- They bought No at 41¢ before the market moved to 57¢, suggesting strong early value recognition.
- Four wallets have all bought the same side, totaling about $24.8K on No.
$2,320 on No | Wallet win rate: 88%
Profitable bettor in Yes cluster
A coordinated Yes cluster is worth surfacing because it includes a highly profitable high-volume bettor and serial cross-market activity, though the larger opposing No flow and price drop make the signal mixed.
- A bettor up $831,885 lifetime joined the Yes side with a $1,709 buy.
- Five wallets put $12,808 on Yes, with entries around 53¢–60¢.
- The signal is mixed: a larger $24,764 No cluster also appeared, and Yes has fallen from their 56¢ average entry to 42¢.
$12,808 on Yes
92% sports sharp
Elite sports bettor with a 92% record and strong lifetime profit bought Yes on both teams to score despite a liquid market.
- This bettor wins 92% of resolved trades and is up $391k lifetime.
- They are a serial sports/event trader across 279 events with $1.2M deployed.
- Entry at 57¢ implies confidence that both teams score, with a tight 1¢ spread and strong market liquidity.
$10,318 on Yes | Wallet win rate: 92%
99% winner buys No
Surfacing because a bettor with an exceptional 110/111 resolved record bought No on a liquid BTTS market, with a notable pre-event volume spike adding support.
- This bettor has won 110 of 111 resolved trades, a 99% hit rate across a large sample.
- They bought No at 44¢, implying they see value against the market’s slight lean toward Yes.
- Market activity is elevated, with volume running 22.8x above its historical average.
$1,620 on No | Wallet win rate: 99%
92% sports sharp
Elite sports bettor with a 92% record and strong lifetime profit bought Yes on both teams to score despite a liquid market.
- This bettor wins 92% of resolved trades and is up $391k lifetime.
- They are a serial sports/event trader across 279 events with $1.2M deployed.
- Entry at 57¢ implies confidence that both teams score, with a tight 1¢ spread and strong market liquidity.
$4,500 on Yes | Wallet win rate: 92%
Sharp soccer bettor buying Yes
Sharp sports bettor with a 79% record and positive lifetime P&L bought $3,000 of Yes on a World Cup both-teams-to-score market.
- This bettor wins 79% of resolved trades and is up $4.8K lifetime.
- Their wins came at average odds of 44%, suggesting they have beaten market prices by a wide margin.
- They put $3,000 on Yes at 59¢ in a liquid soccer market with modest upward momentum.
$3,000 on Yes | Wallet win rate: 67%
Profitable 79% sports bettor
Surfacing despite a weak detector because the bettor has a strong 79% resolved-bet win record and is adding $3.5k on Yes at 60¢.
- This bettor has won 79% of 34 resolved bets and is up about $5.1k lifetime.
- They put $3.5k on Yes at 60¢, a meaningful bet relative to this market’s $8k 24h volume.
- The market has been drifting toward Yes, up 7 points over the past week.
$3,500 on Yes | Wallet win rate: 67%
Top Holders
- 0x2005...75ea — Outcome 21571371, $43,797 (55% win rate)
- 0xc974...b33b — Outcome 21571371, $16,978 (88% win rate)
- 0x52d9...fb1a — Outcome 21571371, $14,846 (71% win rate)
- 0xad6a...9dbd — Outcome 21571371, $10,746 (42% win rate)
- 0xe987...f0e1 — Outcome 21571371, $10,000 (99% win rate)
- 0x160b...4296 — Outcome 21571371, $6,524 (76% win rate)
- 0xc922...2618 — Outcome 21571371, $5,236 (55% win rate)
- 0x224f...514a — Outcome 21571371, $5,187 (85% win rate)
- 0x15ec...267d — Outcome 21571371, $5,060 (76% win rate)
- 0xedf0...a1d3 — Outcome 21571371, $3,719 (95% win rate)
Related Theses
Thunder win, avoid 220 total
Covers 3 related markets
Thunder will beat Spurs
Covers 3 related markets
