Part of: Japan vs. Sweden - More Markets

Japan vs. Sweden: Japan O/U 1.5

4 smart money signals detected, totaling $62,951.

Categories: FIFA World Cup, Sports, Games, Soccer

Notable Trades

99% winner joins Over cluster

A 4-wallet Over cluster is worth surfacing because one participant has an exceptional 99% resolved-bet record and positive lifetime P&L despite the position moving against entry.

  • One wallet in this cluster has won 99% of its resolved bets and is up $62K lifetime.
  • Four wallets bought the same Over outcome within 17 minutes for $6.4K total.
  • They entered around 45–46¢, while the market is now 36¢, giving a cheaper entry than the cluster paid.

$6,371 on Over

98% winner buying Over

Elite sharp wallet with a 98% resolved win rate and over $2M profit bought Over for $6k amid a major pre-event volume spike.

  • This bettor has won 42 of 43 resolved bets and is up about $2.0M lifetime.
  • They are a serial sports market trader, with $1.5M+ across 80 related markets and a 98% hit rate.
  • A $6k buy at 49¢ comes during a huge pre-game volume spike, suggesting strong conviction on Japan scoring 2+ goals.

$4,270 on Over | Wallet win rate: 98%

98% winner buying Over

Elite sharp wallet with a 98% resolved win rate and over $2M profit bought Over for $6k amid a major pre-event volume spike.

  • This bettor has won 42 of 43 resolved bets and is up about $2.0M lifetime.
  • They are a serial sports market trader, with $1.5M+ across 80 related markets and a 98% hit rate.
  • A $6k buy at 49¢ comes during a huge pre-game volume spike, suggesting strong conviction on Japan scoring 2+ goals.

$6,038 on Over | Wallet win rate: 98%

Whale event-wide Under bet

Large single-wallet bet on Under, backed by a major pre-event volume spike and broad positioning across 9 related match markets, though the wallet is not historically profitable.

  • A whale put $46K on Japan Under 1.5 goals at 51¢ shortly before the match window.
  • The same wallet has $212K positioned across 9 markets in this event, suggesting a broader match thesis.
  • This trade was several times larger than the market’s prior 24h volume and helped drive a major pre-event volume spike.

$46,272 on Under | Wallet win rate: 53%

Top Holders

  1. 0x85f0...3f67 Outcome 43649816, $140,000 (98% win rate)
  2. 0x032e...2a9e Outcome 43649816, $27,524 (71% win rate)
  3. 0xa8e6...d471 Outcome 43649816, $2,500 (99% win rate)
  4. 0x25c7...9179 Outcome 43649816, $2,350 (63% win rate)
  5. 0x2e63...ed53 Outcome 43649816, $2,170 (100% win rate)
  6. 0x8d98...e447 Outcome 43649816, $2,062 (71% win rate)
  7. 0xc4fe...601f Outcome 43649816, $1,200
  8. 0x97b3...4a85 Outcome 43649816, $1,200 (70% win rate)
  9. 0x8532...738b Outcome 43649816, $1,000 (48% win rate)
  10. 0xe7a2...ae70 Outcome 43649816, $978 (54% win rate)

Related Theses

Covers 3 related markets

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Covers 3 related markets

Covers 3 related markets

Covers 3 related markets

Japan vs. Sweden: Japan O/U 1.5

ResolvedJapan vs. Sweden - More Markets$62,951 tracked4 signalsFIFA World CupSportsGamesSoccer

In the upcoming FIFA World Cup game between Japan and Sweden, scheduled for June 25 at 7:00 PM ET: This market will resolve to "Over" if Japan score 2 or more goals within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. If Japan score less than 2 goals within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time, this market will resolve to "Under". This market is based solely on Japan's score, not the combined score of both teams. If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50-50. This market refers only to the outcome within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. Extra time and penalty shoot-outs are excluded. The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead. All markets will settle based on the official final result as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. Revisions to officially declared final scores made after market resolution will not be accounted for in determining the outcome.

Price History — “Under
84¢
64¢
45¢
Alert entriesHigh-conviction

Notable Trades

Japan vs. Sweden: Japan O/U 1.5

6d ago

$6,371 on Over at 45¢

Japan vs. Sweden: Japan O/U 1.5

6d ago

$4,270 on Over at 49¢

Japan vs. Sweden: Japan O/U 1.5

6d ago

$6,038 on Over at 49¢

Japan vs. Sweden: Japan O/U 1.5

6d ago

$46,272 on Under at 51¢

Related Theses