Part of: Japan vs. Sweden - More Markets

Japan vs. Sweden: O/U 2.5

33 smart money signals detected, totaling $2,323,480.

Categories: FIFA World Cup, Sports, Games, Soccer

Notable Trades

Sharp joins Under wave

Strong one-sided Under flow from 14 wallets plus an 82% historical winner makes this worth surfacing, though this wallet’s trade may be partly closing a prior Over position.

  • This bettor has won 82% of resolved trades across 17 positions, with a strong record versus market odds.
  • 14 wallets are all leaning Under, totaling about $108K on the same side.
  • The trade effectively bought Under at 56¢ before Over collapsed sharply.

$8,052 on Under | Wallet win rate: 85%

14-wallet Under steam

Strong coordinated Under flow: 14 wallets bought the same side for $107k and pushed Under from 75¢ to 100¢, though the highlighted wallet itself has negative lifetime P&L.

  • 14 wallets all bought Under, totaling $107k on the same side.
  • The move had major follow-through: Under jumped 40 points and is now priced at 100¢.
  • This specific wallet has a 70% hit rate across 512 resolved bets, but is down $108k lifetime.

$1,604 on Under | Wallet win rate: 67%

Profitable bettor joins cluster

High-conviction coordinated Over buying from a profitable high-volume sports wallet, though the market has since moved sharply against the entry.

  • This bettor has a long track record: 64% wins across 971 resolved bets and $137k lifetime profit.
  • Six wallets bought Over together for $54k, with two wallets sharing a funder.
  • The market is now far below their 48¢ entry, so the same thesis is available much cheaper at current odds.

$6,945 on Over | Wallet win rate: 54%

Linked cluster buying Over

High composite alert from coordinated Over buying, including linked wallets, plus a profitable serial cross-market trader despite the market moving against the position.

  • 6 wallets bought the same Over side for $54K, with 2 wallets sharing a funder.
  • This bettor is up $141K lifetime across 901 resolved markets.
  • The trade is effectively a BUY Over at 49¢, while Over now trades much cheaper at 26¢.

$1,055 on Over | Wallet win rate: 56%

Profitable wallet joins Over cluster

A highly profitable sports wallet joined a 4-wallet Over push that briefly moved price sharply, though the market has since fallen well below their entry.

  • This bettor is up about $893k lifetime across more than 4,400 resolved bets.
  • Four wallets bought Over in the same window for about $12.5k, including 2 linked wallets.
  • The trade entered at 63¢, but Over is now around 48¢, offering a much better price than the original entry.

$1,594 on Over | Wallet win rate: 54%

93% winner buying Under

A highly profitable 93% winner put over $541k on Under, backed by a major pre-event volume spike.

  • This bettor wins 93% of resolved trades and is up $2.85M lifetime.
  • They put $542k on Under around 49¢, a very large single-wallet position.
  • The market is seeing a 111x pre-event volume spike, adding momentum to the bet.

$612,500 on Under | Wallet win rate: 94%

Linked cluster buying Under

Strong coordinated Under buying from an 8-wallet linked cluster, backed by a highly profitable serial sports trader and a major pre-event volume spike.

  • 8 wallets are all buying Under, totaling $655,870 in the same direction.
  • This bettor is up $4.2M lifetime across 48,445 resolved trades.
  • They entered at 62¢ and the market has already moved to 70¢, confirming the direction.

$2,387 on Under | Wallet win rate: 55%

96% winner joins Over cluster

Elite 96% win-rate wallet bought Over despite a major price drop, alongside a 28-wallet same-side cluster and a large pre-event volume spike.

  • This bettor wins 96% of resolved trades and is up $442,989 lifetime.
  • 28 wallets are all buying Over, totaling $781,769 in same-direction flow.
  • Market volume spiked 192x before the game, while this sharp wallet entered at 51¢ despite Over now trading lower.

$5,100 on Over | Wallet win rate: 95%

98% sharp leads Over cluster

Elite 98% win-rate wallet made a $161k Over buy, backed by 28-wallet one-sided flow and a major pre-event volume spike.

  • This bettor has won 55 of 56 resolved trades and is up about $2.0M lifetime.
  • They bought $161k of Over at 51¢, while 28 wallets have piled into the same side for $782k total.
  • Volume is running 192x above normal, suggesting unusually strong pre-game conviction.

$161,488 on Over | Wallet win rate: 98%

28-wallet Over cluster

High-conviction coordinated flow: 28 wallets bought Over for $781k into a major volume spike, though the featured wallet has a poor long-term record.

  • 28 wallets are all buying Over, totaling about $782k on the same side.
  • The market saw a huge pre-game volume surge, over 190x normal activity.
  • Most of this wallet’s Over buys were around 51¢, while the market is now 42¢.

$173,228 on Over | Wallet win rate: 46%

Top Holders

  1. 0xf031...c80c Outcome 40922340, $904,590 (91% win rate)
  2. 0xc430...1ebf Outcome 40922340, $394,210 (100% win rate)
  3. 0x72d8...5213 Outcome 40922340, $316,642 (98% win rate)
  4. 0x37e4...c991 Outcome 40922340, $125,000 (77% win rate)
  5. 0x709e...66f5 Outcome 40922340, $113,943 (50% win rate)
  6. 0xf3c7...c83b Outcome 40922340, $89,815 (87% win rate)
  7. 0x032e...2a9e Outcome 40922340, $76,548 (71% win rate)
  8. 0xc3ac...b964 Outcome 40922340, $75,000 (70% win rate)
  9. 0x580d...eb6d Outcome 40922340, $54,639 (89% win rate)
  10. 0x21f3...35e3 Outcome 40922340, $35,514 (74% win rate)

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Japan vs. Sweden: O/U 2.5

ResolvedJapan vs. Sweden - More Markets$2,323,480 tracked33 signalsFIFA World CupSportsGamesSoccer

In the upcoming FIFA World Cup game between Japan and Sweden, scheduled for June 25 at 7:00 PM ET: This market will resolve to "Over" if Japan and Sweden combine to score 3 or more goals in this game. If the combined total is less than 3, this market will resolve to "Under". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50–50. If the game is started but not completed, this market will resolve according to the official final score published on fifa.com. This market refers only to the outcome within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead. All markets will settle based on the official final result as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. Revisions to officially declared final scores made after market resolution will not be accounted for in determining the outcome.

Sweden
SWE
1
World Cup
Full Time
Japan
JPN
1
Venue
AT&T Stadium, Arlington, Texas
Attendance
70,137
Price History — “Under
102¢
73¢
43¢
Alert entriesHigh-conviction

Notable Trades

Japan vs. Sweden: O/U 2.5

6d ago

$8,052 on Under at 56¢

Japan vs. Sweden: O/U 2.5

6d ago

$1,604 on Under at 75¢

Japan vs. Sweden: O/U 2.5

6d ago

$6,945 on Over at 48¢

Japan vs. Sweden: O/U 2.5

6d ago

$1,055 on Over at 49¢

Japan vs. Sweden: O/U 2.5

6d ago

$1,594 on Over at 63¢

Japan vs. Sweden: O/U 2.5

6d ago

$612,500 on Under at 49¢

Japan vs. Sweden: O/U 2.5

6d ago

$2,387 on Under at 62¢

Japan vs. Sweden: O/U 2.5

6d ago

$5,100 on Over at 51¢

Japan vs. Sweden: O/U 2.5

6d ago

$161,488 on Over at 51¢

Japan vs. Sweden: O/U 2.5

6d ago

$173,228 on Over at 51¢

Japan vs. Sweden: O/U 2.5

6d ago

$541,911 on Under at 49¢

Japan vs. Sweden: O/U 2.5

6d ago

$1,735 on Under at 49¢

Japan vs. Sweden: O/U 2.5

6d ago

$1,000 on Under at 50¢

Japan vs. Sweden: O/U 2.5

6d ago

$8,480 on Under at 53¢

Japan vs. Sweden: O/U 2.5

6d ago

$6,630 on Under at 48¢

Japan vs. Sweden: O/U 2.5

6d ago

$2,000 on Over at 50¢

Japan vs. Sweden: O/U 2.5

6d ago

$1,200 on Over at 49¢

Japan vs. Sweden: O/U 2.5

6d ago

$6,998 on Under at 49¢

Japan vs. Sweden: O/U 2.5

6d ago

$2,550 on Over at 51¢

Japan vs. Sweden: O/U 2.5

6d ago

$8,782 on Under at 49¢

Japan vs. Sweden: O/U 2.5

6d ago

$5,200 on Over at 52¢

Japan vs. Sweden: O/U 2.5

6d ago

$2,080 on Over at 52¢

Japan vs. Sweden: O/U 2.5

6d ago

$2,500 on Over at 52¢

Japan vs. Sweden: O/U 2.5

6d ago

$57,507 on Under at 55¢

Japan vs. Sweden: O/U 2.5

6d ago

$2,000 on Under at 49¢

Japan vs. Sweden: O/U 2.5

7d ago

$2,540 on Under at 48¢

Japan vs. Sweden: O/U 2.5

7d ago

$5,963 on Under at 48¢

Japan vs. Sweden: O/U 2.5

7d ago

$5,759 on Under at 48¢

Japan vs. Sweden: O/U 2.5

6d ago

$476,013 on Over at 51¢

Japan vs. Sweden: O/U 2.5

7d ago

$105,881 on Under at 46¢

Japan vs. Sweden: O/U 2.5

7d ago

$100,122 on Under at 46¢

Japan vs. Sweden: O/U 2.5

7d ago

$1,098 on Over at 56¢

Japan vs. Sweden: O/U 2.5

7d ago

$1,580 on Over at 56¢

Related Theses