Part of: Japan vs. Sweden - More Markets
Japan vs. Sweden: O/U 2.5
33 smart money signals detected, totaling $2,323,480.
Categories: FIFA World Cup, Sports, Games, Soccer
Notable Trades
Sharp joins Under wave
Strong one-sided Under flow from 14 wallets plus an 82% historical winner makes this worth surfacing, though this wallet’s trade may be partly closing a prior Over position.
- This bettor has won 82% of resolved trades across 17 positions, with a strong record versus market odds.
- 14 wallets are all leaning Under, totaling about $108K on the same side.
- The trade effectively bought Under at 56¢ before Over collapsed sharply.
$8,052 on Under | Wallet win rate: 85%
14-wallet Under steam
Strong coordinated Under flow: 14 wallets bought the same side for $107k and pushed Under from 75¢ to 100¢, though the highlighted wallet itself has negative lifetime P&L.
- 14 wallets all bought Under, totaling $107k on the same side.
- The move had major follow-through: Under jumped 40 points and is now priced at 100¢.
- This specific wallet has a 70% hit rate across 512 resolved bets, but is down $108k lifetime.
$1,604 on Under | Wallet win rate: 67%
Profitable bettor joins cluster
High-conviction coordinated Over buying from a profitable high-volume sports wallet, though the market has since moved sharply against the entry.
- This bettor has a long track record: 64% wins across 971 resolved bets and $137k lifetime profit.
- Six wallets bought Over together for $54k, with two wallets sharing a funder.
- The market is now far below their 48¢ entry, so the same thesis is available much cheaper at current odds.
$6,945 on Over | Wallet win rate: 54%
Linked cluster buying Over
High composite alert from coordinated Over buying, including linked wallets, plus a profitable serial cross-market trader despite the market moving against the position.
- 6 wallets bought the same Over side for $54K, with 2 wallets sharing a funder.
- This bettor is up $141K lifetime across 901 resolved markets.
- The trade is effectively a BUY Over at 49¢, while Over now trades much cheaper at 26¢.
$1,055 on Over | Wallet win rate: 56%
Profitable wallet joins Over cluster
A highly profitable sports wallet joined a 4-wallet Over push that briefly moved price sharply, though the market has since fallen well below their entry.
- This bettor is up about $893k lifetime across more than 4,400 resolved bets.
- Four wallets bought Over in the same window for about $12.5k, including 2 linked wallets.
- The trade entered at 63¢, but Over is now around 48¢, offering a much better price than the original entry.
$1,594 on Over | Wallet win rate: 54%
93% winner buying Under
A highly profitable 93% winner put over $541k on Under, backed by a major pre-event volume spike.
- This bettor wins 93% of resolved trades and is up $2.85M lifetime.
- They put $542k on Under around 49¢, a very large single-wallet position.
- The market is seeing a 111x pre-event volume spike, adding momentum to the bet.
$612,500 on Under | Wallet win rate: 94%
Linked cluster buying Under
Strong coordinated Under buying from an 8-wallet linked cluster, backed by a highly profitable serial sports trader and a major pre-event volume spike.
- 8 wallets are all buying Under, totaling $655,870 in the same direction.
- This bettor is up $4.2M lifetime across 48,445 resolved trades.
- They entered at 62¢ and the market has already moved to 70¢, confirming the direction.
$2,387 on Under | Wallet win rate: 55%
96% winner joins Over cluster
Elite 96% win-rate wallet bought Over despite a major price drop, alongside a 28-wallet same-side cluster and a large pre-event volume spike.
- This bettor wins 96% of resolved trades and is up $442,989 lifetime.
- 28 wallets are all buying Over, totaling $781,769 in same-direction flow.
- Market volume spiked 192x before the game, while this sharp wallet entered at 51¢ despite Over now trading lower.
$5,100 on Over | Wallet win rate: 95%
98% sharp leads Over cluster
Elite 98% win-rate wallet made a $161k Over buy, backed by 28-wallet one-sided flow and a major pre-event volume spike.
- This bettor has won 55 of 56 resolved trades and is up about $2.0M lifetime.
- They bought $161k of Over at 51¢, while 28 wallets have piled into the same side for $782k total.
- Volume is running 192x above normal, suggesting unusually strong pre-game conviction.
$161,488 on Over | Wallet win rate: 98%
28-wallet Over cluster
High-conviction coordinated flow: 28 wallets bought Over for $781k into a major volume spike, though the featured wallet has a poor long-term record.
- 28 wallets are all buying Over, totaling about $782k on the same side.
- The market saw a huge pre-game volume surge, over 190x normal activity.
- Most of this wallet’s Over buys were around 51¢, while the market is now 42¢.
$173,228 on Over | Wallet win rate: 46%
Top Holders
- 0xf031...c80c — Outcome 40922340, $904,590 (91% win rate)
- 0xc430...1ebf — Outcome 40922340, $394,210 (100% win rate)
- 0x72d8...5213 — Outcome 40922340, $316,642 (98% win rate)
- 0x37e4...c991 — Outcome 40922340, $125,000 (77% win rate)
- 0x709e...66f5 — Outcome 40922340, $113,943 (50% win rate)
- 0xf3c7...c83b — Outcome 40922340, $89,815 (87% win rate)
- 0x032e...2a9e — Outcome 40922340, $76,548 (71% win rate)
- 0xc3ac...b964 — Outcome 40922340, $75,000 (70% win rate)
- 0x580d...eb6d — Outcome 40922340, $54,639 (89% win rate)
- 0x21f3...35e3 — Outcome 40922340, $35,514 (74% win rate)
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