Part of: World Cup: Nation To Reach Round of 16
Will Brazil reach the Round of 16 at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
7 smart money signals detected, totaling $15,645.
Categories: Soccer, Sports, FIFA World Cup, world cup, 2026 FIFA World Cup, Team Props, Tournament Futures
Notable Trades
Serial sports bettor
Serial cross-market sports bettor with a 75% resolved win rate made a price-moving Yes buy, though lifetime P&L is negative and the entry is now above market.
- This bettor has traded 39 markets across 37 events and wins 75% of resolved bets.
- The buy moved the Yes price sharply, suggesting strong conviction in Brazil advancing.
- Entry was 83¢, but the market has pulled back to about 72¢, so current pricing is cheaper than their fill.
$2,669 on Yes | Wallet win rate: 75%
92% winner fading favorite
Sharp wallet with 92% resolved win rate sold Brazil Yes, equivalent to a high-conviction No stance, alongside a major downside price-impact signal.
- This bettor has won 11 of 12 resolved bets and is up $6.6k lifetime.
- They closed a $6.4k Brazil Yes position while the market briefly broke far below its recent range.
- Selling Yes at 34¢ is equivalent to buying No at 66¢, well above the current 28¢ No price.
$2,152 on No | Wallet win rate: 96%
84% winner buying Yes
Sharp serial cross-market trader with an 84% resolved win rate and positive lifetime P&L bought Brazil Yes at 70¢, slightly below current market.
- This bettor wins 84% of resolved trades and is up $73.6K lifetime.
- They are a serial cross-market trader with 229 markets and $2.23M in total volume.
- Entry at 70¢ is just below the current 72¢ market price.
$1,169 on Yes | Wallet win rate: 83%
84% winner buying Yes
Sharp serial cross-market trader with an 84% resolved win rate and positive lifetime P&L bought Brazil Yes at 70¢, slightly below current market.
- This bettor wins 84% of resolved trades and is up $73.6K lifetime.
- They are a serial cross-market trader with 229 markets and $2.23M in total volume.
- Entry at 70¢ is just below the current 72¢ market price.
$3,701 on Yes | Wallet win rate: 83%
Serial sharp cross-market bettor
A proven serial cross-market trader with an 86% win rate and positive lifetime P&L bought Brazil Yes on a relatively quiet market.
- This bettor wins 86% of resolved trades and is up $82K lifetime.
- They are a highly active cross-market trader, with $2.0M deployed across 208 markets.
- The $1.2K buy is meaningful in a quiet market with only $2.6K traded in the last 24 hours.
$1,184 on Yes | Wallet win rate: 83%
86% winner backing Yes
Sharp serial cross-market sports bettor with an 86% resolved win rate and positive lifetime P&L is buying Brazil to reach the Round of 16 in a relatively quiet market.
- This bettor wins 86% of resolved trades and is up $82k lifetime.
- They are a serial cross-market trader with 207 markets and over $2.0M invested.
- They bought $3.2k of Yes in a quiet market, including one fill above the current 73% price.
$3,159 on Yes | Wallet win rate: 83%
Profitable 77% winner
Sharp-wallet override: a profitable 77% winner made a large Yes bet that was nearly 5x the market's 24h volume.
- This bettor wins 77% of resolved trades and is up $4.1K lifetime.
- Their $1.6K Yes buy was almost 5x the market’s entire 24h volume.
- Entry at 75¢ implies they see Brazil reaching the Round of 16 as underpriced.
$1,610 on Yes | Wallet win rate: 79%
Top Holders
- 0x4aef...9337 — Outcome 69254358, $12,237 (71% win rate)
- 0xd604...cb5f — Outcome 69254358, $5,678 (69% win rate)
- 0x7f9e...3a0e — Outcome 69254358, $3,237 (90% win rate)
- 0x5f8e...21b7 — Outcome 69254358, $3,163
- 0x43cb...84df — Outcome 69254358, $2,880
- 0x05f0...2469 — Outcome 69254358, $2,283
- 0xe075...a98c — Outcome 69254358, $1,613 (76% win rate)
- 0x5213...6a35 — Outcome 69254358, $1,503 (74% win rate)
- 0xeaac...d71d — Outcome 69254358, $1,297 (82% win rate)
- 0x6c43...fb9b — Outcome 69254358, $1,000 (46% win rate)
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