Part of: Kansas City Royals vs. Minnesota Twins

Kansas City Royals vs. Minnesota Twins

4 smart money signals detected, totaling $136,302.

Categories: Sports, Games, MLB, baseball

Notable Trades

Profitable bettor adds to Royals

A highly profitable serial cross-market bettor with a 78% win rate added $18.6K to an existing Royals position before the market rose from 88% to 94%.

This bettor has won 78% of 393 resolved trades and is up $832,812 lifetime.
They added $18,590 to an existing Royals position at 88%, showing increased conviction before odds reached 94%.
The market saw a 30.4x historical volume spike, supporting the significance of the trade.

$18,590 on Kansas City Royals | Wallet win rate: 79%

Large coordinated Royals buying

A large one-sided Royals cluster and extreme pre-event volume spike are notable, though the largest bettor has a poor record and is adding to an already losing position.

Three wallets bought $75,376 of Kansas City at 36–46¢ despite the market moving down to 38¢.
The buying occurred alongside a reported 2,774x pre-event volume spike and represented over five times the detected 24-hour volume.
The largest buyer has lost $1.9M historically, so the signal is driven more by size and coordination than by proven bettor skill.

$75,376 on Kansas City Royals

Large bettor scaling into Minnesota

A large pre-event volume surge accompanied this wallet’s additional $14.5K investment in Minnesota, though its historical record shows only modest edge.

The market saw a 2,774x spike versus its historical trading volume before the game.
This wallet added $14,451 to Minnesota across two buys, increasing an existing $23,663 position.
Its 61% win rate and $838,561 lifetime profit provide some support, but the record is only modestly better than its 58¢ average winning entry price.

$14,451 on Minnesota Twins | Wallet win rate: 64%

92% winner scales into Minnesota

A highly profitable bettor with a 92% win rate and $2.3M in P&L is adding $27.9K to an existing Minnesota Twins position in a thinly traded market.

This bettor has won 333 of 360 resolved positions and is up $2.3M lifetime.
They added $27,885 to Minnesota at 56¢ after already investing nearly $50,000 in the same outcome.
The trade was over four times the market’s 24-hour volume, signaling unusually strong conviction despite the market’s thin activity.

$27,885 on Minnesota Twins | Wallet win rate: 93%

Top Holders

0x3dfb...abaf — Outcome 51303759, $259,497 (51% win rate)
0x8201...8a41 — Outcome 51303759, $38,000 (69% win rate)
0x7d78...29a5 — Outcome 51303759, $21,125 (79% win rate)
0xd48a...6e90 — Outcome 51303759, $13,333 (69% win rate)
0xc3c3...eec8 — Outcome 51303759, $10,000 (99% win rate)
0x477e...f63e — Outcome 51303759, $6,455
0xed31...d9c8 — Outcome 51303759, $4,434 (80% win rate)
0xebc0...5806 — Outcome 51303759, $4,171 (74% win rate)
0x58b9...ee8b — Outcome 51303759, $3,500 (92% win rate)
0xb04f...d000 — Outcome 51303759, $2,500 (89% win rate)

Related Theses

Brewers Athletics exceed total

Covers 1 related market

Royals beat Tigers tonight

Covers 1 related market

Covers 2 related markets

Sabres cover against Canadiens

Covers 1 related market

Morocco wins by multiple goals

Covers 1 related market

Kansas City Royals vs. Minnesota Twins

ResolvedKansas City Royals vs. Minnesota Twins$136,302 tracked4 signalsSportsGamesMLBbaseball

In the upcoming MLB game between the Kansas City Royals and Minnesota Twins, scheduled for July 30 at 1:40PM ET: This market will resolve to "Kansas City Royals" if the Kansas City Royals win the game. This market will resolve to "Minnesota Twins" if the Minnesota Twins win the game. If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, or ends in a tie, this market will resolve 50-50. The primary resolution source for this market is the official final statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 24 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead.

46-64

Final

MIN

55-55

KC +109MIN -131O/U 9

Venue

Target Field, Minneapolis

Attendance

22,944

Price History — “Kansas City Royals”

89¢

66¢