Part of: Kings vs. Flames
Kings vs. Flames
In the upcoming NHL game, scheduled for March 24 at 9:00PM ET: If the Kings win, the market will resolve to "Kings". If the Flames win, the market will resolve to "Flames". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50-50. The result will be determined based on the final score including any overtime periods and shootouts. In the event of a shootout, one goal will be added to the winning team's score for the purpose of resolution.
10 smart money signals detected, totaling $131,882.
Categories: Sports, NHL, Games, Hockey
Notable Trades
Kings vs. Flames
A single wallet made a very large buy into a thin NHL market, representing over 4x the market’s 24h volume and helping drive a sharp price move, which makes it a notable conviction trade despite an unremarkable hit rate.
- A $13.4k buy was more than 4 times this market’s 24-hour volume, showing unusually strong conviction
- The trade hit at 52¢ and the market is now 56¢ after a fast 34-point move in just over 3 minutes
- This wallet has put serious size through Polymarket before, with $615k lifetime profit despite only a middling win rate
$13,416 on Kings | Wallet win rate: 53%
Kings vs. Flames
A single wallet pushed over $24k into a very thin NHL market, accounting for several times the day’s volume and coinciding with a sharp price move, which makes this a conviction bet worth watching despite the bettor’s mediocre hit rate.
- This wallet put $24.2k into one side of a market that had only $3.1k of 24-hour volume
- The buys came at 52¢ and 54¢, and the market is now 56¢ after a fast 34-point move
- The bettor is profitable overall at +$615k, even though their win rate is only 49%
$24,216 on Kings | Wallet win rate: 53%
Kings vs. Flames
A highly active and very profitable sports bettor with nearly $3.7M in profit bought Flames in a usually quiet market, and the trade coincided with an extreme pre-game volume spike.
- This bettor has won 65% of 664 resolved markets and is up about $3.7M lifetime
- They put $5.8k on Flames in a market that had only $3.1k of 24-hour volume before the trade
- The bet hit during a huge pre-game surge, with volume running over 3,000x its usual pace
$5,760 on Flames | Wallet win rate: 50%
Kings vs. Flames
A single bettor dropped $10.8k into a quiet NHL market and appears to have helped drive a sharp 34-point move, making it a notable conviction trade despite a mediocre hit rate.
- A single wallet put $10.8k into a market that had only $3.1k of 24-hour volume
- The bet came at 54¢ and the market is now 56¢ after a fast 34-point move in just over 3 minutes
- This wallet has traded huge size before and is still up about $616k overall
$10,800 on Kings | Wallet win rate: 53%
Kings vs. Flames
A highly profitable high-volume bettor with a 70% win rate made an outsized buy on Flames in a thin NHL market, suggesting conviction worth watching despite only moderate composite score.
- This bettor has won 709 of 1,013 resolved trades and is up $4.9M lifetime
- They bought Flames at 43¢ with an $8.8k order, nearly 3x this market’s full 24-hour volume
- This wallet has traded across 339 events and 414 markets, pointing to a seasoned sports trader rather than a one-off whale
$8,788 on Flames | Wallet win rate: 73%
Kings vs. Flames
A proven high-volume bettor with a 70% win rate and nearly $4.9M profit just bought $29k of Flames in a thin NHL market, driving an extreme pre-game volume spike.
- This bettor wins 70% of resolved trades and is up $4.9M across more than 1,000 bets
- They bought $29k of Flames at 43¢ in three quick trades, against a market with only $3.1k of 24h volume
- The market saw a 3,488x volume spike, and their 43¢ entry implies they think Flames are priced too low
$29,063 on Flames | Wallet win rate: 73%
Kings vs. Flames
A $5.8k buy hit a very quiet NHL market and drove an extreme volume spike, making it notable despite the wallet’s weak long-term hit rate.
- A single $5.8k buy was 187% of this market’s entire 24-hour volume
- Market activity spiked to 3488x its normal level right before this bet
- The order came in at 58¢ with the market still around 56-57¢, showing clear willingness to pay up for Kings
$5,800 on Kings | Wallet win rate: 46%
Kings vs. Flames
A highly profitable serial sports trader with a 70% win rate and $4.9M profit just put $20.3k into Flames on a quiet market at 43¢, a size large enough to dwarf recent volume.
- This bettor has won 709 of 1,013 resolved trades and is up $4.9M lifetime
- They bought $20.3k of Flames at 43¢, more than 6.5x this market's 24-hour volume
- The market is still near 44¢, so their entry has not run away yet
$20,275 on Flames | Wallet win rate: 73%
Kings vs. Flames
A proven cross-market sports trader with 73 resolved bets made an $8.6k buy on Flames in a very quiet market, taking a position nearly 3x the market’s 24h volume.
- This bettor has won 66% of 73 resolved markets and is up $15.2k overall
- They bought $8.6k of Flames at 43¢ in a market with only $3.1k of 24h volume
- Entry at 43¢ suggests they see Flames as better than a 44% shot in a quiet market
$8,600 on Flames | Wallet win rate: 60%
Kings vs. Flames
A bettor with a perfect 58-for-58 resolved record and $173k profit just made a $5.2k buy on Kings in a quiet market, which is notable enough to surface despite only two signals.
- This bettor has won 58 of 58 resolved trades and is up $173.5k lifetime
- They just bought $5.2k of Kings at 57¢, a size bigger than the market’s entire 24-hour volume
- The market is still fairly quiet, so this looks like a deliberate conviction bet rather than routine flow
$5,164 on Kings | Wallet win rate: 100%
Top Holders
- 0xb6ae...4df8 — Kings, $23,138 (85% win rate)
- 0x37c1...c53a — Kings, $19,398 (67% win rate)
- 0xd1e6...1dc1 — Kings, $11,833 (100% win rate)
- 0xbd09...a188 — Kings, $6,000 (82% win rate)
- 0x998c...6f97 — Kings, $4,324 (68% win rate)
- 0x57b9...d142 — Kings, $3,350 (99% win rate)
- 0x8ddc...7c6f — Kings, $2,000
- 0xf41a...ea2b — Kings, $1,555 (63% win rate)
- 0x65cc...150b — Kings, $1,250
- 0xd9c0...4583 — Kings, $1,200
Related Theses
Qatar Switzerland stays low scoring
Covers 4 related markets
Scoreless first half, late blowout
Covers 3 related markets