Part of: Kingston: Garrett Johns vs Paulo Dos Santos
Kingston: Garrett Johns vs Paulo Dos Santos
This Polymarket tennis market tracks the Kingston match between Garrett Johns and Paulo Dos Santos, scheduled for August 18, 2026 at 11:00 AM ET. It resolves to the player who advances; if the match is canceled, tied, or no winner is determined within seven days, special cancellation rules apply. Smart money tracked totals $16,483 across one signal.
4 smart money signals detected, totaling $23,017.
Categories: Tennis, Sports, Games
Notable Trades
Three-wallet Johns conviction cluster
Three wallets deployed $16.5K on Garrett Johns, including a profitable 74% bettor, while creating a 256x volume spike and dominating daily activity despite the price falling from 85-89% to 74%.
- Three wallets put $16,483 on Garrett Johns, accounting for 93% of the market’s 24-hour volume.
- One bettor wins 74% of 520 resolved trades and is up $294K lifetime; another is up over $6M.
- The group bought at 85-89% while the market has fallen to 74%, creating a high-conviction but currently underwater position.
$16,483 on Garrett Johns
Serial sharp backs Garrett Johns
A highly experienced bettor with an 83% win rate and substantial positive edge made a fresh, market-moving bet that accounts for 52% of daily volume.
- This bettor wins 83% of 209 resolved trades and is up $479,589 lifetime.
- The $1,600 position represents 52% of the market’s 24-hour volume, showing meaningful conviction in a relatively quiet market.
- The bettor bought Garrett Johns at 51%, despite the market now pricing him at 41%, creating a potentially attractive but adverse-moving entry.
$1,667 on Garrett Johns | Wallet win rate: 83%
Sharp bettor exits Garrett Johns
A highly profitable serial trader with an 83% win rate exited Garrett Johns after a sharp price decline, creating a credible bearish signal despite the position being a loss cut.
- This bettor wins 83% of trades across 209 resolved positions and is up $479,589.
- They bought Garrett Johns at 51¢, then exited at 34¢ as the price fell 17 percentage points.
- The equivalent trade is buying Paulo Dos Santos around 66¢, near the market’s 68% implied probability.
$3,267 on Paulo Dos Santos | Wallet win rate: 83%
Serial sharp backs Garrett Johns
A highly experienced bettor with an 83% win rate and substantial positive edge made a fresh, market-moving bet that accounts for 52% of daily volume.
- This bettor wins 83% of 209 resolved trades and is up $479,589 lifetime.
- The $1,600 position represents 52% of the market’s 24-hour volume, showing meaningful conviction in a relatively quiet market.
- The bettor bought Garrett Johns at 51%, despite the market now pricing him at 41%, creating a potentially attractive but adverse-moving entry.
$1,600 on Garrett Johns | Wallet win rate: 83%
Top Holders
- 0xfe78...0319 — Outcome 13264913, $5,958 (64% win rate)
- 0x32b4...8b21 — Outcome 13264913, $5,771 (57% win rate)
- 0x1d60...453d — Outcome 13264913, $4,146 (74% win rate)
- 0xf9d6...730a — Outcome 13264913, $2,615 (81% win rate)
- 0xac86...985b — Outcome 13264913, $2,293 (83% win rate)
- 0x976a...e8ec — Outcome 13264913, $2,258
- 0xf2bb...3250 — Outcome 13264913, $1,026
- 0x7547...d158 — Outcome 13264913, $600
- 0x5c18...2f76 — Outcome 13264913, $546
- 0xef29...2f1e — Outcome 13264913, $532 (59% win rate)
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