Part of: Kingston: Garrett Johns vs Paulo Dos Santos

Kingston: Garrett Johns vs Paulo Dos Santos

This market refers to the tennis match between Garrett Johns and Paulo Dos Santos in the Kingston, originally scheduled for August 18, 2026 at 11:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Garrett Johns' if Garrett Johns advances against Paulo Dos Santos. This market will resolve to 'Paulo Dos Santos' if Paulo Dos Santos advances against Garrett Johns. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a winner determined, this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the ATP Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

4 smart money signals detected, totaling $23,017.

Categories: Tennis, Sports, Games

Notable Trades

Three-wallet Johns conviction cluster

Three wallets deployed $16.5K on Garrett Johns, including a profitable 74% bettor, while creating a 256x volume spike and dominating daily activity despite the price falling from 85-89% to 74%.

Three wallets put $16,483 on Garrett Johns, accounting for 93% of the market’s 24-hour volume.
One bettor wins 74% of 520 resolved trades and is up $294K lifetime; another is up over $6M.
The group bought at 85-89% while the market has fallen to 74%, creating a high-conviction but currently underwater position.

$16,483 on Garrett Johns

Serial sharp backs Garrett Johns

A highly experienced bettor with an 83% win rate and substantial positive edge made a fresh, market-moving bet that accounts for 52% of daily volume.

This bettor wins 83% of 209 resolved trades and is up $479,589 lifetime.
The $1,600 position represents 52% of the market’s 24-hour volume, showing meaningful conviction in a relatively quiet market.
The bettor bought Garrett Johns at 51%, despite the market now pricing him at 41%, creating a potentially attractive but adverse-moving entry.

$1,667 on Garrett Johns | Wallet win rate: 83%

Sharp bettor exits Garrett Johns

A highly profitable serial trader with an 83% win rate exited Garrett Johns after a sharp price decline, creating a credible bearish signal despite the position being a loss cut.

This bettor wins 83% of trades across 209 resolved positions and is up $479,589.
They bought Garrett Johns at 51¢, then exited at 34¢ as the price fell 17 percentage points.
The equivalent trade is buying Paulo Dos Santos around 66¢, near the market’s 68% implied probability.

$3,267 on Paulo Dos Santos | Wallet win rate: 83%

Serial sharp backs Garrett Johns

A highly experienced bettor with an 83% win rate and substantial positive edge made a fresh, market-moving bet that accounts for 52% of daily volume.

This bettor wins 83% of 209 resolved trades and is up $479,589 lifetime.
The $1,600 position represents 52% of the market’s 24-hour volume, showing meaningful conviction in a relatively quiet market.
The bettor bought Garrett Johns at 51%, despite the market now pricing him at 41%, creating a potentially attractive but adverse-moving entry.

$1,600 on Garrett Johns | Wallet win rate: 83%