Part of: France vs. England - Player Props

Kylian Mbappé: 2+ goals

3 smart money signals detected, totaling $29,962.

Categories: Sports, Games, Soccer, FIFA World Cup

Notable Trades

Sharp bettors concentrated on Mbappé Yes

Four wallets, including a proven 100% winner, concentrated $22,476 into Yes at 48–57% before the market surged to 100%.

  • Four wallets committed $22,476 to Yes, with entries between 48¢ and 57%, before the price jumped to 100%.
  • One bettor is 21-for-21 with $47,514 in profit, while another is 10-for-12 with $6,826 in profit.
  • The flow included repeat positioning from existing participants and a 17.9x volume spike, reinforcing the directional signal.

$22,476 on Yes

89% winner adds to No position

An exceptionally profitable bettor with an 89% win rate is adding $2,218 to an existing No position amid coordinated one-sided flow and a major volume spike.

  • This bettor has won 89% of 1,785 resolved trades and earned over $3.08 million.
  • The wallet is adding $2,218 to an existing No position, alongside two other wallets betting No.
  • The market saw a 10.5x volume surge and a 34.6% price move, making the activity unusually consequential.

$2,218 on No | Wallet win rate: 89%

89% winner backs Mbappé under

A highly proven bettor with an 89% win rate and $2.9M lifetime profit placed a sizable fresh bet on No at 76%.

  • This bettor wins 89% of 863 resolved positions and is up $2.9M lifetime.
  • The $5,268 No bet was placed at 76¢, supporting the view that Mbappé scoring twice is overpriced.
  • No is now priced at 85¢, so the trade has already moved 9 percentage points in the bettor’s direction.

$5,268 on No | Wallet win rate: 89%

Top Holders

  1. 0xe558...dcd2 Outcome 10627793, $171,484 (74% win rate)
  2. 0x2c33...0563 Outcome 10627793, $82,393 (58% win rate)
  3. 0x3717...64dd Outcome 10627793, $20,000
  4. 0xcc3e...37ef Outcome 10627793, $20,000 (56% win rate)
  5. 0x5452...d448 Outcome 10627793, $19,726 (78% win rate)
  6. 0xa080...234f Outcome 10627793, $19,000 (49% win rate)
  7. 0x9032...8717 Outcome 10627793, $11,674 (49% win rate)
  8. 0x6f0e...2ee5 Outcome 10627793, $10,640
  9. 0x6c43...fb9b Outcome 10627793, $7,992 (46% win rate)
  10. 0xf28e...cab2 Outcome 10627793, $6,932 (89% win rate)

Related Theses

Spurs win high-scoring game

Covers 5 related markets

Cavaliers keep low-scoring game close

Covers 4 related markets

Thunder win low-scoring close game

Covers 6 related markets

Spurs win a close game

Covers 7 related markets

Spurs win low-scoring close game

Covers 10 related markets

Covers 3 related markets

Covers 3 related markets

Covers 3 related markets

Cavaliers upset Knicks in shootout

Covers 6 related markets

Scottie wins PGA Championship

Covers 3 related markets

Kylian Mbappé: 2+ goals

ResolvedFrance vs. England - Player Props$29,962 tracked3 signalsSportsGamesSoccerFIFA World Cup

In the upcoming FIFA World Cup game between France and England, scheduled for July 18 at 5:00 PM ET: This market will resolve to "Yes" if Kylian Mbappé records 2+ goals in the official box score within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". Own goals do not count. If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve "50-50". If the player is listed as inactive or otherwise does not play, the market will resolve "No". The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 24 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead. All markets will settle based on the official final result as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. Revisions to officially declared final scores made after market resolution will not be accounted for in determining the outcome.

Notable Trades

Kylian Mbappé: 2+ goals

10h ago

$22,476 on Yes at 54¢

Kylian Mbappé: 2+ goals

10h ago

$2,218 on No at 51¢

Kylian Mbappé: 2+ goals

11h ago

$5,268 on No at 76¢

Related Theses