Part of: Leeds United FC vs. Newcastle United FC - More Markets
Leeds United FC vs. Newcastle United FC: O/U 2.5
6 smart money signals detected, totaling $43,242.
Categories: Sports, Games, Soccer, Premier League, EPL
Notable Trades
Five-wallet Over cluster before major repricing
Five wallets made a concentrated $14.7K Over position amid an extraordinary volume spike and an 18-19 percentage-point price move, with the largest bets entering at 38%.
- Five wallets committed $14,681 to Over, including three trades at 38¢ before the market rose to 84¢.
- The market saw an 834x historical volume spike alongside an approximately 19-point move toward Over.
- Two wallets were adding to existing Over positions, while others included bettors with 68% and 69% historical win rates.
$14,681 on Over
Proven bettor scaling into Under
A highly experienced bettor with an 82% win rate and substantial existing Under exposure added $7,251 despite the market moving sharply toward Over.
- This bettor has won 82% of 403 resolved trades and earned about $1.2 million in profit.
- They added $7,251 to an existing $92,571 Under position, signaling continued conviction despite Over reaching 84%.
- The trade came amid an extreme 835x volume spike, though Under has since fallen from the 43¢ entry to about 16¢.
$7,251 on Under | Wallet win rate: 81%
Sharp bettor backs contrarian Under
A proven, highly profitable bettor and two other wallets made a substantial Under position during an extreme volume spike, despite the market moving sharply toward Over.
- The lead bettor wins 82% of 403 resolved trades and is up $1.2 million lifetime.
- Three wallets bought $17,543 of Under, including repeated additions by the sharp bettor already holding a large Under position.
- Trading volume was 622 times its historical average, although the market has since moved strongly against Under from roughly 61¢ to 22¢.
$13,045 on Under
Coordinated Over buyers caught a sharp move
A large Over bet at 38% preceded a 24-point market rise, alongside a 622x volume spike and four-wallet coordinated buying.
- Four wallets bought Over with $14,236 combined, signaling strong one-sided conviction.
- This $5,692 bet entered at 38% while the market has since risen to 78%.
- Trading activity was 622 times the historical average, with the market up 24 percentage points in one day.
$5,692 on Over | Wallet win rate: 57%
Sharp bettor scaling into Under
A highly experienced bettor with an 82% win rate and substantial positive edge is adding to an Under position at 46 cents.
- This bettor has won 82% of 1,026 resolved trades and is up $48,795 lifetime.
- They are adding $1,573 to an existing Under position, bringing total investment to $3,419.
- The 46¢ entry implies the bettor sees Under as meaningfully undervalued despite the market being nearly evenly priced.
$1,573 on Under | Wallet win rate: 81%
Sharp bettor scaling into Over
A proven, serial cross-market bettor with a 78% win rate is adding to an existing Over position at 54 cents in a low-volume Premier League totals market.
- This bettor has won 78% of 103 resolved trades and is up $26,768.
- They are adding $1,000 to an existing Over position at 54¢, signaling continued conviction.
- The market has only $311 in 24-hour volume, making the sizable addition stand out despite ample liquidity.
$1,000 on Over | Wallet win rate: 79%
Top Holders
- 0x0353...c2ff — Outcome 69177709, $92,571 (81% win rate)
- 0x076d...8d4c — Outcome 69177709, $6,120 (66% win rate)
- 0x5811...0976 — Outcome 69177709, $3,757 (45% win rate)
- 0xfd4f...a4d3 — Outcome 69177709, $3,419 (81% win rate)
- 0x4951...3038 — Outcome 69177709, $2,080 (54% win rate)
- 0x0366...a001 — Outcome 69177709, $1,500 (82% win rate)
- 0xf555...f95f — Outcome 69177709, $1,291 (83% win rate)
- 0x1cfc...2111 — Outcome 69177709, $1,080
- 0xeba0...4586 — Outcome 69177709, $1,000
- 0xdb83...1e50 — Outcome 69177709, $962 (65% win rate)
Related Theses
Belgium advances in low-scoring match
Covers 3 related markets
Low-scoring match, Villa held under two
Covers 3 related markets
Lille-Betis under four goals
Covers 3 related markets
Learner Tien will beat Gael Monfils
Covers 1 related market
Heidenheim will beat Köln
Covers 3 related markets
Manchester City beats Chelsea
Covers 3 related markets
Falcons win a long series
Covers 7 related markets
England will score under three
Covers 1 related market
Algeria Austria stays low-scoring
Covers 6 related markets
Mannarino will beat Shapovalov
Covers 1 related market
