Part of: Leeds United FC vs. Newcastle United FC - More Markets

Leeds United FC vs. Newcastle United FC: O/U 2.5

6 smart money signals detected, totaling $43,242.

Categories: Sports, Games, Soccer, Premier League, EPL

Notable Trades

Five-wallet Over cluster before major repricing

Five wallets made a concentrated $14.7K Over position amid an extraordinary volume spike and an 18-19 percentage-point price move, with the largest bets entering at 38%.

  • Five wallets committed $14,681 to Over, including three trades at 38¢ before the market rose to 84¢.
  • The market saw an 834x historical volume spike alongside an approximately 19-point move toward Over.
  • Two wallets were adding to existing Over positions, while others included bettors with 68% and 69% historical win rates.

$14,681 on Over

Proven bettor scaling into Under

A highly experienced bettor with an 82% win rate and substantial existing Under exposure added $7,251 despite the market moving sharply toward Over.

  • This bettor has won 82% of 403 resolved trades and earned about $1.2 million in profit.
  • They added $7,251 to an existing $92,571 Under position, signaling continued conviction despite Over reaching 84%.
  • The trade came amid an extreme 835x volume spike, though Under has since fallen from the 43¢ entry to about 16¢.

$7,251 on Under | Wallet win rate: 81%

Sharp bettor backs contrarian Under

A proven, highly profitable bettor and two other wallets made a substantial Under position during an extreme volume spike, despite the market moving sharply toward Over.

  • The lead bettor wins 82% of 403 resolved trades and is up $1.2 million lifetime.
  • Three wallets bought $17,543 of Under, including repeated additions by the sharp bettor already holding a large Under position.
  • Trading volume was 622 times its historical average, although the market has since moved strongly against Under from roughly 61¢ to 22¢.

$13,045 on Under

Coordinated Over buyers caught a sharp move

A large Over bet at 38% preceded a 24-point market rise, alongside a 622x volume spike and four-wallet coordinated buying.

  • Four wallets bought Over with $14,236 combined, signaling strong one-sided conviction.
  • This $5,692 bet entered at 38% while the market has since risen to 78%.
  • Trading activity was 622 times the historical average, with the market up 24 percentage points in one day.

$5,692 on Over | Wallet win rate: 57%

Sharp bettor scaling into Under

A highly experienced bettor with an 82% win rate and substantial positive edge is adding to an Under position at 46 cents.

  • This bettor has won 82% of 1,026 resolved trades and is up $48,795 lifetime.
  • They are adding $1,573 to an existing Under position, bringing total investment to $3,419.
  • The 46¢ entry implies the bettor sees Under as meaningfully undervalued despite the market being nearly evenly priced.

$1,573 on Under | Wallet win rate: 81%

Sharp bettor scaling into Over

A proven, serial cross-market bettor with a 78% win rate is adding to an existing Over position at 54 cents in a low-volume Premier League totals market.

  • This bettor has won 78% of 103 resolved trades and is up $26,768.
  • They are adding $1,000 to an existing Over position at 54¢, signaling continued conviction.
  • The market has only $311 in 24-hour volume, making the sizable addition stand out despite ample liquidity.

$1,000 on Over | Wallet win rate: 79%

Top Holders

  1. 0x0353...c2ff Outcome 69177709, $92,571 (81% win rate)
  2. 0x076d...8d4c Outcome 69177709, $6,120 (66% win rate)
  3. 0x5811...0976 Outcome 69177709, $3,757 (45% win rate)
  4. 0xfd4f...a4d3 Outcome 69177709, $3,419 (81% win rate)
  5. 0x4951...3038 Outcome 69177709, $2,080 (54% win rate)
  6. 0x0366...a001 Outcome 69177709, $1,500 (82% win rate)
  7. 0xf555...f95f Outcome 69177709, $1,291 (83% win rate)
  8. 0x1cfc...2111 Outcome 69177709, $1,080
  9. 0xeba0...4586 Outcome 69177709, $1,000
  10. 0xdb83...1e50 Outcome 69177709, $962 (65% win rate)

Related Theses

Belgium advances in low-scoring match

Covers 3 related markets

Low-scoring match, Villa held under two

Covers 3 related markets

Lille-Betis under four goals

Covers 3 related markets

Learner Tien will beat Gael Monfils

Covers 1 related market

Heidenheim will beat Köln

Covers 3 related markets

Manchester City beats Chelsea

Covers 3 related markets

Falcons win a long series

Covers 7 related markets

England will score under three

Covers 1 related market

Algeria Austria stays low-scoring

Covers 6 related markets

Mannarino will beat Shapovalov

Covers 1 related market

Leeds United FC vs. Newcastle United FC: O/U 2.5

ResolvedLeeds United FC vs. Newcastle United FC - More Markets$43,242 tracked6 signalsSportsGamesSoccerPremier LeagueEPL

In the upcoming Premier League game between Leeds United FC and Newcastle United FC, scheduled for September 14 at 3:00 PM ET: This market will resolve to "Over" if Leeds United FC and Newcastle United FC combine to score 3 or more goals in this game. If the combined total is less than 3, this market will resolve to "Under". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50–50. If the game is started but not completed, this market will resolve according to the official final score published on premierleague.com. This market refers only to the outcome within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, data from Flashscore may be used; if Flashscore data is unavailable, data from Sofascore may be used; if neither is available, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead. All markets will settle based on the official final result as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. Revisions to officially declared final scores made after market resolution will not be accounted for in determining the outcome. If no acceptable data is available within 24 hours of the event's conclusion, this market will resolve 50-50, or to "Draw" where applicable.

Price History — “Over
58¢
55¢
52¢
Alert entriesHigh-conviction

Notable Trades

Leeds United FC vs. Newcastle United FC: O/U 2.5

6d ago

$14,681 on Over at 38¢

Leeds United FC vs. Newcastle United FC: O/U 2.5

6d ago

$7,251 on Under at 43¢

Leeds United FC vs. Newcastle United FC: O/U 2.5

6d ago

$13,045 on Under at 61¢

Leeds United FC vs. Newcastle United FC: O/U 2.5

6d ago

$5,692 on Over at 38¢

Leeds United FC vs. Newcastle United FC: O/U 2.5

6d ago

$1,573 on Under at 46¢

Leeds United FC vs. Newcastle United FC: O/U 2.5

8d ago

$1,000 on Over at 54¢

Related Theses