Part of: Lightning vs. Senators
Lightning vs. Senators
5 smart money signals detected, totaling $225,662.
Categories: Sports, NHL, Games, Hockey
Notable Trades
17-wallet linked NHL cluster
A large linked cluster put nearly $185k on Senators across 17 wallets, and several wallets in the group have strong long-term profits, making this coordinated NHL bet worth tracking despite the market being liquid.
- 17 wallets lined up on Senators with $184.8k total, and 8 of them share the same funder
- Several wallets in the cluster have strong records, including one with an 85% win rate and another up $10.5M lifetime
- Most buys came at 57-59¢ while the market now sits near 56¢, showing concentrated conviction around this price zone
$184,795 on Senators
Serial timer with $5.7M profit
A highly profitable serial near-resolution sports bettor with a massive historical edge bought Lightning 3.9 minutes before close during a sharp volume spike.
- This bettor has made $5.7M profit across 1,108 resolved bets and wins 71% of the time.
- They placed this bet just 3.9 minutes before resolution, and they have 39 similar last-minute bets across 30 markets.
- They bought Lightning at 43¢ during a 52.6x volume spike, suggesting strong conviction at a price well below even odds.
$4,378 on Lightning | Wallet win rate: 71%
10-wallet funded cluster
A 10-wallet linked cluster just put $31.7k on Lightning in a liquid NHL market during an extreme volume spike, led by one highly active wallet with $1.9M lifetime profit.
- 10 linked wallets share the same funder, and 3 of them just bought $31.7k of Lightning together
- The biggest wallet in the group is up $1.9M lifetime and put in $27.4k at 46¢
- Market volume is running 1,464x normal, so this buy came alongside a major surge in activity
$31,723 on Lightning
10-wallet funded cluster
A high-volume, proven sports trader from a 10-wallet linked cluster bought Lightning at 45¢, suggesting coordinated conviction from an experienced operator.
- This wallet has a long track record: 59% wins across 2,435 resolved bets and +$86k profit
- Ten wallets share the same funder, pointing to one bettor spreading action across multiple accounts
- They bought Lightning at 45¢ while the market sits 44-45¢, a cheap entry on a liquid NHL market
$2,500 on Lightning | Wallet win rate: 53%
91% win-rate sports sharp
A highly profitable sports bettor with a 91% win rate and over $1.3M in profit is buying Lightning at 46¢, making this a strong follow candidate despite the modest ticket size.
- This bettor wins 91% of their resolved trades and is up $1.3M lifetime
- They have placed $2.35M across 231 events, so this looks like a repeatable edge rather than a one-off bet
- Bought Lightning at 46¢, a price that suggests they see the team as better than a coin flip
$2,266 on Lightning | Wallet win rate: 61%
Top Holders
- 0xc660...bd28 — Outcome 11115151, $96,916 (71% win rate)
- 0xc257...358e — Outcome 11115151, $91,000 (96% win rate)
- 0x27f7...44b0 — Outcome 11115151, $70,406 (87% win rate)
- 0xb6ae...4df8 — Outcome 11115151, $41,156 (85% win rate)
- 0xc49f...9e05 — Outcome 11115151, $10,000 (96% win rate)
- 0x21f3...35e3 — Outcome 11115151, $8,108 (74% win rate)
- 0xc3e7...68d2 — Outcome 11115151, $6,747 (100% win rate)
- 0xedf0...1e2a — Outcome 11115151, $5,000 (78% win rate)
- 0xc399...c915 — Outcome 11115151, $5,000
- 0x22af...ca2f — Outcome 11115151, $1,874
