Part of: Spain vs. Argentina - Player Props

Lionel Messi: 1+ assists

2 smart money signals detected, totaling $9,622.

Categories: Sports, Games, Soccer, FIFA World Cup

Notable Trades

Profitable cluster scaling into No

Three wallets concentrated $6,336 on No, including two profitable bettors with strong historical edges, although two are adding to existing No positions.

  • Three wallets bought No at 72¢, totaling $6,336—more than the market’s $4,730 liquidity.
  • Two participating bettors have strong records: 82% wins with +$32,145 profit and 76% wins with +$98,259 profit.
  • The wallets are adding to existing No positions, signaling increased conviction despite No recently falling to 64¢.

$6,336 on No

92% win-rate serial bettor buys No

A highly profitable serial bettor with a 92% win rate and substantial edge is taking a $3,286 position on No.

  • This bettor has won 92% of 1,814 resolved positions and earned $297,653 in profit.
  • The wallet has traded 949 markets across 720 events, indicating a substantial and consistent track record.
  • They bought No at 72¢, with the market currently near that price and modest upward momentum on Yes.

$3,286 on No | Wallet win rate: 92%

Top Holders

  1. 0x37f4...49af Outcome 96821163, $10,758 (49% win rate)
  2. 0x1b4d...e246 Outcome 96821163, $10,113 (71% win rate)
  3. 0xdd5e...9040 Outcome 96821163, $10,005 (79% win rate)
  4. 0x3e20...dd8a Outcome 48356895, $7,000
  5. 0xfac3...5728 Outcome 96821163, $5,925 (78% win rate)
  6. 0x1a6e...b5bc Outcome 96821163, $3,571 (67% win rate)
  7. 0x89bb...4399 Outcome 96821163, $3,448
  8. 0x7f4b...18c1 Outcome 96821163, $3,442
  9. 0x8d64...9145 Outcome 96821163, $3,000
  10. 0x043c...f2d9 Outcome 96821163, $2,963 (80% win rate)

Related Theses

Covers 1 related market

Covers 1 related market

Covers 1 related market

Covers 1 related market

Covers 1 related market

Covers 1 related market

Covers 1 related market

Covers 1 related market

Covers 1 related market

Covers 2 related markets

Lionel Messi: 1+ assists

ResolvedSpain vs. Argentina - Player Props$9,622 tracked2 signalsSportsGamesSoccerFIFA World Cup

In the upcoming FIFA World Cup game between Spain and Argentina, scheduled for July 19 at 3:00 PM ET: This market will resolve to "Yes" if Lionel Messi records more than 0.5 assists within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. This market will resolve to "No" if Lionel Messi records 0.5 assists or fewer within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. Assists are counted only if credited to Lionel Messi in the official match statistics. If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50-50. If Lionel Messi is listed as inactive or otherwise does not play, the market will resolve "No". This market refers only to the outcome within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. Extra time and penalty shoot-outs are excluded. The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead. All markets will settle based on the official final result as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. Revisions to officially declared final scores made after market resolution will not be accounted for in determining the outcome.

Price History — “No
78¢
65¢
53¢
Alert entriesHigh-conviction

Notable Trades

Lionel Messi: 1+ assists

1d ago

$6,336 on No at 72¢

Lionel Messi: 1+ assists

2d ago

$3,286 on No at 72¢

Related Theses