This bettor wins 82% of resolved trades and is up $15.2K lifetime. They are a serial cross-market trader across 28 events with the same 82% hit rate. They bought No at 70¢ and the market has already moved to 78¢.

This bettor wins 96% of resolved bets and is up $1.44M lifetime. They have traded 184 events and $2.34M across related markets with the same 96% hit rate. A $7.7K buy at 31–33¢ suggests they see Messi scoring as underpriced.

Part of: Jordan vs. Argentina - Player Props

Lionel Messi: 1+ goals

13 smart money signals detected, totaling $42,081.

Categories: Sports, Games, Soccer, FIFA World Cup

Notable Trades

86% winner bought high

Surfaced because a proven profitable bettor with an 86% record bought Yes despite the market now trading far below their 73¢ entry.

This bettor wins 86% of resolved trades and is up $54.7K lifetime.
They are a serial sports/event trader across 42 events with the same 86% hit rate.
They paid 73¢ for Yes while the market now sits near 38¢, making the current price much cheaper than their entry.

$1,200 on Yes | Wallet win rate: 86%

87% serial sports bettor

Sharp serial cross-market bettor with an 87% resolved win rate bought Messi to score at 34¢ just before the match window.

This bettor wins 87% of resolved trades and is up $34K lifetime.
They have traded across 44 events and 50 markets, suggesting a repeatable sports-betting process.
They bought Yes at 34¢ shortly before the match, implying conviction despite the market now sitting near 20¢.

$3,395 on Yes | Wallet win rate: 90%

Sharp cluster buying Yes

Three wallets are all taking the bullish Messi goal side, including two highly profitable sharp sports bettors with long track records.

Two proven bettors are backing Yes: one wins 96% of resolved trades and is up $1.44M lifetime.
Three wallets put $5.7K on the same side, with entries around 31–34¢ despite the market now sitting near 22¢.
The strongest wallet is a serial cross-market trader across 184 events with a 96% resolved-trade record.

$5,702 on Yes

82% winner buying NO

Sharp 82% lifetime winner with positive P&L bought No on Messi scoring, and the market has already moved strongly in that direction.

This bettor wins 82% of resolved trades and is up $15.2K lifetime.
They are a serial cross-market trader across 28 events with the same 82% hit rate.
They bought No at 70¢ and the market has already moved to 78¢.

$1,607 on No | Wallet win rate: 62%

96% sharp buys Yes

Elite profitable wallet with a 96% historical win rate and $1.44M lifetime profit is buying Yes on Messi to score at about 33¢.

This bettor wins 96% of resolved bets and is up $1.44M lifetime.
They have traded 184 events and $2.34M across related markets with the same 96% hit rate.
A $7.7K buy at 31–33¢ suggests they see Messi scoring as underpriced.

$7,712 on Yes | Wallet win rate: 95%

96% winner buying dip

Elite sports bettor with a 96% resolved win rate and $1.44M profit bought Messi to score at 28¢ despite the market dropping sharply.

This bettor wins 96% of resolved bets and is up $1.44M lifetime.
They have traded across 182 events with a strong record, suggesting a repeatable sports edge.
Entry at 28¢ comes after an 18-point daily drop, implying they see Messi scoring as underpriced.

$6,554 on Yes | Wallet win rate: 95%

98% winner backs No

Surfaced because the wallet has an exceptional 98% resolved-bet record and positive lifetime P&L, even though this is only a single moderate-sized trade.

This bettor wins 98% of resolved trades and is up $42K lifetime.
They bought No at 81¢ on a liquid Messi goal market, taking the high-probability side.
The market has moved to about 72¢ No, meaning the position may be available cheaper than their entry.

$2,487 on No | Wallet win rate: 97%

96% winner buying dip

Elite sports bettor with a 96% resolved win rate and $1.44M profit bought Messi to score at 28¢ despite the market dropping sharply.

This bettor wins 96% of resolved bets and is up $1.44M lifetime.
They have traded across 182 events with a strong record, suggesting a repeatable sports edge.
Entry at 28¢ comes after an 18-point daily drop, implying they see Messi scoring as underpriced.

$1,600 on Yes | Wallet win rate: 95%

96% winner buying dip

Elite sports bettor with a 96% resolved win rate and $1.44M profit bought Messi to score at 28¢ despite the market dropping sharply.

This bettor wins 96% of resolved bets and is up $1.44M lifetime.
They have traded across 182 events with a strong record, suggesting a repeatable sports edge.
Entry at 28¢ comes after an 18-point daily drop, implying they see Messi scoring as underpriced.

$1,675 on Yes | Wallet win rate: 95%

96% winner buying dip

Elite sports bettor with a 96% resolved win rate and $1.44M profit bought Messi to score at 28¢ despite the market dropping sharply.

This bettor wins 96% of resolved bets and is up $1.44M lifetime.
They have traded across 182 events with a strong record, suggesting a repeatable sports edge.
Entry at 28¢ comes after an 18-point daily drop, implying they see Messi scoring as underpriced.

$3,125 on Yes | Wallet win rate: 95%

Top Holders

0x03e8...1697 — Outcome 82116156, $36,951 (58% win rate)
0xb225...3d54 — Outcome 82116156, $23,689 (83% win rate)
0x336b...1233 — Outcome 82116156, $20,798 (46% win rate)
0x4337...8882 — Outcome 82116156, $16,715 (75% win rate)
0xaf1a...ba1e — Outcome 82116156, $16,000 (97% win rate)
0x6340...e272 — Outcome 82116156, $6,000 (88% win rate)
0x5ad7...ae48 — Outcome 82116156, $5,000 (96% win rate)
0xe3cb...ac21 — Outcome 82116156, $4,857 (62% win rate)
0xa9a6...0009 — Outcome 82116156, $4,242 (84% win rate)
0x6f2e...7c7b — Outcome 82116156, $3,075 (97% win rate)

Related Theses

Lionel Messi: 1+ goals

ResolvedJordan vs. Argentina - Player Props$42,081 tracked13 signalsSportsGamesSoccerFIFA World Cup

In the upcoming FIFA World Cup game between Jordan and Argentina, scheduled for June 27 at 10:00 PM ET: This market will resolve to "Yes" if Lionel Messi records 1+ goals in the official box score within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". Own goals do not count. If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve "50-50". If the player is listed as inactive or otherwise does not play, the market will resolve "No". The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 24 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead. All markets will settle based on the official final result as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. Revisions to officially declared final scores made after market resolution will not be accounted for in determining the outcome.

Price History — “No”

77¢

61¢

45¢