This bettor wins 93% of resolved trades and is up $43,939 lifetime. They have traded 49 events across 54 markets with the same 93% win rate. They are adding to an existing No position, bringing total exposure to about $5,095 at 65¢.

Part of: Spain vs. Argentina - Player Props

Lionel Messi: 1+ goals

9 smart money signals detected, totaling $105,237.

Categories: Sports, Games, Soccer, FIFA World Cup

Notable Trades

93% winner adding No

Proven high-win-rate sports trader is adding to an existing No position on Messi scoring, supported by a long serial cross-market track record.

This bettor wins 93% of resolved trades and is up $43,939 lifetime.
They have traded 49 events across 54 markets with the same 93% win rate.
They are adding to an existing No position, bringing total exposure to about $5,095 at 65¢.

$20,824 on No | Wallet win rate: 93%

96% winner scaling into No

A highly profitable bettor with a 96% win rate is adding to No alongside four other wallets during a 19x volume spike.

This bettor has won 27 of 28 resolved trades, earning $2,973 while entering at an average 62% price.
Five wallets are buying No for a combined $12,257, with market activity running 19.1x above its historical average.
The wallet is adding to an existing No position at 66¢, signaling continued conviction that Messi will not score.

$1,458 on No | Wallet win rate: 96%

Five-wallet No conviction cluster

Five wallets have collectively bought $12,257 of No amid a 19.1x volume spike, while this new wallet adds to an existing No position.

Five wallets are betting No with $12,257 in combined volume, providing a meaningful one-sided signal.
This brand-new wallet is adding $1,180 to an existing $1,789 No position at 66¢.
The market saw a 19.1x surge versus its historical trading activity, suggesting unusually strong interest before the match.

$1,180 on No

95% winner scaling into No

A highly profitable serial bettor with a 95% win rate is adding $5,280 to an existing No position amid a major volume spike.

This bettor has won 95% of 315 resolved trades and earned $1.46M in profit.
They added $5,280 to an existing No position, bringing total investment on No to $33,800.
The market saw a 45.2x historical volume spike, strengthening the significance of this directional move.

$5,643 on No | Wallet win rate: 95%

Profitable wallets scaling into Messi Yes

Four mostly profitable wallets concentrated roughly $27,000 of effective Yes exposure at 35%, with three adding to existing positions and a sharp volume spike supporting the trade.

Four wallets deployed about $26,930 of effective Yes exposure at 35%, including three adding substantially to existing positions.
The participating bettors have strong records: 71%, 73%, 84%, and 100% win rates, with large combined profits.
Trading volume ran 19.1 times its historical average while Yes odds rose 4% over the day.

$28,099 on Yes

95% winner scaling into No

A highly profitable serial bettor with a 95% win rate is adding $5,280 to an existing No position amid a major volume spike.

This bettor has won 95% of 315 resolved trades and earned $1.46M in profit.
They added $5,280 to an existing No position, bringing total investment on No to $33,800.
The market saw a 45.2x historical volume spike, strengthening the significance of this directional move.

$5,280 on No | Wallet win rate: 95%

New wallet loading No

A very new wallet is aggressively adding to a large No position alongside two other wallets, and the market has already moved in their favor.

A 23-hour-old wallet has repeatedly bought No and now has about $44K on this position.
Three wallets bought the same side for nearly $35K total, pushing No from the mid-60s to 72¢.
Two supporting wallets have small but profitable records, including one that is 6-for-6 on resolved bets.

$37,657 on No

93% winner adding No

Proven high-win-rate sports trader is adding to an existing No position on Messi scoring, supported by a long serial cross-market track record.

This bettor wins 93% of resolved trades and is up $43,939 lifetime.
They have traded 49 events across 54 markets with the same 93% win rate.
They are adding to an existing No position, bringing total exposure to about $5,095 at 65¢.

$1,495 on No | Wallet win rate: 93%

Perfect-record sports bettor

Sharp sports wallet with a perfect 21/21 resolved record and extensive cross-market success is adding to a Yes position at 36¢.

This bettor has won 21 of 21 resolved bets and is up $62K lifetime.
They are a serial cross-market trader across 32 events with a perfect resolved record.
They already hold a Yes position and are adding at 36¢, suggesting continued conviction.

$3,600 on Yes | Wallet win rate: 100%

Top Holders

0xa69d...509b — Outcome 19029877, $69,000 (59% win rate)
0xd3e7...ea94 — Outcome 19029877, $62,800 (76% win rate)
0xe517...fed1 — Outcome 19029877, $49,430
0x1bd1...d4ee — Outcome 19029877, $49,106 (100% win rate)
0xe221...06f6 — Outcome 19029877, $37,777 (97% win rate)
0x68af...93d2 — Outcome 19029877, $34,859 (66% win rate)
0x1b4d...e246 — Outcome 19029877, $30,000 (71% win rate)
0x8323...e955 — Outcome 19029877, $30,000
0x9e84...9071 — Outcome 19029877, $29,530
0x68c8...942d — Outcome 19029877, $27,483 (96% win rate)

Related Theses

France Senegal shootout starts early

Covers 3 related markets

Covers 1 related market

Portugal scores first

Covers 1 related market

Lionel Messi: 1+ goals

ResolvedSpain vs. Argentina - Player Props$105,237 tracked9 signalsSportsGamesSoccerFIFA World Cup

In the upcoming FIFA World Cup game between Spain and Argentina, scheduled for July 19 at 3:00 PM ET: This market will resolve to "Yes" if Lionel Messi records 1+ goals in the official box score within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". Own goals do not count. If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve "50-50". If the player is listed as inactive or otherwise does not play, the market will resolve "No". The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 24 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead. All markets will settle based on the official final result as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. Revisions to officially declared final scores made after market resolution will not be accounted for in determining the outcome.

Price History — “No”

74¢

69¢

63¢