Part of: Spain vs. Argentina - Player Props

Lionel Messi: 4+ shots

1 smart money signal detected, totaling $2,606.

Categories: Sports, Games, Soccer, FIFA World Cup

Notable Trades

Sharp bettor scaling into No

A proven bettor with a 76% win rate and substantial positive edge is adding $2,606 to a No position despite strong market momentum toward Yes.

  • This bettor has won 76% of 125 resolved trades and is up $98,259 lifetime.
  • They added $2,606 to No across a broader three-market event position, showing continued conviction.
  • No was bought at 61¢ while the market has since moved sharply toward Yes, making this a contrarian sharp-bettor position.

$2,606 on No | Wallet win rate: 76%

Top Holders

  1. 0x7de3...d59b Outcome 70906718, $3,000 (90% win rate)
  2. 0x8460...141d Outcome 70906718, $1,351
  3. 0x9f75...6c7e Outcome 70906718, $789
  4. 0x374e...87c9 Outcome 70906718, $671
  5. 0x7c0a...643a Outcome 70906718, $320
  6. 0xa14d...45d1 Outcome 70906718, $300
  7. 0x48e3...03cc Outcome 70906718, $152 (74% win rate)
  8. 0x2c79...aa67 Outcome 70906718, $127
  9. 0x7d1b...46ab Outcome 70906718, $95
  10. 0x90a1...76e2 Outcome 70906718, $61

Related Theses

Top stars go scoreless

Covers 3 related markets

France attack stays quiet

Covers 4 related markets

Yamal and Messi stay quiet

Covers 4 related markets

France stars fail to produce

Covers 3 related markets

Lionel Messi: 4+ shots

ResolvedSpain vs. Argentina - Player Props$2,606 tracked1 signalSportsGamesSoccerFIFA World Cup

In the upcoming FIFA World Cup game between Spain and Argentina, scheduled for July 19 at 3:00 PM ET: This market will resolve to "Yes" if Lionel Messi records more than 3.5 shots within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. This market will resolve to "No" if Lionel Messi records 3.5 shots or fewer within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. Shots are counted only if credited to Lionel Messi in the official match statistics. If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50-50. If Lionel Messi is listed as inactive or otherwise does not play, the market will resolve "No". This market refers only to the outcome within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. Extra time and penalty shoot-outs are excluded. The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead. All markets will settle based on the official final result as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. Revisions to officially declared final scores made after market resolution will not be accounted for in determining the outcome.

Price History — “No
83¢
67¢
51¢
Alert entriesHigh-conviction

Notable Trades

Lionel Messi: 4+ shots

1d ago

$2,606 on No at 61¢

Related Theses