Part of: LoL: Anyone's Legend vs Top Esports (BO3) - LPL Group Ascend

LoL: Anyone's Legend vs Top Esports (BO3) - LPL Group Ascend

6 smart money signals detected, totaling $191,003.

Categories: Esports, league of legends, Games, Sports

Notable Trades

93% win-rate serial bettor

A highly proven serial trader with a 93% win rate and substantial positive edge is making a fresh $3,000 bet on Anyone's Legend.

  • This bettor has won 93% of 2,415 resolved positions and is up $2.06 million.
  • The trader typically buys at about 52% odds, far below the 93% win rate, indicating a substantial historical edge.
  • A fresh $3,000 position backs Anyone's Legend at 58% in a liquid market.

$1,600 on Anyone's Legend | Wallet win rate: 93%

Coordinated sharp-bettor Top Esports buy

A large, coordinated Top Esports position was supported by several highly profitable bettors, including a 96% win-rate wallet, although the market has already moved to 100%.

  • 20 wallets committed $79,437 to Top Esports, including bettors with 84%–96% historical win rates and substantial profits.
  • Several traders were adding to existing Top Esports positions, showing increased conviction rather than a casual opening trade.
  • Top Esports moved sharply higher to 100%, so the signal was strong but is no longer practically actionable at the current price.

$79,437 on Top Esports

Sharp bettor scaling into Anyone's Legend

A highly profitable 83% win-rate bettor is adding $14.5K to an existing Anyone's Legend position amid a major price drop and volume spike.

  • This bettor wins 83% of 89 resolved trades and is up nearly $949K lifetime.
  • They added $14,515 at 31¢ despite the outcome falling 27 percentage points, signaling strong conviction at a discounted price.
  • The market saw a 122x historical volume spike, while this wallet already has $50,000 invested in the same position.

$14,515 on Anyone's Legend | Wallet win rate: 84%

Serial trader makes thin-book esports bet

A highly experienced serial trader made a large, market-moving Top Esports bet in a thin-liquidity book, though the trader's edge over entry odds is modest.

  • This bettor has resolved 671 trades, a 67% win rate, and is up $301,348 overall.
  • The $1,760 Top Esports bet was over four times the market's $413 liquidity and pushed the price beyond its prior range.
  • Top Esports was bought at 70¢, but the market has since fallen to roughly 46¢, making this a high-conviction but currently underwater position.

$1,761 on Top Esports | Wallet win rate: 68%

Coordinated sharp-money AL buying

A large coordinated 14-wallet purchase of Anyone's Legend includes multiple highly profitable bettors and preceded a 14-point price rise.

  • Fourteen wallets bought $55,684 of Anyone's Legend around 57–60¢, showing concentrated conviction.
  • Several participants have exceptional records, including 93% wins over 2,416 bets and 100% over 54 bets.
  • The market has since risen 14 points to 72%, corroborating the group's direction; copying above 70¢ offers less value.

$90,691 on Anyone's Legend

93% win-rate serial bettor

A highly proven serial trader with a 93% win rate and substantial positive edge is making a fresh $3,000 bet on Anyone's Legend.

  • This bettor has won 93% of 2,415 resolved positions and is up $2.06 million.
  • The trader typically buys at about 52% odds, far below the 93% win rate, indicating a substantial historical edge.
  • A fresh $3,000 position backs Anyone's Legend at 58% in a liquid market.

$3,000 on Anyone's Legend | Wallet win rate: 93%

Top Holders

  1. 0xcd30...f316 Outcome 11232268, $102,730 (94% win rate)
  2. 0x1660...5598 Outcome 11232268, $65,000 (88% win rate)
  3. 0x8a86...4998 Outcome 11232268, $50,000 (84% win rate)
  4. 0x0224...292a Outcome 11232268, $30,872 (55% win rate)
  5. 0x8c0b...7aa5 Outcome 11232268, $24,433 (59% win rate)
  6. 0x695d...0d7c Outcome 11232268, $20,021 (73% win rate)
  7. 0x3833...33d1 Outcome 11232268, $19,492 (80% win rate)
  8. 0x8718...5040 Outcome 11232268, $17,636 (82% win rate)
  9. 0x6842...20d0 Outcome 11232268, $14,000 (66% win rate)
  10. 0xcf60...a6f5 Outcome 11232268, $13,000 (82% win rate)

Related Theses

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LoL: Anyone's Legend vs Top Esports (BO3) - LPL Group Ascend

ResolvedLoL: Anyone's Legend vs Top Esports (BO3) - LPL Group Ascend$191,003 tracked6 signalsEsportsleague of legendsGamesSports

This market refers to the LoL match between Anyone's Legend and Top Esports in the LPL Group Ascend, initially scheduled for August 19 at 4:00AM ET. This market will resolve to "Anyone's Legend" if Anyone's Legend win the match against Top Esports. This market will resolve to "Top Esports" if Top Esports win the match against Anyone's Legend. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a winner determined, this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one team wins due to the opponent's forfeiture, disqualification, or walkover, this market will resolve to the team who wins. If the match ends in a forfeit, disqualification, or walkover (team withdraws before the start and the other wins automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The resolution source for this market will be official information from https://gol.gg/esports/home. However, if https://gol.gg/esports/home has not published final results within 2 hours after the event’s conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead including video evidence. In cases where a team’s listed name includes minor discrepancies from the resolution source, this market will resolve based on the underlying real-world match rather than exact name matching. Recognizable abbreviations, alternate or erroneous spellings, sponsor tags, affiliate or academy designations, regional identifiers, and minor formatting differences will be treated as referring to the same team, provided the intended team can be clearly and uniquely identified within the relevant competition. If a listed team name has no reasonable connection to any participating team, or if it matches or could reasonably refer to another team in the same competition such that the intended team cannot be unambiguously determined, this market will resolve 50-50.

Price History — “Top Esports
102¢
67¢
32¢
Alert entriesHigh-conviction

Notable Trades

LoL: Anyone's Legend vs Top Esports (BO3) - LPL Group Ascend

4d ago

$1,600 on Anyone's Legend at 58¢

LoL: Anyone's Legend vs Top Esports (BO3) - LPL Group Ascend

4d ago

$79,437 on Top Esports at 73¢

LoL: Anyone's Legend vs Top Esports (BO3) - LPL Group Ascend

4d ago

$14,515 on Anyone's Legend at 31¢

LoL: Anyone's Legend vs Top Esports (BO3) - LPL Group Ascend

4d ago

$1,761 on Top Esports at 70¢

LoL: Anyone's Legend vs Top Esports (BO3) - LPL Group Ascend

4d ago

$90,691 on Anyone's Legend at 60¢

LoL: Anyone's Legend vs Top Esports (BO3) - LPL Group Ascend

4d ago

$3,000 on Anyone's Legend at 58¢

Related Theses