Part of: LoL: Bilibili Gaming vs Top Esports (BO3) - LPL Group Ascend

LoL: Bilibili Gaming vs Top Esports (BO3) - LPL Group Ascend

7 smart money signals detected, totaling $704,057.

Categories: Esports, league of legends, Games, Sports

Notable Trades

Four-wallet Top Esports concentration

Four wallets deployed nearly $388,000 on Top Esports amid an extraordinary volume spike, with this profitable wallet adding heavily to an existing position despite lacking a strong win-rate edge.

  • Four wallets are buying Top Esports, committing about $388,000 in coordinated one-sided flow.
  • The market saw a 1,059x historical volume spike, while this wallet added roughly $367,000 to an existing $781,000 position.
  • This wallet is up $1.94M lifetime, though its 48% win rate makes the coordinated activity more compelling than its track record alone.

$366,783 on Top Esports | Wallet win rate: 47%

Coordinated Top Esports whale flow

A large coordinated Top Esports position, including profitable bettors and a massive volume spike, is a strong directional signal despite opposing Bilibili flow.

  • Four wallets bought $251,000 of Top Esports, including a bettor with a 69% win rate and $1.9M lifetime profit.
  • The trades drove an 886x historical volume spike and coincided with Bilibili Gaming falling 22 percentage points.
  • The position is partly an add to existing holdings, but the scale and shared-funder coordination indicate strong conviction.

$251,025 on Top Esports

Profitable serial bettor buys Top Esports

A highly profitable serial cross-market bettor with a 67% win rate and $1.34M lifetime profit bought Top Esports at 31¢ during an exceptional volume spike.

  • This bettor has won 67% of 327 resolved trades and is up $1.34 million lifetime.
  • They bought Top Esports at 31¢ despite the market implying only a 30% chance, signaling a contrarian esports view.
  • Trading activity was 242 times the historical average, with seven trades during the event buildup.

$3,100 on Top Esports | Wallet win rate: 67%

Sharp cluster buying Bilibili Gaming

A $74.8K coordinated Bilibili Gaming buy, including several highly profitable bettors, is accumulating against a 30% price decline and a 255x volume spike.

  • Thirteen wallets committed $74,825 to Bilibili Gaming, including bettors with 83%–96% win rates across hundreds of resolved positions.
  • The buying arrived during a 255x historical volume spike while Bilibili’s price fell 30% over one day, signaling strong contrarian conviction.
  • The trade implies roughly a 2.6x payout at 39¢ if Bilibili Gaming wins, though the market currently prices them at only 38%.

$74,825 on Bilibili Gaming

96% win-rate bettor buys Top Esports

A highly profitable serial bettor with a 96% win rate and substantial edge made a concentrated bet on Top Esports amid an extreme volume spike.

  • This bettor has won 96% of 712 resolved positions and earned over $6.3 million.
  • They concentrated $4,173 into Top Esports at an average entry near 33%, despite the market currently pricing it at 30%.
  • The market saw a 2,332x historical volume spike, adding strong confirmation to the otherwise contrarian position.

$4,173 on Top Esports | Wallet win rate: 96%

Proven serial bettor backs Bilibili

A highly experienced bettor with 2,027 resolved trades and a strong price-adjusted record made a concentrated purchase of Bilibili Gaming at 73¢.

  • This bettor wins 74% of 2,027 resolved trades and is up $186,050 lifetime.
  • They have historically won at an average entry price of 61¢, suggesting meaningful edge beyond simply backing favorites.
  • A $3,101 purchase represents nearly all of the detected 24-hour volume, while Bilibili has already risen 31.5% over the week.

$3,101 on Bilibili Gaming | Wallet win rate: 74%

93% win-rate serial bettor backs Top Esports

A highly profitable serial bettor with a 93% win rate and substantial historical edge placed a concentrated bet on Top Esports in a relatively thin market.

  • This bettor wins 93% of 682 resolved positions and is up $400,220 lifetime.
  • They placed $1,051 on Top Esports at 32¢, a sizable position in a market with only $3,300 in 24-hour volume.
  • The wallet has traded across 174 events and 195 markets, suggesting a repeatable cross-market betting process rather than a one-off wager.

$1,051 on Top Esports | Wallet win rate: 93%

Top Holders

  1. 0x6ac5...4b6e Outcome 57718730, $119,580 (44% win rate)
  2. 0xe42c...e2c5 Outcome 57718730, $39,047 (100% win rate)
  3. 0xba38...fb57 Outcome 57718730, $30,000 (97% win rate)
  4. 0x85d5...45ee Outcome 57718730, $26,529 (84% win rate)
  5. 0xef53...9ef1 Outcome 57718730, $23,068 (38% win rate)
  6. 0x0e58...5749 Outcome 57718730, $20,774 (88% win rate)
  7. 0x57b4...b46b Outcome 57718730, $20,000 (93% win rate)
  8. 0x85b8...0935 Outcome 57718730, $17,949 (89% win rate)
  9. 0x0ff9...aaa7 Outcome 57718730, $17,058 (74% win rate)
  10. 0x000e...f7e9 Outcome 57718730, $16,000 (42% win rate)

Related Theses

Team Liquid beats Spirit

Covers 3 related markets

Exactly four goals scored

Covers 4 related markets

Hanwha sweeps Bilibili Gaming

Covers 4 related markets

NRG wins maps two through four

Covers 5 related markets

TheMongolz sweep FaZe 2-0

Covers 3 related markets

BLG dominates early, T1 wins

Covers 5 related markets

Hanwha Life beats Bilibili

Covers 3 related markets

Top Esports sweep LGD Gaming

Covers 3 related markets

Bilibili Gaming Wins Both Games

Covers 3 related markets

MOUZ Sweeps Astralis 2-0

Covers 3 related markets

LoL: Bilibili Gaming vs Top Esports (BO3) - LPL Group Ascend

ResolvedLoL: Bilibili Gaming vs Top Esports (BO3) - LPL Group Ascend$704,057 tracked7 signalsEsportsleague of legendsGamesSports

This market refers to the LoL match between Bilibili Gaming and Top Esports in the LPL Group Ascend, initially scheduled for August 7 at 7:00AM ET. This market will resolve to "Bilibili Gaming" if Bilibili Gaming win the match against Top Esports. This market will resolve to "Top Esports" if Top Esports win the match against Bilibili Gaming. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a winner determined, this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one team wins due to the opponent's forfeiture, disqualification, or walkover, this market will resolve to the team who wins. If the match ends in a forfeit, disqualification, or walkover (team withdraws before the start and the other wins automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The resolution source for this market will be official information from https://gol.gg/esports/home. However, if https://gol.gg/esports/home has not published final results within 2 hours after the event’s conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead including video evidence. In cases where a team’s listed name includes minor discrepancies from the resolution source, this market will resolve based on the underlying real-world match rather than exact name matching. Recognizable abbreviations, alternate or erroneous spellings, sponsor tags, affiliate or academy designations, regional identifiers, and minor formatting differences will be treated as referring to the same team, provided the intended team can be clearly and uniquely identified within the relevant competition. If a listed team name has no reasonable connection to any participating team, or if it matches or could reasonably refer to another team in the same competition such that the intended team cannot be unambiguously determined, this market will resolve 50-50.

Price History — “Top Esports
102¢
64¢
27¢
Alert entriesHigh-conviction

Notable Trades

LoL: Bilibili Gaming vs Top Esports (BO3) - LPL Group Ascend

1d ago

$366,783 on Top Esports at 62¢

LoL: Bilibili Gaming vs Top Esports (BO3) - LPL Group Ascend

1d ago

$251,025 on Top Esports at 63¢

LoL: Bilibili Gaming vs Top Esports (BO3) - LPL Group Ascend

1d ago

$3,100 on Top Esports at 31¢

LoL: Bilibili Gaming vs Top Esports (BO3) - LPL Group Ascend

1d ago

$74,825 on Bilibili Gaming at 39¢

LoL: Bilibili Gaming vs Top Esports (BO3) - LPL Group Ascend

1d ago

$4,173 on Top Esports at 33¢

LoL: Bilibili Gaming vs Top Esports (BO3) - LPL Group Ascend

2d ago

$3,101 on Bilibili Gaming at 73¢

LoL: Bilibili Gaming vs Top Esports (BO3) - LPL Group Ascend

4d ago

$1,051 on Top Esports at 32¢

Related Theses

Team Liquid beats Spirit
Wallet_0x6d20c trades 3 related markets
Dota 2: Team Spirit vs Team Li…Dota 2: Team Spirit vs Team Li…Game Handicap: TS (-1.5) vs Te…
Exactly four goals scored
Wallet_0xf0702 trades 4 related markets
Uruguay vs. Cabo Verde: O/U 4.…Uruguay vs. Cabo Verde: O/U 1.…Uruguay vs. Cabo Verde: O/U 2.…
Hanwha sweeps Bilibili Gaming
Wallet_0xf0702 trades 4 related markets
LoL: Bilibili Gaming vs Hanwha…LoL: Bilibili Gaming vs Hanwha…LoL: Bilibili Gaming vs Hanwha…
NRG wins maps two through four
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Valorant: 100 Thieves vs NRG -…Valorant: 100 Thieves vs NRG (…Valorant: 100 Thieves vs NRG -…
TheMongolz sweep FaZe 2-0
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Counter-Strike: FaZe vs TheMon…Counter-Strike: FaZe vs TheMon…Counter-Strike: FaZe vs TheMon…
BLG dominates early, T1 wins
Wallet_0xf0702 trades 5 related markets
LoL: Bilibili Gaming vs T1 (BO…LoL: Bilibili Gaming vs T1 - G…LoL: Bilibili Gaming vs T1 - G…
Hanwha Life beats Bilibili
Wallet_0xf0702 trades 3 related markets
LoL: Bilibili Gaming vs Hanwha…LoL: Bilibili Gaming vs Hanwha…LoL: Bilibili Gaming vs Hanwha…
Top Esports sweep LGD Gaming
Wallet_0xf0702 trades 3 related markets
LoL: LGD Gaming vs Top Esports…LoL: LGD Gaming vs Top Esports…LoL: LGD Gaming vs Top Esports…
Bilibili Gaming Wins Both Games
Wallet_0xf0702 trades 3 related markets
LoL: JD Gaming vs Bilibili Gam…LoL: JD Gaming vs Bilibili Gam…LoL: JD Gaming vs Bilibili Gam…
MOUZ Sweeps Astralis 2-0
Wallet_0xf0702 trades 3 related markets
Counter-Strike: Astralis vs MO…Counter-Strike: Astralis vs MO…Counter-Strike: Astralis vs MO…