Part of: LoL: BNK FEARX vs Nongshim Red Force (BO3) - LCK Rounds 1-2
LoL: BNK FEARX vs Nongshim Red Force - Game 1 Winner
This prediction market covers the Game 1 winner between BNK FEARX and Nongshim Red Force in the LCK Rounds 1-2 match. It resolves to the team that wins Game 1, with resolution scheduled for May 16, 2026; PolySpotter is tracking $26,164 in smart money and 3 recent signals, including sharp activity around Nongshim.
This market refers to the LoL match between BNK FEARX and Nongshim Red Force in the LCK Rounds 1-2, initially scheduled for May 16 at 6:00AM ET. This market will resolve to "BNK FEARX" if BNK FEARX win Game 1 against Nongshim Red Force. This market will resolve to "Nongshim Red Force" if Nongshim Red Force win Game 1 against BNK FEARX. If the match begins but is not completed, and Game 1 is concluded with a winner determined, this market will resolve based on the completed Game 1. If Game 1 is not completed for any reason, this market will resolve 50-50. If the match is canceled (not played at all) or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without play beginning, this market will resolve 50-50. The resolution source for this market will be official information from https://gol.gg/esports/home. However, if https://gol.gg/esports/home has not published final results within 2 hours after the event’s conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead including video evidence.
7 smart money signals detected, totaling $44,927.
Categories: Esports, league of legends, Games, Sports
Notable Trades
Profitable sharp joins underdog flow
High-score alert driven by a highly profitable serial cross-market bettor joining 9-wallet one-sided flow on the underdog despite recent adverse price action.
- This bettor has a huge track record: 74% wins across 1,541 resolved bets and +$1.4M lifetime profit.
- Nine wallets bought the same underdog side for about $15K total, suggesting coordinated conviction.
- They paid 24¢ for Nongshim, while the market is now near 16¢, offering a cheaper entry than the flagged fill.
$1,028 on Nongshim Red Force | Wallet win rate: 74%
11-wallet sharp esports pile-on
High-conviction esports pile-on: 11 wallets bought BNK FEARX for $33k, including several profitable high-win-rate bettors, and the price quickly moved to 100%.
- 11 wallets bought BNK FEARX in the same window, totaling $33k.
- Several strong bettors joined, including wallets winning 79% and 89% of resolved bets.
- The move was validated fast: BNK FEARX jumped from around 60¢ to 100%.
$33,274 on BNK FEARX
Profitable serial esports bettor
Profitable serial cross-market bettor bought Nongshim at 82¢ amid a large pre-event volume spike and price move, though the market has since reversed sharply to 42¢.
- This bettor has a long track record: 72% wins across 284 resolved bets and +$25K lifetime profit.
- They are a serial cross-market trader with 58 events and $125K bet, suggesting a repeatable sports/esports strategy.
- Nongshim was bought aggressively at 82¢ during a 22x volume spike, but current odds near 42¢ mean the market has moved sharply against the entry.
$1,680 on Nongshim Red Force | Wallet win rate: 72%
Profitable sharp buying underdog
Surface because a profitable 77% win-rate wallet bought Nongshim, though the market has since moved against the entry.
- This bettor wins 77% of resolved trades and is up $26.3K lifetime.
- They bought Nongshim at 57¢, a strong stance versus the current 42¢ market price.
- Market activity spiked 22x before the match, with a large recent price move around this outcome.
$1,024 on Nongshim Red Force | Wallet win rate: 76%
Sharp cluster chasing Nongshim
Three wallets, including a profitable high-volume esports bettor, bought Nongshim together before a sharp move from roughly 40–57¢ to 62¢.
- Three wallets all bought Nongshim in the same 5-minute window, pushing the price up 17 points.
- One bettor has won 77% of 70 resolved bets and is up $26K lifetime.
- Another wallet has traded over $11M and is up $932K lifetime, adding weight to the move.
$4,238 on Nongshim Red Force
82% winner buying dip
Sharp esports bettor with an 82% win rate and $171k lifetime profit bought BNK FEARX despite recent price weakness.
- This bettor wins 82% of resolved bets and is up $171k lifetime.
- They are a serial cross-market trader across 42 events with a strong track record.
- Bought BNK FEARX at 46¢ after a sharp price drop, implying they see value against the current 38% market price.
$1,969 on BNK FEARX | Wallet win rate: 82%
Profitable serial esports trader
A highly profitable serial cross-market trader with a 70% win rate and $931k lifetime P&L bought Nongshim at 40¢, ahead of the current 44¢ price.
- This bettor wins 70% of resolved trades and is up $931k lifetime.
- They have traded across 432 events with over $4.0M in total volume, suggesting a repeatable sports/esports edge.
- Bought Nongshim at 40¢, and the market has already moved to 44¢ in their direction.
$1,714 on Nongshim Red Force | Wallet win rate: 70%
Top Holders
- 0x3b4c...e850 — BNK FEARX, $55,262
- 0x8c0b...7aa5 — Nongshim Red Force, $11,538 (56% win rate)
- 0xf201...527e — BNK FEARX, $11,040 (72% win rate)
- 0x04b1...d224 — BNK FEARX, $10,948 (54% win rate)
- 0xb589...91e3 — Nongshim Red Force, $10,006 (85% win rate)
- 0xe85b...2477 — BNK FEARX, $10,000 (98% win rate)
- 0xd331...733c — BNK FEARX, $9,069 (79% win rate)
- 0xe405...c67e — BNK FEARX, $8,942 (57% win rate)
- 0xc44f...d49f — Nongshim Red Force, $7,656 (70% win rate)
- 0x8fd1...bfe8 — Nongshim Red Force, $7,564 (64% win rate)
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