Part of: LoL: Cloud9 vs FlyQuest (BO5) - LCS Playoffs

LoL: Cloud9 vs FlyQuest - Game 4 Winner

This Polymarket prediction market covers the winner of Game 4 between Cloud9 and FlyQuest in the LCS Playoffs upper bracket semifinal. It resolves to the team that wins Game 4, with resolution expected by May 24, 2026, and PolySpotter is tracking $10,352 in smart money activity across 3 signals.

This market refers to the LoL Upper bracket semifinal 1 match between Cloud9 and FlyQuest in the LCS Playoffs, initially scheduled for May 23 at 4:00PM ET. This market will resolve to "Cloud9" if Cloud9 win Game 4 against FlyQuest. This market will resolve to "FlyQuest" if FlyQuest win Game 4 against Cloud9. If the match begins but is not completed, and Game 4 is concluded with a winner determined, this market will resolve based on the completed Game 4. If Game 4 is not completed for any reason, this market will resolve 50-50. If the match is canceled (not played at all) or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without play beginning, this market will resolve 50-50. The resolution source for this market will be official information from https://gol.gg/esports/home. However, if https://gol.gg/esports/home has not published final results within 2 hours after the event’s conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead including video evidence.

9 smart money signals detected, totaling $67,636.

Categories: Esports, league of legends, Games, Sports

Notable Trades

Profitable esports whale cluster

Clustered FlyQuest buying is notable because it includes a very high-volume profitable esports bettor and repeated cross-market positioning, though there is also larger opposing Cloud9 flow.

  • A major bettor in this cluster is up about $460K lifetime across 1,750 resolved trades.
  • Three wallets bought $7.6K of FlyQuest, with one adding twice after closing a Cloud9 position.
  • This is part of broader event-wide positioning, though there is also heavier Cloud9 buying on the other side.

$7,639 on FlyQuest

Profitable serial esports bettor

Profitable high-volume esports bettor with a 72% long-term win rate is buying Cloud9 alongside one-sided group flow and a pre-event volume spike.

  • This bettor has a strong long-term record, winning 72% of 856 resolved bets and earning $620k lifetime.
  • They are a serial cross-market trader, with $1.37M bet across 239 markets and a 72% win rate.
  • Five wallets bought Cloud9 in the same window, totaling $16.1k of one-sided flow.

$1,714 on Cloud9 | Wallet win rate: 72%

Profitable serial bettor on Cloud9

A highly profitable serial cross-market bettor bought Cloud9 at 50¢ alongside one-sided Cloud9 flow and a pre-event volume spike.

  • This bettor has won 71% of 789 resolved trades and is up $1.29M lifetime.
  • Five wallets bought the same Cloud9 side, totaling $16,092 in coordinated one-way flow.
  • They entered at 50¢ and the market has already moved to 58¢, suggesting the trade is being validated.

$1,000 on Cloud9 | Wallet win rate: 71%

Sharp six-wallet cluster

High-conviction Cloud9 cluster led by multiple profitable serial cross-market bettors, including a 91% winner, despite the market moving against their 60–62¢ entries.

  • Several proven bettors are on the same side, including one who wins 91% of resolved trades and is up $515k lifetime.
  • Six wallets bought $35.5k of Cloud9, a large one-sided move in a market with only $17.6k liquidity.
  • They paid 60–62¢ while Cloud9 is now around 48–50¢, so the market is offering a cheaper entry than the cluster took.

$35,543 on Cloud9

Sharp serial esports bettor

Sharp serial cross-market trader with a 75% resolved win rate bought FlyQuest at 41¢ ahead of a major volume spike, and the market has already moved to 52¢.

  • This bettor has won 75% of 154 resolved trades and is up about $15k lifetime.
  • They are a serial cross-market trader across 32 events, suggesting a repeatable esports/sports betting pattern.
  • They bought FlyQuest at 41¢ before the market moved to 52¢, a quick 11-point move in their favor.

$1,200 on FlyQuest | Wallet win rate: 75%

Profitable serial bettor

Profitable high-volume serial trader bought FlyQuest during a major pre-event volume spike, making this a follow-worthy esports position despite modest sizing.

  • This bettor has a long profitable record: 59% wins across 1,750 resolved bets and $460K lifetime profit.
  • They are a repeat cross-market trader, with activity across 750 markets and $2.3M in flagged event volume.
  • Market activity spiked 270x before the match, and this trade joined the FlyQuest side at 53¢.

$1,539 on FlyQuest | Wallet win rate: 59%

Million-dollar esports sharp

Proven profitable serial cross-market bettor put $10.1k on Cloud9 in a thin Game 4 market, alongside a major pre-event volume spike.

  • This bettor wins 71% of resolved trades and is up $1.29M lifetime.
  • They bought $10.1k of Cloud9 at 60¢, more than the market’s full 24h volume.
  • They are also active across 3 related markets in this event, suggesting a broader match thesis.

$10,080 on Cloud9 | Wallet win rate: 71%

Profitable serial esports trader

Highly profitable serial esports trader with $620k lifetime profit is buying Cloud9 amid a major pre-event volume spike and related same-event positioning.

  • This bettor is up $620k lifetime with a 72% hit rate across 856 resolved markets.
  • They have traded 129 related events and already put $35.9k across 5 markets in this matchup.
  • This $5.4k Cloud9 buy was 74% of the market’s 24h volume, showing strong conviction in a smaller market.

$5,400 on Cloud9 | Wallet win rate: 72%

Sharp esports bettor

Sharp-wallet override: despite a weak low-activity signal, this bettor has a strong 76% record over 361 resolved bets and is up $66K lifetime.

  • This bettor wins 76% of resolved trades and is up $66K lifetime.
  • They put $3.5K on FlyQuest in a relatively quiet market with only $7.3K traded today.
  • Entry at 50¢ suggests they saw FlyQuest as underpriced versus the market's current 44% odds.

$3,522 on FlyQuest | Wallet win rate: 76%

Top Holders

  1. 0x6049...f14f FlyQuest, $34,534
  2. 0x33ab...9523 FlyQuest, $31,233
  3. 0xf201...527e Cloud9, $28,952 (72% win rate)
  4. 0xcf60...a6f5 Cloud9, $21,600 (71% win rate)
  5. 0x9cd1...285d Cloud9, $12,000 (50% win rate)
  6. 0xb6ce...7a7d FlyQuest, $10,050 (49% win rate)
  7. 0x7553...65ca Cloud9, $9,934 (38% win rate)
  8. 0x82dc...5700 FlyQuest, $9,628 (50% win rate)
  9. 0x1341...0853 Cloud9, $9,304 (86% win rate)
  10. 0xc44f...d49f Cloud9, $9,000 (72% win rate)

Related Theses

Movistar wins in five

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G2 beats Karmine Corp

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T1 will sweep Gen.G

Covers 3 related markets

T1 sweeps Kiwoom DRX

Covers 3 related markets

G2 sweeps Karmine Corp

Covers 4 related markets

DRX series, BRION early games

Covers 3 related markets

NAVI crushes GamerLegion Map 3

Covers 3 related markets

Falcons sweep Legacy

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Falcons sweep MOUZ 2-0

Covers 3 related markets

LoL: Cloud9 vs FlyQuest - Game 4 Winner

1hLoL: Cloud9 vs FlyQuest (BO5) - LCS Playoffs$67,636 tracked9 signalsEsportsleague of legendsGamesSports
Cloud9
0¢
FlyQuest
100¢

This market refers to the LoL Upper bracket semifinal 1 match between Cloud9 and FlyQuest in the LCS Playoffs, initially scheduled for May 23 at 4:00PM ET. This market will resolve to "Cloud9" if Cloud9 win Game 4 against FlyQuest. This market will resolve to "FlyQuest" if FlyQuest win Game 4 against Cloud9. If the match begins but is not completed, and Game 4 is concluded with a winner determined, this market will resolve based on the completed Game 4. If Game 4 is not completed for any reason, this market will resolve 50-50. If the match is canceled (not played at all) or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without play beginning, this market will resolve 50-50. The resolution source for this market will be official information from https://gol.gg/esports/home. However, if https://gol.gg/esports/home has not published final results within 2 hours after the event’s conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead including video evidence.

Price History — “FlyQuest
102¢
67¢
32¢
Alert entriesHigh-conviction

Notable Trades

LoL: Cloud9 vs FlyQuest - Game 4 Winner

1h ago

$7,639 on FlyQuest at 56¢

56¢100¢44¢

LoL: Cloud9 vs FlyQuest - Game 4 Winner

1h ago

$1,714 on Cloud9 at 56¢

56¢0¢56¢

LoL: Cloud9 vs FlyQuest - Game 4 Winner

1h ago

$1,000 on Cloud9 at 50¢

50¢0¢50¢

LoL: Cloud9 vs FlyQuest - Game 4 Winner

1h ago

$35,543 on Cloud9 at 60¢

60¢0¢60¢

LoL: Cloud9 vs FlyQuest - Game 4 Winner

1h ago

$1,200 on FlyQuest at 41¢

41¢100¢59¢

LoL: Cloud9 vs FlyQuest - Game 4 Winner

1h ago

$1,539 on FlyQuest at 53¢

53¢100¢47¢

LoL: Cloud9 vs FlyQuest - Game 4 Winner

1h ago

$10,080 on Cloud9 at 60¢

60¢0¢60¢

LoL: Cloud9 vs FlyQuest - Game 4 Winner

1h ago

$5,400 on Cloud9 at 60¢

60¢0¢60¢

LoL: Cloud9 vs FlyQuest - Game 4 Winner

2h ago

$3,522 on FlyQuest at 50¢

50¢100¢50¢

Related Theses

Movistar wins in five
Wallet_0xf201a trades 4 related markets
LoL: Karmine Corp vs Movistar …LoL: Karmine Corp vs Movistar …LoL: Karmine Corp vs Movistar …
G2 beats Karmine Corp
Wallet_0xf201a trades 5 related markets
LoL: Karmine Corp vs G2 Esport…LoL: Karmine Corp vs G2 Esport…LoL: Karmine Corp vs G2 Esport…
Wallet_0xf201a trades 3 related markets
LoL: Sentinels vs FlyQuest - G…LoL: Sentinels vs FlyQuest (BO…LoL: Sentinels vs FlyQuest - G…
T1 will sweep Gen.G
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LoL: Gen.G vs T1 (BO3) - LCK R…LoL: Gen.G vs T1 - Game 1 Winn…LoL: Gen.G vs T1 - Game 2 Winn…
T1 sweeps Kiwoom DRX
Wallet_0xcf609 trades 3 related markets
LoL: T1 vs Kiwoom DRX (BO3) - …Game Handicap: T1 (-1.5) vs Ki…LoL: T1 vs Kiwoom DRX - Game 2…
G2 sweeps Karmine Corp
Wallet_0xcf609 trades 4 related markets
LoL: G2 Esports vs Karmine Cor…LoL: G2 Esports vs Karmine Cor…Games Total: O/U 3.5
DRX series, BRION early games
Wallet_0xf201a trades 3 related markets
LoL: Kiwoom DRX vs HANJIN BRIO…LoL: Kiwoom DRX vs HANJIN BRIO…LoL: Kiwoom DRX vs HANJIN BRIO…
NAVI crushes GamerLegion Map 3
Wallet_0xcf609 trades 3 related markets
Counter-Strike: GamerLegion vs…Map Handicap: NAVI (-2.5) vs G…Map Handicap: NAVI (-1.5) vs G…
Falcons sweep Legacy
Wallet_0xcf609 trades 3 related markets
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons v…Counter-Strike: Team Falcons v…Map Handicap: FAL (-1.5) vs Le…
Falcons sweep MOUZ 2-0
Wallet_0xcf609 trades 3 related markets
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons v…Map Handicap: FAL (-1.5) vs MO…Counter-Strike: Team Falcons v…