Part of: LoL: Conviction vs Blue Otter (BO3) - North American Challengers League Last Chance Qualifier

LoL: Conviction vs Blue Otter (BO3) - North American Challengers League Last Chance Qualifier

3 smart money signals detected, totaling $8,473.

Categories: Esports, league of legends, Games, Sports

Notable Trades

96% winner leads coordinated Conviction bet

Three wallets concentrated $5.5K on Conviction, including a 96% winner with substantial edge, though all are adding to existing positions and the price has already surged to 94%.

  • A bettor with a 96% win rate and 33 percentage points of edge added $2,500 to Conviction.
  • Three wallets invested $5,465 together, buying between 59¢ and 73¢ before the market surged 43% to 94%.
  • The group is adding to existing Conviction positions, signaling confidence but making the current 94¢ price difficult to chase.

$5,465 on Conviction

Serial sharp bettor backs Conviction

A highly experienced and profitable esports bettor with an 84% win rate made a large, concentrated purchase in a thin market.

  • This bettor has won 84% of 564 resolved trades and is up $189,658.
  • The $1,304 position represented roughly the entire recent market volume, showing strong conviction in Conviction.
  • The wallet has traded 292 markets across 222 events, suggesting substantial experience rather than a one-off wager.

$1,304 on Conviction | Wallet win rate: 80%

Profitable serial bettor makes thin-market bet

A highly experienced and profitable serial trader placed a $1,703 bet that exceeds the market's entire 24-hour volume, though the demonstrated odds edge is modest.

  • This bettor has won 4,729 of 6,779 resolved trades and is up $636,132 lifetime.
  • The $1,703 Conviction bet is larger than the market's entire $1,264 in 24-hour volume.
  • The 69¢ entry is close to the current 70¢ price, so the trade shows conviction more than a clear bargain.

$1,703 on Conviction | Wallet win rate: 70%

Top Holders

  1. 0x8a86...4998 Outcome 95138714, $6,000 (87% win rate)
  2. 0xfe78...0319 Outcome 95138714, $3,047 (64% win rate)
  3. 0xeebb...0b96 Outcome 95138714, $1,368 (82% win rate)
  4. 0xb7a1...504c Outcome 95138714, $968
  5. 0xb877...4601 Outcome 95138714, $869 (52% win rate)
  6. 0x31ec...7fca Outcome 95138714, $836
  7. 0x8637...0c86 Outcome 95138714, $722
  8. 0xf2bb...3250 Outcome 95138714, $548 (92% win rate)
  9. 0x775d...6beb Outcome 95138714, $513 (76% win rate)
  10. 0x93bc...8ca3 Outcome 95138714, $500 (79% win rate)

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LoL: Conviction vs Blue Otter (BO3) - North American Challengers League Last Chance Qualifier

ResolvedLoL: Conviction vs Blue Otter (BO3) - North American Challengers League Last Chance Qualifier$8,473 tracked3 signalsEsportsleague of legendsGamesSports

This market refers to the LoL match between Conviction and Blue Otter in the North American Challengers League Last Chance Qualifier, initially scheduled for August 14, 2026 at 5:00 PM ET. This market will resolve to "Conviction" if Conviction win the match against Blue Otter. This market will resolve to "Blue Otter" if Blue Otter win the match against Conviction. If the match is canceled (not played at all) or ends in a tie, this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match is postponed, the 7-day (168-hour) delay period will be measured from the originally scheduled start time of August 14, 2026 at 5:00 PM ET to the rescheduled start time. If the rescheduled start time falls more than 168 hours after the originally scheduled start time, this market will resolve to 50-50, regardless of whether the match is subsequently played. If no rescheduled start time falling within that 168-hour period has been announced by August 21, 2026 at 5:00 PM ET, this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match is rescheduled to a start time within 168 hours of the originally scheduled start time, this market will resolve based on the result of the match as played. If the match begins but is not completed, and one team wins due to the opponent's forfeiture, disqualification, or walkover, this market will resolve to the team who wins. If the match ends in a forfeit, disqualification, or walkover (team withdraws before the start and the other wins automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The resolution source for this market will be official information from https://gol.gg/esports/home. However, if https://gol.gg/esports/home has not published final results within 2 hours after the event’s conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead including video evidence. In cases where a team’s listed name includes minor discrepancies from the resolution source, this market will resolve based on the underlying real-world match rather than exact name matching. Recognizable abbreviations, alternate or erroneous spellings, sponsor tags, affiliate or academy designations, regional identifiers, and minor formatting differences will be treated as referring to the same team, provided the intended team can be clearly and uniquely identified within the relevant competition. If a listed team name has no reasonable connection to any participating team, or if it matches or could reasonably refer to another team in the same competition such that the intended team cannot be unambiguously determined, this market will resolve 50-50.

Price History — “Conviction
102¢
76¢
49¢
Alert entriesHigh-conviction

Notable Trades

LoL: Conviction vs Blue Otter (BO3) - North American Challengers League Last Chance Qualifier

39d ago

$5,465 on Conviction at 67¢

LoL: Conviction vs Blue Otter (BO3) - North American Challengers League Last Chance Qualifier

39d ago

$1,304 on Conviction at 69¢

LoL: Conviction vs Blue Otter (BO3) - North American Challengers League Last Chance Qualifier

40d ago

$1,703 on Conviction at 69¢

Related Theses