Part of: LoL: Conviction vs Dorado Gaming (BO3) - North American Challengers League Group Stage

LoL: Conviction vs Dorado Gaming (BO3) - North American Challengers League Group Stage

2 smart money signals detected, totaling $6,366.

Categories: Esports, league of legends, Games, Sports

Notable Trades

Serial trader caught Dorado repricing

A serial cross-market trader added substantially to an existing Dorado position at 51¢ before the outcome repriced to 86%, though their historical win rate is only moderately compelling.

  • This trader bought $1,423 of Dorado at 51¢, and the market has since risen to 86¢.
  • The position came during a 32-point Dorado price surge in a market with $84,000 of recent volume.
  • The wallet has traded across 112 events and is up $150,000, but its 64% win rate is not an exceptional standalone edge.

$1,423 on Dorado Gaming | Wallet win rate: 64%

89% winner leads coordinated Conviction buying

Three wallets deployed nearly $5,000 on Conviction, including a serial cross-market trader with an 89% win rate and substantial prior exposure, creating a meaningful coordinated signal despite mixed individual track records.

  • A bettor with an 89% win rate and $364,000 lifetime profit is adding to a large Conviction position.
  • Three wallets bought Conviction for nearly $4,943, with two linked by a shared funder.
  • The bets represented more than 150% of the flagged 24-hour volume, while Conviction remains the strong 82% market favorite.

$4,943 on Conviction

Top Holders

  1. 0x0c72...1eae Outcome 35344799, $20,000
  2. 0xda3a...381f Outcome 35344799, $5,000 (54% win rate)
  3. 0x9c3c...e8c9 Outcome 35344799, $3,750 (95% win rate)
  4. 0xff80...9b4d Outcome 35344799, $3,373 (51% win rate)
  5. 0x022b...35ae Outcome 35344799, $1,657 (89% win rate)
  6. 0x10b0...8525 Outcome 35344799, $1,400 (50% win rate)
  7. 0x7c23...418b Outcome 35344799, $1,244 (75% win rate)
  8. 0xddb6...b9b3 Outcome 35344799, $1,182 (87% win rate)
  9. 0xd51f...2821 Outcome 35344799, $1,000
  10. 0xe8e0...7eec Outcome 35344799, $995 (85% win rate)

Related Theses

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DN SOOPers win game one

Covers 1 related market

Covers 1 related market

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LoL: Conviction vs Dorado Gaming (BO3) - North American Challengers League Group Stage

ResolvedLoL: Conviction vs Dorado Gaming (BO3) - North American Challengers League Group Stage$6,366 tracked2 signalsEsportsleague of legendsGamesSports

This market refers to the LoL match between Conviction and Dorado Gaming in the North American Challengers League Group Stage, initially scheduled for July 30 at 8:00PM ET. This market will resolve to "Conviction" if Conviction win the match against Dorado Gaming. This market will resolve to "Dorado Gaming" if Dorado Gaming win the match against Conviction. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a winner determined, this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one team wins due to the opponent's forfeiture, disqualification, or walkover, this market will resolve to the team who wins. If the match ends in a forfeit, disqualification, or walkover (team withdraws before the start and the other wins automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The resolution source for this market will be official information from https://gol.gg/esports/home. However, if https://gol.gg/esports/home has not published final results within 2 hours after the event’s conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead including video evidence. In cases where a team’s listed name includes minor discrepancies from the resolution source, this market will resolve based on the underlying real-world match rather than exact name matching. Recognizable abbreviations, alternate or erroneous spellings, sponsor tags, affiliate or academy designations, regional identifiers, and minor formatting differences will be treated as referring to the same team, provided the intended team can be clearly and uniquely identified within the relevant competition. If a listed team name has no reasonable connection to any participating team, or if it matches or could reasonably refer to another team in the same competition such that the intended team cannot be unambiguously determined, this market will resolve 50-50.

Price History — “Dorado Gaming
102¢
59¢
15¢
Alert entriesHigh-conviction

Notable Trades

LoL: Conviction vs Dorado Gaming (BO3) - North American Challengers League Group Stage

9d ago

$1,423 on Dorado Gaming at 51¢

LoL: Conviction vs Dorado Gaming (BO3) - North American Challengers League Group Stage

9d ago

$4,943 on Conviction at 83¢

Related Theses